Analysts Update Arizona-Duke Prediction Following Latest Maliq Brown Injury Update

Duke and Arizona are scheduled to meet in a March Madness Sweet 16 matchup at Prudential Center on Thursday, March 27, 2025, with tipoff set for 9:39PM ET.

One key variable heading into this game is the status of Duke forward Maliq Brown, who has been dealing with a shoulder injury sustained during the ACC Tournament quarterfinals against Georgia Tech — his second dislocation of the same shoulder this season, according to NewsBreak Sports. 

Brown is officially listed as “day-to-day” and was seen participating in limited practice sessions this week. He missed both of Duke’s first-round games but was no longer wearing a sling during Sunday’s win over Baylor, as reported by Rotowire. Head coach Jon Scheyer said Brown will be re-evaluated during pregame warmups ahead of Thursday’s tip.

Taking Brown’s uncertain status into account—as well as other recent lineup developments—our analysts ran 10,000 updated simulations using each team’s current rotation. The projections were then compared to the latest betting odds to build the newly updated Arizona-Duke preview below.

Check the latest 2025 NCAA Championship probabilities from our expert team.

For a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, visit our interactive Arizona-Duke predictions page.

Arizona vs. Duke Latest Odds

We've sourced the best betting odds in America for Thursday's March Madness clash:

• Spread: Arizona, +9.5 (-112), Duke, -9.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Arizona, +390, Duke, +450
• Total: Over/Under 153.5 (-110/-106)

To make the most of the above odds, check out the latest offer from Bet365, that secures you $150 in bonus bets to use on any game.

Adjusted Arizona vs. Duke College Basketball Predictions for Sweet 16

Leveraging powerful machine learning and analysis, we re-simulated the Arizona-Duke game 10,000 times as part of our college basketball predictions coverage. Here are the updated predictions and insights based on Maliq Brown's current status of questionable:

• Straight Up Win Probabilities: Arizona 19%, Duke 81%
• Predicted Final Score: Arizona 72-81 Duke
• Spread: Arizona (+9.5) 50%, Duke (-9.5) 50%
• Total Points (153.5): Over 50%, Under 50%

As of 3:45PM ET, these Arizona-Duke predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.

Check back in for more college basketball prediction alerts as part of our ongoing NCAAB coverage in March, 2025.

Arizona vs. Duke Key Details

Thursday's March Madness game between Duke and Arizona is scheduled for Thursday, March 27, 2025.

• Who: Arizona vs. Duke
• Date: Thursday, March 27, 2025
• Approx. Time: 9:39PM ET
• Venue: Prudential Center

Further Resources for Betting on Arizona-Duke

• News: Latest College Basketball News
• Rankings: College Basketball AP Top 25
• Odds: Best College Basketball Betting Odds

Conclusion

According to our computer model, the Duke, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat Arizona on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arizona vs. Duke insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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