Islanders @ Lightning Game One: Predictions, picks and bets

The Eastern Conference finals begin today with the New York Islanders taking on the Tampa Bay Lightning.

The Lightning (43-21) had a much stronger regular season than the Islanders (35-23) but that means little once you reach the conference finals.

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Will it be Tampa Bay or New York that take the early lead? NHL Bet Hub predictions below 👇

Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this particular matchup

Dimers' Suggested Plays

🔥 BEST: Lightning ML (-150*)
💪 Puck line: Islanders +1.5
☝ Total goals: o5.5
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BEST: Moneyline

Lightning (-150*) has a 58% probability

The Lightning come into this series as the stronger of the two sides and will be keen to set the tone early. Our model has them as a 58% chance of getting the dub.

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Puck line

Islanders +1.5 has a 66% probability

The Islanders have fought their way this far and won’t be giving up easily. We’ve got them as a two-thirds chance of covering.

Over/Under

Total goals o5.5 has a 5.6% edge against the books

These playoffs have seen PLENTY of high-scoring games and this one could be just the same. Slightly under 50% chance of going over but the odds simply don’t reflect that. Basically our model has the over as much more likely than the sportsbooks are suggesting.

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Dimers' take-out

A massive game one here with the Lightning looking to flex their muscles in a game we have them winning. If you're keen to play, you can review the best legal online sportsbooks in your area, here.

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*Odds and probabilities correct at time of publishing.