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Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 18 [2024]
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The New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons are scheduled to meet in Week 18 of the NFL season at Caesars Superdome on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.
Dimers.com's comprehensive betting preview for Sunday's Falcons vs. Saints matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.
Falcons vs. Saints Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread
We have used advanced machine learning and statistics to simulate the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Falcons and Saints 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NFL picks.
Our popular predictive analytics model gives the Saints a 62% chance of defeating the Falcons in Week 18 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Saints winning 22-19.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and both the Falcons and Saints have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 41.5 points also has a 54% chance of going over.
Today's Atlanta vs. New Orleans betting preview is presented by Bet365, which has a great Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets promo for new customers.
Falcons vs. Saints Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Falcons | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3 (-104) | -3 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +145 | -165 |
| Total | o41.5 (-108) | u41.5 (-108) |
- The Saints are currently -3 favorites against the Falcons, with -115 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
- For the underdog Falcons (+3) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -104.
- BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Saints at -165. That means you can risk $165 to win $100 for a total payout of $265 if they get the W.
- Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Falcons at +145, where you can bet $100 to profit $145, earning a total payout of $245 if they win.
- The Over/Under sits at 41.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -108, while DraftKings currently has the best odds for the Under at -108.
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
As always, make sure you check the sports betting sites you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
Falcons vs. Saints Picks
By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks for this game:
| Bet Type | Our Pick | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Falcons +3 | -104 |
| Moneyline | Saints | -165 |
| Total | Over 41.5 | -108 |
Dimers' NFL best bets are based on detailed modeling and gambling expertise to serve you the best possible plays every week of the season.
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Falcons vs. Saints TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Falcons vs. Saints?
According to our model, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first touchdown in Falcons vs. Saints.
Our projections give Robinson a 12.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Caesars Superdome, while the Falcons RB is a 47.3% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 12.3% |
| Drake London | 6.3% |
| Tyler Allgeier | 6.0% |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 5.0% |
| Kyle Pitts | 4.8% |
New Orleans Saints
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Chris Olave | 10.3% |
| Jamaal Williams | 9.3% |
| Rashid Shaheed | 9.0% |
| Taysom Hill | 7.0% |
| Juwan Johnson | 6.9% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 47.3% |
| Drake London | 27.1% |
| Tyler Allgeier | 26.3% |
| Kyle Pitts | 21.5% |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 21.5% |
New Orleans Saints
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Chris Olave | 41.8% |
| Jamaal Williams | 38.3% |
| Rashid Shaheed | 35.5% |
| Taysom Hill | 28.3% |
| Juwan Johnson | 27.7% |
Falcons vs Saints Player Props
Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Falcons and Saints, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.
Falcons vs. Saints Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Taylor Heinicke is projected for 224 passing yards. The Saints' Derek Carr is expected to throw for 226 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Taylor Heinicke (ATL) | 224 yds |
| Derek Carr (NO) | 226 yds |
Falcons Rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 68 yds |
| Tyler Allgeier | 40 yds |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 17 yds |
Saints Rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Jamaal Williams | 59 yds |
| Taysom Hill | 24 yds |
| Kendre Miller | 8 yds |
Falcons Receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Drake London | 53 yds |
| Kyle Pitts | 33 yds |
| Bijan Robinson | 23 yds |
| Jonnu Smith | 23 yds |
| Van Jefferson | 17 yds |
Saints Receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Chris Olave | 73 yds |
| Rashid Shaheed | 46 yds |
| Juwan Johnson | 38 yds |
| Foster Moreau | 20 yds |
| A.T. Perry | 18 yds |
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep an eye on this page for any changes to our betting insights ahead of the Falcons vs. Saints on Sunday January 7, 2024.
Falcons vs. Saints Game Information
The NFL Week 18 game between the Saints and Falcons at Caesars Superdome is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints
- Date: Sunday January 7, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
- Venue: Caesars Superdome
Our full coverage of Falcons vs. Saints includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.
How to Bet on Falcons vs. Saints
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These fees help us keep Dimers free for sports fans like you. So, if you like what you see, support us by joining one of our trusted sports betting partners below, including DraftKings Sportsbook, where you get $200 in bonus bets for signing up and bettting $5 on Atlanta vs. New Orleans.
Conclusion
This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Falcons vs. Saints Week 14 game, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.
Dimers' picks and predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Falcons vs. Saints predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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