After 7 straight NBA playoff losses...is it time to fade Kevin Durant?

Going back to 2021, Kevin Durant's teams have lost seven straight NBA Playoff games.  As bettors, is it time to fade him? We take a closer look at Durant's player props, and his performance during these losses. Read on for our full analysis, and if you're looking to build parlays, don't forget to check out our Dimers Parlay Picker which does the work for you in putting the best of the Dimers projection data together into a quick parlay for you to bet.

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Kevin Durant's Playoff Losing Streak

Going back to the Eastern Conference Semifinals in 2021, when the Brooklyn Nets had a 3-2 lead over the Milwaukee Bucks, Kevin Durant's teams have lost seven consecutive playoff games in the NBA Playoffs. While it might seem like his performance is to blame based on twitter memes, the truth is, if you have been betting Kevin Durant's player props during this losing streak, you haven't been losing money. Let's take a closer look, and determine whether or not it would be wise to fade Kevin Durant tonight, and in the rest of the 2023 NBA Playoffs.

Kevin Durant Points

Durant's Over/Under for points vs. the Clippers is set at 27.5 points (-120). During this seven-game playoff losing streak, Durant has averaged 30.3 points per game. He has high scoring games during that span of 48 points, 39 points and 32 points. His Over 27.5 points would have hit in three of seven games, but in two of the Unders, he scored exactly 27 points, including his most recent game in Game 1 against the Clippers. DimersBOT projects Kevin Durant to score a whopping 34 points tonight, smashing his line of 27.5 points in the process.

Kevin Durant Assists

Durant's Over/Under for assists vs. the Clippers is set at 5.5 assists (-120). During this seven-game playoff losing streak, Durant has averaged 6.4 assists per game. He has high-assist games during that span of 11 assists, nine assists and eight assists, and all three of those totals came in his three most recent playoff games. His Over 5.5 assists would have hit in four of seven games, and just narrowly missed in one of the Unders, with five assists. 

Kevin Durant Rebounds

Durant's Over/Under for rebounds vs. the Clippers is set at 7.5 rebounds (-135). During this seven-game playoff losing streak, Durant has averaged 7.4 points per game. He has high-rebound games during that span of 11 rebounds and nine rebounds (twice). His Over 7.5 rebounds would have hit in four of seven games, and just missed in another when he totaled exactly seven rebounds. DimersBOT projects Kevin Durant to record eight rebounds tonight, making the juice worth the squeeze.

The Best Way to Bet Kevin Durant Tonight

Since research shows that in Kevin Durant's losing streak, his performances have still been superstar-worthy, and more importantly profitable, there's one way we recommend betting Kevin Durant tonight that stands out most. At DraftKings Sportsbook, Durant's line for combined Points + Rebounds + Assists sits at 41.5 (-120). DimersBOT projects Durant to finish with 47 P+R+A, making this easily one of the best values on the board for playoff prop bets.

Bonus Bet...

If you aren't convinced that Durant will have a big night, here's an alternative. Durant's losing streak is the only negative Suns trend...referee Scott Foster will be officiating Game 2, and Chris Paul has lost his last 14 playoff games that Foster has officiated. While there's no good way to know if this is pure luck, or an actual trend with substance behind it, our DimersBOT model likes the Clippers chances to cover tonight. We give the Clips a 54% chance of covering the 8-point spread. Paired with Durant's Overs, this is a good way to hedge and hope that both will hit!

Find out who we are betting on from a game to game basis via our NBA Bet Hub, where we deliver you NBA predictions and suggested bets, or check out the NBA Betting News section.