Anastasija Sevastova vs. Jelena Ostapenko Prediction, Odds, Picks for WTA Madrid Open 2025

Anastasija Sevastova will take on Jelena Ostapenko in the round of 64 at the WTA Madrid event on Thursday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Jelena Ostapenko as the most likely winner of the match.

"Using the latest data, we simulated Thursday's Sevastova-Ostapenko match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast Jelena Ostapenko with a win probability of 77% and Anastasija Sevastova with 23%."

For a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Sevastova vs. Ostapenko predictions page.

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Sevastova vs. Ostapenko Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Round of 32?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Sevastova-Ostapenko women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Ostapenko a 77% chance of defeating Sevastova at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Ostapenko has a 73% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

Pre-Match Probabilities

Last Updated: 9:06PM, Apr 24

Moneyline

1st Set

AnastasijaSevastova

Win %

22%

78%

+275

-357

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See Matchup

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JelenaOstapenko

AnastasijaSevastova

+275

Win %

22%

78%

See Matchup

JelenaOstapenko

-357

Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

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Anastasija Sevastova vs. Jelena Ostapenko Odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Sevastova vs. Ostapenko Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Sevastova vs. Ostapenko match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Sevastova vs. Ostapenko Updates and Essential Details

The WTA Madrid Open match between Anastasija Sevastova and Jelena Ostapenko is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 10:00AM ET.

• Who: Anastasija Sevastova vs. Jelena Ostapenko
• Date: Thursday, April 24, 2025
• Approx. Time: 10:00AM ET/7:00AM PT
• Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain Women's Singles 2025
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Sevastova vs. Ostapenko match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Anastasija Sevastova vs. Jelena Ostapenko picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Jelena Ostapenko, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat Anastasija Sevastova at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sevastova vs. Ostapenko insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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