Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: Close Contest Expected in Updated Analysis for Saturday's MLB Game [7/6/2024]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: Close Contest Expected in Updated Analysis for Saturday's MLB Game [7/6/2024]

The San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks will meet in MLB action at PETCO Park on Saturday, starting at 9:40PM ET.

The Padres will have Matt Waldron (5-7, 3.56 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Diamondbacks will counter with Brandon Pfaadt (3-6, 4.28 ERA).

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Padres as the most likely winner of the game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Diamondbacks-Padres game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Padres are more likely to win, while the Diamondbacks have a lower chance of victory."

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's MLB matchup between the Padres and Diamondbacks at PETCO Park is scheduled to start at 9:40PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Diamondbacks vs. Padres matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Padres vs. Diamondbacks picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLB game between the Diamondbacks and Padres 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Padres a 53% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks.

According to our model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 52% chance of going over.

 

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds [7/6/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Diamondbacks Padres
Run Line +1.5 (-190) -1.5 (+164)
Moneyline +110 -124
Total o7.5 (-108) u7.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Picks

Our model's biggest edge in the Diamondbacks vs. Padres matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot: Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest best bets featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Padres, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Diamondbacks on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Diamondbacks vs. Padres insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on MLB

Stay well-informed with the most recent MLB betting news and our data-led MLB parlay picks all season long. Plus, our World Series odds give you the latest numbers and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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