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Atlanta Falcons vs. Chicago Bears Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 17 [2023]
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NFL Week 17 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Atlanta Falcons lock horns with the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field.
Dimers.com's in-depth betting preview for Sunday's Falcons vs. Bears matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.
Falcons vs. Bears Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread
We have used trusted machine learning and data to simulate the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Falcons and Bears 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL predictions.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Bears a 62% chance of defeating the Falcons in Week 17 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Bears winning 20-18.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and both the Falcons and Bears have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 38 points also has a 51% chance of going over.
This Atlanta vs. Chicago betting preview is brought to you by Bet365, which has a tasty Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets promo for new users.
Falcons vs. Bears Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Falcons | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3 (-110) | -3 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +136 | -158 |
| Total | o38 (-105) | u38 (-110) |
- The Bears are currently -3 favorites against the Falcons, with -105 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
- For the underdog Falcons (+3) to cover the spread, BetMGM Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -110.
- FanDuel currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bears at -158. That means you can risk $158 to win $100 for a total payout of $258 if they get the W.
- Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Falcons at +136, where you can put down $100 to profit $136, earning a total payout of $236 if they win.
- The Over/Under sits at 38 with DraftKings, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
As always, make sure you check all of the online sports betting sites that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
Falcons vs. Bears Picks
By comparing our probabilities to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks to place on this game:
| Bet Type | Our Pick | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bears -3 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Bears | -158 |
| Total | Over 38 | -105 |
Our best NFL bets are based on detailed modeling and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every week of the season.
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Falcons vs. Bears TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Falcons vs. Bears?
According to our model, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first TD in Falcons vs. Bears.
Our projections give Robinson a 12.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Soldier Field, while the Falcons RB is a 44.3% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 12.7% |
| Drake London | 6.5% |
| Tyler Allgeier | 6.1% |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 5.3% |
| Kyle Pitts | 5.1% |
Chicago Bears
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Justin Fields | 11.9% |
| DJ Moore | 8.0% |
| Roschon Johnson | 7.8% |
| Khalil Herbert | 7.5% |
| Cole Kmet | 4.9% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 44.3% |
| Drake London | 24.9% |
| Tyler Allgeier | 24.6% |
| Kyle Pitts | 20.4% |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 19.9% |
Chicago Bears
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Justin Fields | 42.5% |
| DJ Moore | 30.9% |
| Roschon Johnson | 30.2% |
| Khalil Herbert | 29.3% |
| Cole Kmet | 20.4% |
Falcons vs Bears Player Props
Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Falcons and Bears, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.
Falcons vs. Bears Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Taylor Heinicke is projected for 217 passing yards, while the Bears' Justin Fields is expected to throw for 199 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Taylor Heinicke (ATL) | 217 yds |
| Justin Fields (CHI) | 199 yds |
Falcons Rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 67 yds |
| Tyler Allgeier | 39 yds |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 17 yds |
Bears Rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Justin Fields | 64 yds |
| Khalil Herbert | 57 yds |
| Roschon Johnson | 28 yds |
Falcons Receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Drake London | 51 yds |
| Kyle Pitts | 32 yds |
| Bijan Robinson | 22 yds |
| Jonnu Smith | 20 yds |
| Scott Miller | 19 yds |
Bears Receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| DJ Moore | 85 yds |
| Cole Kmet | 43 yds |
| Darnell Mooney | 32 yds |
| Roschon Johnson | 17 yds |
| Tyler Scott | 15 yds |
Don't forget, our model updates often, so keep checking this page for any changes to our betting insights ahead of the Falcons vs. Bears on Sunday December 31, 2023.
Falcons vs. Bears Game Information
The NFL Week 17 game between the Bears and Falcons at Soldier Field is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Falcons vs. Chicago Bears
- Date: Sunday December 31, 2023
- Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
- Venue: Soldier Field
Our full betting coverage of Falcons vs. Bears includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.
How to Bet on Falcons vs. Bears
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Conclusion
This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Falcons vs. Bears Week 14 matchup, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.
Dimers' picks are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Falcons vs. Bears picks can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Stay well-informed with the most recent NFL news and our analytics-driven NFL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds give you the latest projections and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC, and each division.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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