Analysts Update Kentucky-Tennessee Prediction Following Chaz Lanier’s Explosive Scoring Projection

Tennessee and Kentucky are scheduled to meet in a March Madness Sweet 16 matchup at Lucas Oil Stadium on Friday, March 28, 2025, starting at 7:39PM ET.

Chaz Lanier has already dropped 29 and 20 points in Tennessee’s first two NCAA Tournament games—and he’s not done yet. According to Dimers’ expert projections, Lanier is expected to lead all players across Thursday’s four-game Sweet 16 slate in scoring, with a projected 21.4 points against Kentucky. That projection puts him ahead of standout scorers like L.J. Cryer of Houston and Trey Kaufman-Renn of Purdue. 

With Lanier in peak form and playing a major offensive role, our analysts re-ran 10,000 simulations of Tennessee-Kentucky using updated player data to assess how his expected output could influence the game—and how that compares to the latest betting odds.

Check the latest 2025 NCAA Championship probabilities from our expert team.

For expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, visit our interactive Kentucky-Tennessee predictions page.

Kentucky vs. Tennessee Latest Odds

We've researched the best betting odds in America for Friday's March Madness clash:

• Spread: Kentucky, +4.5 (-110), Tennessee, -4.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Kentucky, +170, Tennessee, +178
• Total: Over/Under 144.5 (-108/-108)

To make the most of the above odds, check out the latest offer from Bet365, that secures you $150 in bonus bets to use on any game.

Adjusted Kentucky vs. Tennessee College Basketball Predictions for Sweet 16

Leveraging trusted machine learning and analysis, we re-simulated the Kentucky-Tennessee game 10,000 times as part of our college basketball predictions coverage. Here are the updated predictions and insights:

• Straight Up Win Probabilities: Kentucky 40%, Tennessee 60%
• Predicted Final Score: Kentucky 72-74 Tennessee
• Spread: Kentucky (+4.5) 56%, Tennessee (-4.5) 44%
• Total Points (144.5): Over 53%, Under 47%

As of 3:45PM ET on Thursday, these Kentucky-Tennessee predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.

Check back in for more college basketball prediction alerts as part of our ongoing NCAAB coverage in March, 2025.

Kentucky vs. Tennessee Key Details

Friday's March Madness matchup between Tennessee and Kentucky is scheduled for Friday, March 28, 2025.

• Who: Kentucky vs. Tennessee
• Date: Friday, March 28, 2025
• Approx. Time: 7:39PM ET
• Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium

Further Resources for Betting on Kentucky-Tennessee

• News: Latest College Basketball News
• Rankings: College Basketball AP Top 25
• Odds: Best College Basketball Betting Odds

Conclusion

According to our computer model, the Tennessee, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat Kentucky on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kentucky vs. Tennessee insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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