Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Odds, La Liga Picks [9/29/2024]

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Written by Damien Souness
Atletico Madrid-Real Madrid Predictions and Game Preview.
Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano sets the stage for the La Liga matchup between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid this Sunday.

Atletico Madrid will take on Real Madrid in La Liga action at Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano on Sunday, commencing at 3:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven La Liga model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Real Madrid as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Atletico Madrid-Real Madrid game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"Incorporating the most recent updates along with numerous other variables, our prediction gives Atletico Madrid a 35.9% chance of winning, Real Madrid a 37.9% chance, and a 26.2% chance of a draw."

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's La Liga matchup between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid at Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano is scheduled to commence in the USA at 3:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid picks, be sure to check out the latest La Liga predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20SOCCER at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 35.9% chance of Atletico Madrid winning, a 37.9% chance for Real Madrid, and a 26.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51% chance of staying under, according to our model.

 

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Atletico Madrid Real Madrid Draw
+185 +165 +220

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
+100 -125

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best La Liga picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid: Correct Score Prediction

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
ATM 1-1 MAD 12.4%
ATM 0-1 MAD 9.6%
ATM 1-0 MAD 9.3%

These final scores are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Atletico Madrid has a 35.9% win probability on Sunday, Real Madrid has a 37.9% win probability, and there is a 26.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on La Liga

Stay updated with the latest La Liga news and our data-led La Liga best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our La Liga futures odds provide the most up-to-date probabilities for each La Liga title contender.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

With over 15 years of experience, Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, enhances Dimers with his expertise in soccer and NBA betting. His prior roles working with organizations such as Formula 1 and MotoGP highlight his dedication to delivering accurate, timely content, making him a trusted authority in sports and betting.

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