Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Odds, La Liga Picks [4/24/2025]

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Written by Damien Souness

Our expert prediction for Thursday's Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano matchup.

Atletico Madrid-Rayo Vallecano Predictions and Game Preview.
Riyadh Air Metropolitano sets the stage for the La Liga matchup between Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano this Thursday.

Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano will lock horns in La Liga at Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Thursday, starting at 3:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Atletico Madrid as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Atletico Madrid-Rayo Vallecano game 10,000 times," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"Incorporating the most recent updates along with numerous other variables, our prediction gives Atletico Madrid a 61.2% chance of winning, Rayo Vallecano a 16.5% chance, and a 22.4% chance of a draw."

For a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano predictions page.

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Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's La Liga match between Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 61.2% chance of Atletico Madrid winning, a 16.5% chance for Rayo Vallecano, and a 22.4% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 7:17PM, Apr 24
Moneyline
Correct Score
Over / Under
Win %
Rayo Vallecano RVC
16.5%
FanDuel
Draw
22.4%
BetMGM
Atletico Madrid ATM
61.2%
BetMGM
FanDuel
BetMGM
Caesars
DraftKings
bet365
BetRivers
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See Matchup
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Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano Odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Atletico Madrid Rayo Vallecano Draw
-200 +600 +320

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-108 -114

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best La Liga picks and La Liga best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Atletico Madrid win being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
ATM 1-0 RAY 12.8%
ATM 2-0 RAY 11.8%
ATM 1-1 RAY 10.6%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 47.2% chance that both Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano score, and a 52.8% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.

Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's La Liga action between Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano at Riyadh Air Metropolitano is scheduled to commence in the United States at 3:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Rayo Vallecano vs. Atletico Madrid picks, be sure to check out the latest La Liga predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Atletico Madrid has a 61.2% win probability on Thursday, Rayo Vallecano has a 16.5% win probability, and there is a 22.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on La Liga

Stay up-to-date with the latest La Liga news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our La Liga futures odds offer the latest probabilities for each La Liga title contender.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.

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