Alaves vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Odds, La Liga Picks [4/13/2025]

Alaves will face Real Madrid in La Liga action at Estadio de Mendizorroza on Sunday, commencing at 10:15AM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven La Liga model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Real Madrid as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Alaves-Real Madrid game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"Incorporating the most recent updates along with numerous other variables, our prediction gives Alaves a 21.6% chance of winning, Real Madrid a 55.0% chance, and a 23.4% chance of a draw."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Alaves vs. Real Madrid predictions page.

Alaves vs. Real Madrid Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Alaves and Real Madrid 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 21.6% chance of Alaves winning, a 55.0% chance for Real Madrid, and a 23.4% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over, according to our model.

Alaves vs. Real Madrid Odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Alaves	Real Madrid	Draw
+420	-145	+290

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-118	-104

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Alaves vs. Real Madrid Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Alaves vs. Real Madrid matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best La Liga picks and La Liga best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Alaves vs. Real Madrid: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
ALV 1-1 MAD	11.1%
ALV 0-1 MAD	10.9%
ALV 1-2 MAD	9.8%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 52.9% chance that both Alaves and Real Madrid score, and a 47.1% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Alaves vs. Real Madrid Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's La Liga game between Alaves and Real Madrid at Estadio de Mendizorroza is scheduled to start in the United States at 10:15AM ET.

• Who: Alaves vs. Real Madrid
• Date: Sunday, April 13, 2025
• Time: 10:15AM ET/7:15AM PT
• Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Alaves vs. Real Madrid matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Real Madrid vs. Alaves picks, be sure to check out the latest La Liga predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Alaves has a 21.6% win probability on Sunday, Real Madrid has a 55.0% win probability, and there is a 23.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Alaves vs. Real Madrid insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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