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Astros vs. Pirates Prediction and Odds - Apr 11, 2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Astros vs. Pirates Prediction and Odds - Apr 11, 2023

MLB action continues on Tuesday at 6:35PM ET as the Houston Astros take on the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park.

The Pirates will send Mitch Keller (1-0, 3.86 ERA) to the mound, while the Astros are going with Cristian Javier (1-0, 3.27 ERA).

Dimers' top betting picks for Astros vs. Pirates, as well as game predictions and betting odds, are detailed below.

 

Who will win Astros vs. Pirates?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Tuesday's Astros-Pirates MLB game 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Astros a 56% chance of winning against the Pirates.

More: Astros vs. Pirates Simulated 10,000 Times

Astros vs. Pirates Current Odds

  • Run Line: Pirates +1.5 (-114), Astros -1.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Pirates +145, Astros -165
  • Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-115)

Run Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Pirates are currently +1.5 underdogs against the Astros, with -114 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Astros (-1.5) to cover the run line, PointsBet has the best odds currently on offer at -105.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Pirates at +145. That means you can bet $100 to profit $145, earning a total payout of $245, if they win.

Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Astros at -165, where you can risk $165 to win $100, for a total payout of $265, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total runs scored sits at 8.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, as well as the best odds for the Under at -115.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best MLB odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Pirates (+1.5) are a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run Over/Under is a 56% chance of going Under.

More: Track Your Bets via Bet Center

Best Bets for Astros vs. Pirates

 

Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Dimers' best free picks of the day across all sports.

Dimers' best bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering intelligence to help you make more informed investments with your state's legal sportsbooks.

While the Astros are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Pirates moneyline is the best option due to the 2.9% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers.com is pivotal to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Astros vs. Pirates Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of Tuesday's Astros-Pirates matchup, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so check this article for any changes to our betting insights before Astros vs. Pirates on Tuesday April 11, 2023.

 

Astros vs. Pirates 2023 Game Info

Tuesday's action between the Pirates and Astros at PNC Park is scheduled to start at 6:35PM ET.

  • Who: Houston Astros vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Date: Tuesday April 11, 2023
  • Time: 6:35PM ET / 3:35PM PT
  • Venue: PNC Park

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on MLB? We've got access to the best available welcome offers in each and every legal betting state.

Calling Our Shot ⚾️ Free Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.

Want more MLB previews like this?

So, you liked our Astros vs. Pirates betting analysis? Awesome. Did you know our MLB Betting News section has a comprehensive betting preview for every MLB matchup as soon as the sportsbooks release their odds?

That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds (aka Vegas odds) against its own probabilities to find edges in the markets. This allows us to create the most reliable MLB betting previews and get the jump on the public and the sportsbooks.

As well as MLB game picks and predicitons, Dimers also provides the best MLB prop bets for today, with our projections for home runs, RBIs, and more lined up against the sportsbook odds every single day of the MLB season.

Lastly, Dimers' MLB Futures page is our in-house approach to determining who will win the World Series, with our data-led probabilities matched against the best odds on the market.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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