Falcons vs. Vikings Prediction: Minnesota Predicted to Win in NFL Week 14 [2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings matchup.

Atlanta Falcons-Minnesota Vikings Predictions and Game Preview.
U.S. Bank Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and Minnesota Vikings this Sunday.

The Minnesota Vikings and Atlanta Falcons will meet in Week 14 of the NFL season at U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Vikings as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Atlanta-Minnesota game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Vikings with a win probability of 69%, while the Falcons have 31%."

This updated Falcons vs. Vikings betting preview builds on my early Falcons vs. Vikings prediction that I published at the start of the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Falcons vs. Vikings predictions page.

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Falcons vs. Vikings Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 14 game between the Vikings and Falcons at U.S. Bank Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Falcons vs. Vikings matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Atlanta vs. Minnesota picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Falcons vs. Vikings Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Falcons and Vikings 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Vikings a 69% chance of defeating the Falcons in Week 14 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Vikings winning 25-20.

According to our model, the Falcons (+6.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

In addition to our Falcons vs. Vikings predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for today’s action:

Falcons vs. Vikings Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Falcons Vikings
Spread +6.5 (-120) -6.5 (-102)
Moneyline +225 -250
Total o46.5 (-110) u46.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Falcons vs. Vikings Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Falcons vs. Vikings matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Falcons vs. Vikings TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Falcons vs. Vikings?

According to our model, Minnesota's Aaron Jones is most likely to score the first touchdown in Falcons vs. Vikings.

Our projections give Jones a 13.1% chance of scoring the first TD at U.S. Bank Stadium, while the Vikings RB is a 52.5% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Atlanta Falcons

Player First TD Probability
Bijan Robinson 12.0%
Drake London 8.9%
Darnell Mooney 5.6%

Minnesota Vikings

Player First TD Probability
Aaron Jones 13.1%
Justin Jefferson 10.9%
Jordan Addison 7.4%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Atlanta Falcons

Player Anytime TD Probability
Bijan Robinson 50.2%
Drake London 38.9%
Darnell Mooney 27.6%

Minnesota Vikings

Player Anytime TD Probability
Aaron Jones 52.5%
Justin Jefferson 45.9%
Jordan Addison 33.7%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 14 touchdown scorer predictions

Falcons vs Vikings Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Falcons and Vikings. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Falcons-Vikings page now to access every player prop projection.

Falcons vs. Vikings Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Kirk Cousins is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Vikings' Sam Darnold.

Falcons Rushing

Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier and Kirk Cousins are projected to be the leading rushers for the Falcons.

Player Position
Bijan Robinson RB
Tyler Allgeier RB
Kirk Cousins QB

Vikings Rushing

Aaron Jones, Cam Akers and Sam Darnold are expected to lead the Vikings in rushing yards.

Player Position
Aaron Jones RB
Cam Akers RB
Sam Darnold QB

Falcons Receiving

Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts, Ray-Ray McCloud and Bijan Robinson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Falcons.

Player Position
Drake London WR
Darnell Mooney WR
Kyle Pitts TE
Ray-Ray McCloud WR
Bijan Robinson RB

Vikings Receiving

Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, T.J. Hockenson, Jalen Nailor and Josh Oliver are projected to lead the Vikings in receiving yards.

Player Position
Justin Jefferson WR
Jordan Addison WR
T.J. Hockenson TE
Jalen Nailor WR
Josh Oliver TE

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Conclusion

We predict the Vikings, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Falcons in Week 14 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Falcons vs. Vikings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on NFL

Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the most up-to-date probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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