8 Best NBA Player Props For Friday November 4, 2022

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Written by Nick Slade
8 Best NBA Player Props For Friday November 4, 2022

We've dived deep into our predictive analytics model, otherwise known as DimersBOT, to identify the best odds and betting opportunities, plus the best NBA player props for Friday November 4, 2022. Using the world renowned Monte Carlo method, we have simulated every major pro and college sport over 10,000 times to produce NBA predictions that paint the clearest picture of what is likely to occur in any given game, and which players will contribute to those predictions either hitting or missing. We then use these suggested prop bets and match them against the sportsbooks' odds to identify where we have a betting edge, and where we believe the odds makers have got it wrong in their assessment of an NBA matchup.

Using the Total Points, Rebounds, Assists, Three-Pointers, Blocks, Steals and Turnovers player prop markets, and then matching them against the results of our simulations, gives us a massive opportunity to identify the 8 best player prop bets for Friday, with the biggest edges, to throw our cash down on today.

 

NBA Player Props Friday

Jazz vs. Lakers

BET: Kelly Olynyk Over 3.5 Assists (+132)

We predict Kelly Olynyk to have 5.9 Assists in the Jazz's matchup against the Lakers, so based on the +132 odds available, this presents a huge edge of 20.2% against his line of 3.5. To ensure we get full bang for our buck here, we need to place this bet with PointsBet Sportsbook, who currently have a special new customer offer where new users can score 5x $100 risk-free bets, you can claim them here.

BET: Kelly Olynyk Over 11.5 Points Scored (+102)

After over 10,000 simulations of this game, our predictive analytics model has determined that the 11.5 Points line set for Olynyk is too low and that he will register 17.6. With +102 odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook, the Over represents an edge of 12.4%. Right now, DraftKings will give new users $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Claim that cash here

BET: LeBron James Under 7.5 Total Assists (-115)

DimersBOT has LeBron dishing just 4.8 dimes tonight so, at odds of -115, betting LeBron Under 7.5 assists gives us an edge of 11.1%. We need to place this bet at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Claim it here.

BET: Patrick Beverley Over 3.5 Total Assists (+125)

Following 10,000 different simulations of this matchup, our super computer has determined that the 3.5 Assists line set for Pat Bev is too low and that he will register 4.3 With +125 odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook, the Over represents an edge of 10.1%. Right now, DraftKings will give new users $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Join here

BET: Patrick Beverley Over 6.5 Points Scored (+105)

We expect Beverley to have 10.8 Points in the Lakers' matchup against the Jazz, so based on the +105 odds we can get, this presents a nice edge of 9.9% against his line of 6.5. To ensure we maximize the value on offer here, we need to place this bet with DraftKings Sportsbook, who currently have the best new customer offer where new users can bet $5 on any NBA money line and get $200 in bonus bets if it hits, right here.

Warriors vs. Pelicans

BET: Zion Williamson Under 7.5 Total Rebounds (+110)

Our predictive analytics model has determined that the 7.5 Rebounds line set for Zion is too high and that he will register just 6.0. With +110 odds available at Caesars Sportsbook, the Under represents an edge of 10.8%. Right now, Caesars will give new users a risk-free bet of up to $1250. Claim yours here

Bulls vs. Celtics

BET: Nikola Vucevic Under 11.5 Total Rebounds (+104)

Our predictive analytics model has Vucevic down for 9.8 boards tonight against the Celtics, so with odds of +104 available we should bet his Under 11.5 rebounds line with FanDuel Sportsbook where we have a 10.5% edge. You can register an account here and score a $1000 risk-free bet.

Nets vs. Wizards

BET: Kevin Durant Under 3.5 Total Turnovers (+100)

After over 10,000 simulations of this game, our predictive analytics model has determined that the 3.5 Turnovers line set for KD is too high and that he will register just 2.7. With +100 odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook, the Under represents an edge of 10.5%. Right now, DraftKings will give new users $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Claim that cash here

NBA Player Props Today

Kelly Olynyk  o3.5 Assists (+132) 20.2% edge
Kelly Olynyk o11.5 Rebs (+102) 12.4% edge
LeBron James u7.5 Assists (-115) 11.1% edge
Zion Williamson u7.5 Rebs (+110) 10.8% edge
Nikola Vucevic u11.5 Rebs (+104) 10.5% edge
Kevin Durant u3.5 T-overs (+100) 10.5% edge
Patrick Beverley o3.5 Assists (+125) 10.1% edge
Patrick Beverley o6.5 Points (+105) 9.9% edge
 
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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers and Stats Insider, and specializes in soccer, NBA and NHL betting.

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