Falcons vs. Saints Prediction: Atlanta Predicted to Win in NFL Week 10 [2024]

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Written by Mac Douglass
Atlanta Falcons-New Orleans Saints Predictions and Game Preview.
Caesars Superdome sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints this Sunday.

The New Orleans Saints will face the Atlanta Falcons in NFL Week 10 action at Caesars Superdome on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Falcons as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Falcons-Saints game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Falcons with a win probability of 63%, while the Saints have 37%."

This updated Falcons vs. Saints betting preview is a follow-up on our early Falcons vs. Saints prediction that was published at the start of the week.

For more detail on today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, check out our interactive Falcons vs. Saints predictions page.

Falcons vs. Saints Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 10 game between the Saints and Falcons at Caesars Superdome is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Falcons vs. Saints matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Atlanta vs. New Orleans picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20FOOTBALL at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Falcons vs. Saints Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Falcons and Saints 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Falcons a 63% chance of beating the Saints in Week 10 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Falcons winning 25-21.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Falcons and Saints each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 47.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

 

In addition to our Falcons vs. Saints predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for today’s action:

Falcons vs. Saints Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Falcons Saints
Spread -3.5 (-110) +3.5 (-106)
Moneyline -192 +166
Total o47.5 (-105) u47.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Falcons vs. Saints Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Falcons vs. Saints matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Falcons vs. Saints TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Falcons vs. Saints?

According to our model, New Orleans' Alvin Kamara is most likely to score the first touchdown in Falcons vs. Saints.

Our projections give Kamara a 15.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Caesars Superdome, while the Saints RB is a 59.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Atlanta Falcons

Player First TD Probability
Bijan Robinson 14.0%
Drake London 9.5%
Tyler Allgeier 7.6%

New Orleans Saints

Player First TD Probability
Alvin Kamara 15.4%
Taysom Hill 6.5%
Juwan Johnson 5.7%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Atlanta Falcons

Player Anytime TD Probability
Bijan Robinson 55.9%
Drake London 41.3%
Tyler Allgeier 32.8%

New Orleans Saints

Player Anytime TD Probability
Alvin Kamara 59.1%
Taysom Hill 31.7%
Juwan Johnson 28.2%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 10 touchdown scorer predictions

Falcons vs Saints Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Falcons and Saints. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Falcons-Saints page now to access every player prop projection.

Falcons vs. Saints Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Kirk Cousins is projected to throw for more yards than the Saints' Derek Carr.

Falcons Rushing

Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier and Kirk Cousins are projected to be the leading rushers for the Falcons.

Player Position
Bijan Robinson RB
Tyler Allgeier RB
Kirk Cousins QB

Saints Rushing

Alvin Kamara, Taysom Hill and Jamaal Williams are expected to lead the Saints in rushing yards.

Player Position
Alvin Kamara RB
Taysom Hill TE
Jamaal Williams RB

Falcons Receiving

Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts, Ray-Ray McCloud and Bijan Robinson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Falcons.

Player Position
Drake London WR
Darnell Mooney WR
Kyle Pitts TE
Ray-Ray McCloud WR
Bijan Robinson RB

Saints Receiving

Mason Tipton, Alvin Kamara, Taysom Hill, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Juwan Johnson are projected to lead the Saints in receiving yards.

Player Position
Mason Tipton WR
Alvin Kamara RB
Taysom Hill TE
Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR
Juwan Johnson TE

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Conclusion

We predict the Falcons, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Week 10 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Falcons vs. Saints insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the most up-to-date probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac brings a well-traveled perspective and broad sports knowledge to Dimers, specializing in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, plus insights across DFS, online casinos and sweepstakes. Known for finding top new user promos across major sportsbooks and online gaming platforms, Mac enhances the betting experience for both novices and veterans alike.

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