Analysts release new Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction after critical Jalen Carter SB LIX update

Super Bowl LIX is set to feature the Kansas City Chiefs against the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday, February 9, 2025, with kickoff at 6:30 p.m. EST at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.

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In the final week of lead-up to Super Bowl LIX, the health of Eagles' defensive tackle Jalen Carter has suddenly emerged as a trending topic. Carter terrified Eagles fans with a missed practice earlier in the week due to an illness that has reportedly been running through the Eagles' locker room.

Carter, a pivotal force on the Eagles' defensive line, recorded 4.5 sacks and 12 tackles for loss during the regular season. 

It has now been confirmed that Carter will play on Sunday, after being upgraded to a full participant in practice.

This update prompted Dimers' analysts to reevaluate their Chiefs vs. Eagles predictions and player stat projections using new simulations that factored in Carter's confirmed availability. 

The results of Dimers' simulations were compared to updated sportsbook odds to compile the data-driven Chiefs-Eagles preview below.

Chiefs vs. Eagles betting preview

Check out all the important details on tonight’s game, as well as the best odds sourced from the top sportsbooks in the country.

Game details

The key information you need before the Chiefs vs. Eagles NFL game.

• Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles
• Date: Sunday, February 9, 2025
• Kickoff: 6:30 p.m. EST
• Location: Caesars Superdome
• NFL standings: Current NFL division standings
• NFL injuries: Check the latest updates to the official NFL injury report

Odds

Odds for the key markets in the Chiefs-Eagles NFL battle.

• Spread: Chiefs -1.5 (-105), Eagles +1.5 (-115)
• Moneyline: Chiefs -120, Eagles +102
• Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110)

The odds and lines featured here are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fans of both teams can unlock betting bonuses with the current NFL promos from DraftKings, BetMGM, and FanDuel, whileBet365’s $150 sign-up offer has emerged as the most popular Eagles betting deal among local fans in Pennsylvania.

Expert prediction: Chiefs vs. Eagles

Using cutting-edge data analysis and computer power, the experts at Dimers have performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Chiefs vs. Eagles game.

According to Dimers' popular predictive analytics model, the Chiefs are more likely to beat the Eagles at Caesars Superdome. This prediction is based on the model giving the Chiefs a 58% chance of winning the game.

Furthermore, Dimers predicts that the Chiefs (-1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 56% chance of staying under.

As always, these predictions and probabilities are accurate at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Chiefs vs. Eagles best bet

Our top pick for the Chiefs vs. Eagles game on Sunday is to bet on Under 48.5 points (-110).

This betting advice is formulated through world-class modeling and valuable wagering intelligence, designed to assist you in making smarter decisions.

Score prediction for Chiefs vs. Eagles

Dimers' projected final score for the Kansas City vs. Philadelphia game on Sunday has the Chiefs winning 24-22.

This expert prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations, offering a glimpse into the potential outcome.

NFL player props: Sunday

NFL player prop bets are a great way to wager on Sunday's game without necessarily betting on its outcome.

This article features the most likely first and anytime touchdown scorers for the Chiefs and Eagles, as well as projected player stats.

Kansas City Chiefs

First touchdown scorer predictions

• Kareem Hunt: 11.5% probability
• Travis Kelce: 9.2% probability
• Xavier Worthy: 8.4% probability

Anytime touchdown predictions

• Kareem Hunt: 48.4% probability
• Travis Kelce: 42.4% probability
• Xavier Worthy: 38.8% probability

Projected box score leaders

• QB passing yards: Patrick Mahomes, 259 yards
• Receiving yards: Travis Kelce, 69 yards
• Rushing yards: Kareem Hunt, 47 yards

Philadelphia Eagles

First touchdown scorer predictions

• Saquon Barkley: 13.8% probability
• Jalen Hurts: 11.4% probability
• A.J. Brown: 8.2% probability

Anytime touchdown predictions

• Saquon Barkley: 56.8% probability
• Jalen Hurts: 51.0% probability
• A.J. Brown: 38.0% probability

Projected box score leaders

• QB passing yards: Jalen Hurts, 185 yards
• Receiving yards: A.J. Brown, 77 yards
• Rushing yards: Saquon Barkley, 124 yards

Super Bowl LIX: Chiefs vs. Eagles

Get ready for Sunday's game between the Chiefs and Eagles in the 2025 Super Bowl at Caesars Superdome, which is scheduled to start at 6:30 p.m. EST. We emphasize that all of the NFL predictions and NFL best bets in this preview are derived from 10,000 data-driven simulations of the Chiefs vs. Eagles game, and they are accurate at the time of publishing to help you make better decisions when placing bets at online sportsbooks.

Please note that when engaging in online betting, it is important to exercise responsible gambling practices and seek reputable sources for accurate and up-to-date information.