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A'ja Wilson Revealed as Thursday's Most Likely WNBA First Basket Scorer After New Data Released [7/4/2024]

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Written by Nick Slade
A'ja Wilson Revealed as Thursday's Most Likely WNBA First Basket Scorer After New Data Released [7/4/2024]

This Thursday, July 4th, we have another exciting day of WNBA basketball ahead of us, headlined by the Sun's matchup against the Lynx at 8:00PM ET.

After reviewing Thursday's WNBA simulations this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our data analysts have produced their best first basket bet of the day.




Additionally, this article reveals the top 10 WNBA players our predictive analytics model has identified as having the greatest chance of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Thursday.

Let's dive into today's WNBA first basket news and updates.

WNBA Players to Watch Today

Based on the most recent injury reports, Thursday's WNBA games are expected to feature players such as A'ja Wilson, Napheesa Collier and Ariel Atkins, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Who Will Score the First WNBA Basket Tonight? [July 4, 2024]

Thanks to simulating Thursday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)First Basket Probability
A'ja Wilson (Aces)16.2%
Napheesa Collier (Lynx)13.8%
Ariel Atkins (Mystics)12.2%
Brionna Jones (Sun)12.2%
Stefanie Dolson (Mystics)11.8%
Jackie Young (Aces)11.0%
DiJonai Carrington (Sun)10.6%
Kelsey Plum (Aces)10.4%
Alanna Smith (Lynx)10.4%
DeWanna Bonner (Sun)9.6%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across today's games is A'ja Wilson, with a probability of 16.2%.

Following Wilson closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Napheesa Collier at 13.8% and Ariel Atkins at 12.2%.


A'ja Wilson makes a layup.
A'ja Wilson is one of the most likely WNBA players to score the first basket on Thursday, July 4, 2024.


Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: WNBA First Basket [Thursday, 7/4/2024]

After simulating the result of today's WNBA slate thousands of times, our leading predictive analytics model has discovered the best WNBA first basket betting pick for Thursday. For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.

Stefanie Dolson To Score First Basket

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Mystics and Aces. The bet is on Stefanie Dolson (WSH) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.7% according to our analysis.

Not only does Dolson present an edge according to our model, but she is also among our top five most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.

Note: Clicking links to our sportsbook partners may earn us a referral fee.

Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props

WNBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Thursday's data-driven WNBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!




To increase your chances of winning when betting on WNBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

WNBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds

Complete WNBA Schedule for Today [7/4/2024]

Sports Betting Deals Available for July 4th Week, 2024:

Today's WNBA First Basket Picks: July 4, 2024

This WNBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on WNBA first basket picks for July 4, 2024. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' WNBA first basket predictions for Thursday, July 4, have been made after rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate WNBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's WNBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

More on WNBA

This article is part of our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets series.

For more WNBA betting content, we have WNBA trends for every game, as well as daily WNBA betting news and the latest WNBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers.com, Stats Insider, and Gambling Today, and specializes in soccer, NHL, and NBA betting.

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