Alex de Minaur vs. Lorenzo Sonego Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Madrid Open 2025

Alex de Minaur will face Lorenzo Sonego in the round of 64 at the ATP Madrid event on Saturday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Alex de Minaur as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's de Minaur-Sonego match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that Alex de Minaur is more likely to win, while Lorenzo Sonego has a lower chance of victory."

For a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive de Minaur vs. Sonego predictions page.

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de Minaur vs. Sonego Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Round of 32?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's de Minaur-Sonego men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives de Minaur a 72% chance of beating Sonego at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, de Minaur has a 67% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

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Alex de Minaur vs. Lorenzo Sonego Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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de Minaur vs. Sonego Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's de Minaur vs. Sonego match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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de Minaur vs. Sonego Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Alex de Minaur and Lorenzo Sonego is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 7:00AM ET.

• Who: Alex de Minaur vs. Lorenzo Sonego
• Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025
• Approx. Time: 7:00AM ET/4:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's de Minaur vs. Sonego match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Alex de Minaur vs. Lorenzo Sonego picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict Alex de Minaur, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Lorenzo Sonego at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate de Minaur vs. Sonego insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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