Atlas vs. Toluca Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [4/12/2025]

Atlas will face Toluca in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Jalisco on Saturday, commencing at 9:05PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Toluca as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Atlas-Toluca game," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.

"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Atlas a 27.7% chance of winning, Toluca a 48.8% chance, and a 23.5% chance of a draw."

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Atlas vs. Toluca predictions page.

Atlas vs. Toluca Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX game between Atlas and Toluca 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 27.7% chance of Atlas winning, a 48.8% chance for Toluca, and a 23.5% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 58% chance of going over, according to our model.

Atlas vs. Toluca Odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Atlas	Toluca	Draw
+250	+100	+275

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-158	+130

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Atlas vs. Toluca Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Atlas vs. Toluca matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Atlas vs. Toluca: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
ATS 1-1 TOL	10.9%
ATS 1-2 TOL	9.5%
ATS 0-1 TOL	8.7%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.1% chance that both teams scoring, and a 40.9% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Atlas vs. Toluca Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's action between Atlas and Toluca at Estadio Jalisco is scheduled to start at 9:05PM ET.

• Who: Atlas vs. Toluca
• Date: Saturday, April 12, 2025
• Time: 9:05PM ET/6:05PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Jalisco

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Atlas vs. Toluca matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Toluca vs. Atlas picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Atlas has a 27.7% win probability on Saturday, Toluca has a 48.8% win probability, and there is a 23.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Atlas vs. Toluca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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