Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: Orioles Predicted to Win According to Model for Thursday's MLB Game [7/4/2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: Orioles Predicted to Win According to Model for Thursday's MLB Game [7/4/2024]

The Seattle Mariners will square off with the Baltimore Orioles in MLB action at T-Mobile Park on Thursday, beginning at 4:10PM ET.

Bryce Miller (6-7, 3.88 ERA) will start on the mound for the Mariners, while the Orioles will counter with Corbin Burnes (9-3, 2.28 ERA).

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Orioles as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Orioles-Mariners game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Orioles with a win probability of 56% and the Mariners with 44%."

Orioles vs. Mariners Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's MLB action between the Mariners and Orioles at T-Mobile Park is scheduled to begin at 4:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Orioles vs. Mariners matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mariners vs. Orioles picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Orioles vs. Mariners Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB game between the Orioles and Mariners 10,000 times as part of our MLB picks coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Orioles a 56% chance of beating the Mariners.

According to our model, the Mariners (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7 runs has a 52% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 8:37PM, Jul 4
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Orioles
Win %
50%
50%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Mariners
Orioles BAL
Win %
50%
50%
See Matchup
Mariners SEA
Corbin Burnes 9-3, 2.28 ERA
Bryce Miller 6-7, 3.88 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Orioles vs. Mariners Odds [7/4/2024]

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Orioles Mariners
Run Line -1.5 (+120) +1.5 (-140)
Moneyline -148 +130
Total o7 (-104) u7 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Orioles vs. Mariners Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Orioles vs. Mariners matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot: Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Orioles, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Mariners on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Orioles vs. Mariners insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

Sports Betting Deals Available for July 4th Week, 2024:

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Stay updated with the latest MLB news and our data-led MLB parlay picks all season long. Plus, our World Series odds give you the most up-to-date numbers and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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