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Falcons vs. Broncos Prediction: Denver Predicted to Win in NFL Week 11 [2024]
NFL Week 11 action continues on Sunday at 4:05PM ET as the Atlanta Falcons lock horns with the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Broncos as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Falcons-Broncos game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Broncos with a win probability of 54%, while the Falcons have 46%."
This updated Falcons vs. Broncos betting preview builds on our early Falcons vs. Broncos prediction released at the start of the week.
For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Falcons vs. Broncos predictions page.
Falcons vs. Broncos Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 11 game between the Broncos and Falcons at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled to begin at 4:05PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Falcons vs. Denver Broncos
- Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
- Time: 4:05PM ET/1:05PM PT
- Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Broncos and Falcons gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Falcons vs. Broncos matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Atlanta vs. Denver picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Falcons vs. Broncos Predictions
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Falcons and Broncos 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Broncos a 54% chance of defeating the Falcons in Week 11 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Broncos winning 22-21.
According to our model, the Falcons (+2) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under has a 56% chance of staying under.
Along with our Falcons vs. Broncos predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:
Falcons vs. Broncos Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Falcons | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2 (-108) | -2 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +114 | -130 |
| Total | o44.5 (-108) | u44.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Falcons vs. Broncos Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Falcons vs. Broncos matchup is on the spread.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Falcons vs. Broncos TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Falcons vs. Broncos?
According to our model, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first touchdown in Falcons vs. Broncos.
Our projections give Robinson a 12.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Empower Field at Mile High, while the Falcons RB is a 49.2% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 12.5% |
| Drake London | 9.4% |
| Darnell Mooney | 6.5% |
Denver Broncos
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 10.0% |
| Audric Estime | 8.2% |
| Devaughn Vele | 5.5% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 49.2% |
| Drake London | 39.7% |
| Darnell Mooney | 30.0% |
Denver Broncos
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 41.3% |
| Audric Estime | 35.9% |
| Devaughn Vele | 25.5% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 11 touchdown scorer predictions
Falcons vs Broncos Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Falcons and Broncos. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Falcons-Broncos page now to access every player prop projection.
Falcons vs. Broncos Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Kirk Cousins is projected to throw for more yards than the Broncos' Bo Nix.
Falcons Rushing
Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier and Kirk Cousins are projected to be the leading rushers for the Falcons.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | RB |
| Tyler Allgeier | RB |
| Kirk Cousins | QB |
Broncos Rushing
Audric Estime, Javonte Williams and Bo Nix are expected to lead the Broncos in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Audric Estime | RB |
| Javonte Williams | RB |
| Bo Nix | QB |
Falcons Receiving
Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts, Ray-Ray McCloud and Bijan Robinson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Falcons.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Drake London | WR |
| Darnell Mooney | WR |
| Kyle Pitts | TE |
| Ray-Ray McCloud | WR |
| Bijan Robinson | RB |
Broncos Receiving
Courtland Sutton, Devaughn Vele, Lil'Jordan Humphrey, Lucas Krull and Troy Franklin are projected to lead the Broncos in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | WR |
| Devaughn Vele | WR |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey | WR |
| Lucas Krull | TE |
| Troy Franklin | WR |
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Conclusion
We predict the Broncos, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Falcons on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Falcons vs. Broncos insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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