AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Predictions: Our Best Bets for PGA TOUR Betting at Spyglass Hill

The 2025 PGA TOUR season continues at The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at Spyglass Hill Golf Course. This week's tournament runs from Thursday, January 30 through Sunday, February 2.

This was a huge event for us last year as our model correctly identified Wyndham Clark to win at +8000. He went on to shoot a course record 60-under and win in a weather-shortened tournament.

Last week, we spied Harris English with value in the final round and the week before, identified Sepp Straka as a +2800 winner ahead of Round 2 at The American Express.

Our predictive analytics model has run 1000s of simulations with the field in this tournament, identifying intriguing bets in the winner and placement markets. Our best bets are here to help with outright winner plays, as well as recommended Top-5, Top-10 and Top-20 picks.

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Who Will Win the 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

Here are the five most likely winners of this week's AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, the result of simulating the tournament 10,000 times via our A.I. models, as well as each golfer's odds to finish Top 5/10/20:

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Golf Betting Preview

For the second year in a row, this event will be one of the PGA TOUR's signature tournaments, meaning an elevated purse of $20M with $3.6M to the winner as well as 700 FedExCup Points.

It's an 80-man field and no-cut event that spans two courses: Pebble Beach and Spyglass Hill. Golfers will play one round each at Spyglass Hill and the other three at Pebble Beach.

Both courses are par-72s, with Pebble Beach measuring 6,972 yards and Spyglass Gill just slightly longer at 7,035 yards, with both featuring some of the smallest greens on TOUR.

As we mentioned earlier, the reigning champ here is Wyndham Clark who won a 54-hole, weather-shortened tournament last year. 

This tournament will also feature the season debuts for Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth and Rory McIlroy.

MORE: Dimers' In-House Golf Rankings

Best Bets to Win the 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Scottie Scheffler (+500 on BetMGM)

Welcome back, Scottie Scheffler! The World No. 1 makes his 2025 PGA TOUR debut after a cut on his hand over the holidays delayed his start this year.

Where to start with Scheff? He won 7 events last year and was a runner-up in two more, as well as securing an additional 11 Top 10s. He finished T6 here last year, and that could have been even higher if we played the final round. 

He was a machine last season. At his worst, he finished outside the Top 20 (just twice all season). At his best, he had an 8-event stretch where he either won or finished T2 seven times. By the end of the season, he was getting Tiger Woods-level odds of +250 to +300 to win events and we may not see many, if any, outrights for him longer than +500 all year.

Not only are we getting a good number here based on the Dimers model probability of 25.0% which gives fair odds of +300, but most books have Scheffler at +400, so we're also stealing some value on that alone by taking this bet at BetMGM.

Scottie Scheffler to Win

+500

TAIL IT HERETAIL IT HERE

Russell Henley (+6000 on DraftKings)

Next up, we'll look at a longer odds play of Russell Henley who gets a 2.2% win probability from our model.

Henley has a T30 and T10 to start the year, more or less picking up where he left off last season. He didn't pick up a win last year, but he's got four in his career and he still showed his ability to compete, with five Top 5 finishes, including in some loaded fields like The Open and the TOUR Championship.

 Two things should work in Henley's favor this week - his solid Approach metrics and his Driving accuracy. With small greens, putting, which is not his best area, should not be much of a challenge.

His 2.2% probability from our model makes his fair odds closer to +4450 for some generous value at +6000.

Russel Henley to win

+6000

Bet $10
Payout $610Bet $10, Payout $610

Adam Scott (+7500 on FanDuel)

For our last official outright winner pick, we're leaning on veteran Australian Adam Scott to emerge victorious at Pebble Beach.

Scott has 14 career wins, but is chasing his first in several years. It's not been without trying - he had two runner-ups last season among three other Top 10s and finished T4 at the TOUR Championship.

He picked up a T20 here last year and was three strokes off a T10.

He's one of our model's best value picks this week, as he holds an edge in the Top 5, top 10 and Top 20 markets, presenting a ladder play opportunity.

His 3.3% win probability is Top 5 in this tournament per our model and identifies fair odds of just +2940, for a huge advantage at +7500.

Adam Scott to Win

+7500

Bet $10
Payout $760Bet $10, Payout $760

Best Top 20 Bets for the 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

In addition to the outright winner picks with value, we've got a few placement bets to consider for this week's AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am as well. As well as being value plays as single wagers, consider playing these in a parlay to potentially rack up some serious profits.

Sam Burns to Finish Top 20 (+135 on DraftKings)

For our first placement pick, we'll look at Sam Burns to pick up his second such finish this year after a T8 to open the season at The Sentry. He followed that up with a T29 last week at The American Express, with one poor round killing an otherwise great outing for him.

Last year, Burns had a dozen Top 20s including a solo 10th-place finish at this event which saw him just two strokes off a T5. 

He'll need to hone his approach this weekend but with our model giving him fair odds of +130 with a 43.2% probability oof finishing in the Top 20, he's a good fair price play.

Sam Burns Top 20 Finish

+135

Bet $25
Payout $58.75Bet $25, Payout $58.75

Russell Henley to Finish Top 20 (+180 on DraftKings)

It's rarely a bad idea to get a little insurance on your outright winner picks and Russel Henley is giving us value at his Top 20 placement odds.

Though this event was not one of his finer moments, he did have nine Top 20 finishes last year.

Our model says he should be just +145 at a 40.5% probability, and he's the last golfer in our overall projections with a Top 20 probability over 40%.

Russell Henley Top 20 Finish

+180

Bet $25
Payout $70Bet $25, Payout $70

Viktor Hovland to Finish Top 20 (+170 on DraftKings)

Less than a 1% difference exists between our model's Top 20 projections for Henley and the 17-yar old form Norway. Viktor Hovland has the potential to be one of the world's best competitors on TOUR and we like him to compete well within the Top 20 this weekend.

Hovland competed in 17 events last season and finished Top 20 in six of them. He finished T58 here last year but picked up a T13 the year before, so he's proven he can play at these links.

We make his fair odds at +140 for a nice edge against the +170 we can get at DraftKings.

Viktor Hovland Top 20 Finish

+170

Bet $25
Payout $67.50Bet $25, Payout $67.50

These aren't the only value plays on the board, but our selected ones based on our model's recommendations. Check out our full predictions for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am to find your favorite plays, with more edges to be found throughout the tournament!

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