Alex de Minaur vs. Denis Shapovalov Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Madrid Open 2025

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Our expert prediction for Tuesday's Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov matchup.

Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Tennis Prediction.
Our Alex de Minaur and Denis Shapovalov tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Alex de Minaur and Denis Shapovalov are scheduled to meet in the round of 32 of the ATP Madrid Open event on Tuesday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Alex de Minaur as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's de Minaur-Shapovalov match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows Alex de Minaur with a win probability of 70%, compared to 30% for Denis Shapovalov."

For further insights into Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive de Minaur vs. Shapovalov predictions page.

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de Minaur vs. Shapovalov Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Round of 16?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's de Minaur-Shapovalov men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives de Minaur a 70% chance of winning against Shapovalov at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, de Minaur has a 66% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

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For more insights into the growing popularity of betting on the sport, check out our comprehensive analysis of tennis' rise in the U.S. sports betting market.

Alex de Minaur vs. Denis Shapovalov Odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type de Minaur Shapovalov
Moneyline -455 +333
First Set -303 +240

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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de Minaur vs. Shapovalov Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's de Minaur vs. Shapovalov match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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de Minaur vs. Shapovalov Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Alex de Minaur and Denis Shapovalov is scheduled to begin on Tuesday at 6:00AM ET.

  • Who: Alex de Minaur vs. Denis Shapovalov
  • Date: Tuesday, April 29, 2025
  • Approx. Time: 6:00AM ET/3:00AM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
  • Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Tuesday's de Minaur vs. Shapovalov match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Alex de Minaur vs. Denis Shapovalov picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict Alex de Minaur, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat Denis Shapovalov at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate de Minaur vs. Shapovalov insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on Tennis

Stay informed with the latest tennis news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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