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Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona Prediction, Odds, La Liga Picks [3/16/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona matchup.
La Liga action continues on Sunday at 4:00PM ET as Barcelona takes on Atletico Madrid at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Barcelona as the most likely winner of the game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Atletico Madrid-Barcelona game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.
"Incorporating the most recent updates along with numerous other variables, our prediction gives Atletico Madrid a 33.3% chance of winning, Barcelona a 42.2% chance, and a 24.5% chance of a draw."
For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona predictions page.
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Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20SOCCER Get Dimers Pro Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona Prediction: Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Atletico Madrid and Barcelona 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 33.3% chance of Atletico Madrid winning, a 42.2% chance for Barcelona, and a 24.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of going over, according to our model.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:17PM, Mar 12
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Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona Odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +210 | +120 | +270 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -185 | +130 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in the Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best La Liga picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Atletico Madrid-Barcelona Pick Get Dimers Pro Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ATM 1-1 FCB | 11.4% |
| ATM 1-2 FCB | 8.9% |
| ATM 0-1 FCB | 8.4% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 58.8% chance that both Atletico Madrid and Barcelona score, and a 41.2% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's La Liga matchup between Atletico Madrid and Barcelona at Riyadh Air Metropolitano is scheduled to begin in the USA at 4:00PM ET.
- Who: Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona
- Date: Sunday, March 16, 2025
- Time: 4:00PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid picks, be sure to check out the latest La Liga predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Atletico Madrid has a 33.3% win probability on Sunday, Barcelona has a 42.2% win probability, and there is a 24.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on La Liga
Stay up-to-date with the latest La Liga betting news, La Liga best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our La Liga futures odds offer the most accurate probabilities for each La Liga title contender.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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