Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Odds, La Liga Picks [3/1/2025]

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Written by Damien Souness

Our expert prediction for Saturday's Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao matchup.

Atletico Madrid-Athletic Bilbao Predictions and Game Preview.
Riyadh Air Metropolitano sets the stage for the La Liga matchup between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao this Saturday.

Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao are scheduled to meet in La Liga at Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Saturday, with kickoff at 3:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced La Liga model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Atletico Madrid as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Atletico Madrid-Athletic Bilbao game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"Incorporating the most recent updates along with numerous other variables, our prediction gives Atletico Madrid a 44.4% chance of winning, Athletic Bilbao a 28.5% chance, and a 27.1% chance of a draw."

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao predictions page.

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Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's La Liga match between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model suggests a 44.4% chance of Atletico Madrid winning, a 28.5% chance for Athletic Bilbao, and a 27.1% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 57% chance of staying under, according to our model.

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Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao Odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Atletico Madrid Athletic Bilbao Draw
+115 +280 +220

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
+114 -138

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best La Liga picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
ATM 1-1 ATB 12.8%
ATM 1-0 ATB 12.3%
ATM 0-1 ATB 9.3%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.3% chance that both Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao score, and a 51.7% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's La Liga action between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao at Riyadh Air Metropolitano is scheduled to begin in the United States at 3:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid picks, be sure to check out the latest La Liga predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Atletico Madrid has a 44.4% win probability on Saturday, Athletic Bilbao has a 28.5% win probability, and there is a 27.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on La Liga

Stay informed with the latest La Liga news, La Liga best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our La Liga futures odds offer the most up-to-date projections for each La Liga title contender.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.

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