49ers vs. Falcons Week 6 Prediction and Odds - Oct 16, 2022

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Written by Kevin Hansen
49ers vs. Falcons Week 6 Prediction and Odds - Oct 16, 2022

NFL Week 6 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the favored San Francisco 49ers take on the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Dimers' free betting picks for 49ers vs. Falcons, as well as our score prediction, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured below.

 

Who will win 49ers vs. Falcons?

Using cutting-edge machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's 49ers-Falcons NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' popular predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the 49ers a 66% chance of beating the Falcons in Week 6 of the NFL season.

More: Full Betting Guide for 49ers vs. Falcons

49ers vs. Falcons Current Odds

  • Spread: Falcons +5.5 (-110), 49ers -5.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Falcons +200, 49ers -215
  • Total: Over/Under 44.5 (-105/-110)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Falcons are currently +5.5 underdogs versus the 49ers, with -110 at Caesars Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored 49ers (-5.5) to cover the spread, Caesars Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on offer at -110.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Falcons at +200. That means you can bet $100 to profit $200, earning a total payout of $300, if they win.

Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the 49ers at -215, where you can risk $215 to win $100, for a total payout of $315, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under is set at 44.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out all the online sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Falcons (+5.5) are a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Predictions for Every NFL Week 6 Game

Best Bets for 49ers vs. Falcons

  • Spread: Falcons +5.5 @ -110 via Caesars Sportsbook (54% probability)
  • Moneyline: Falcons @ +200 via BetMGM (0.4% edge)
  • Total: Over 44.5 @ -105 via PointsBet (50% probability)

 

Dimers' best bets are based on complex modeling and gambling intelligence to help you make better decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.

While the 49ers are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Falcons moneyline is the best option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers.com is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability as a bettor.

49ers vs. Falcons Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for San Francisco vs. Atlanta at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 6 has the 49ers winning 24-20.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's 49ers-Falcons matchup in Week 6, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

49ers vs. Falcons Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in 49ers vs. Falcons? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the 49ers and Falcons, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, San Francisco's Deebo Samuel is most likely to score the first touchdown in 49ers vs. Falcons.

DimersBOT gives Samuel an 11.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the 49ers WR is a 46.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

 

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

San Francisco 49ers

  • Deebo Samuel: 11.5% probability
  • Jeff Wilson: 8.5% probability
  • Brandon Aiyuk: 6.6% probability
  • George Kittle: 6.1% probability
  • Jauan Jennings: 4.7% probability

Atlanta Falcons

  • Drake London: 7.9% probability
  • Tyler Allgeier: 7.6% probability
  • Caleb Huntley: 7.4% probability
  • Kyle Pitts: 6.6% probability
  • Marcus Mariota: 4.6% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

San Francisco 49ers

  • Deebo Samuel: 46.1% probability
  • Jeff Wilson: 36.3% probability
  • Brandon Aiyuk: 29.5% probability
  • George Kittle: 27.3% probability
  • Jauan Jennings: 21.0% probability

Atlanta Falcons

  • Drake London: 34.4% probability
  • Tyler Allgeier: 32.7% probability
  • Caleb Huntley: 31.4% probability
  • Kyle Pitts: 29.4% probability
  • Marcus Mariota: 22.8% probability

49ers-Falcons Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the 49ers' Jimmy Garoppolo is projected for 253 passing yards. The Falcons' Marcus Mariota is expected to throw for 199 yards.

49ers Starting QB

  • Jimmy Garoppolo: 253 projected yards

Falcons Starting QB

  • Marcus Mariota: 199 projected yards

49ers Rushing

  • Jeff Wilson: 57 projected yards
  • Deebo Samuel: 23 projected yards
  • Tevin Coleman: 20 projected yards

Falcons Rushing

  • Tyler Allgeier: 60 projected yards
  • Caleb Huntley: 34 projected yards
  • Marcus Mariota: 30 projected yards

49ers Receiving

  • George Kittle: 54 projected yards
  • Deebo Samuel: 53 projected yards
  • Brandon Aiyuk: 41 projected yards
  • Jauan Jennings: 20 projected yards
  • Kyle Juszczyk: 18 projected yards

Falcons Receiving

  • Drake London: 59 projected yards
  • Kyle Pitts: 48 projected yards
  • Olamide Zaccheaus: 39 projected yards
  • KhaDarel Hodge: 16 projected yards
  • Tyler Allgeier: 13 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so keep an eye on this article for any changes to our betting insights before 49ers vs. Falcons on Sunday October 16, 2022.

 

49ers vs. Falcons 2022

The NFL Week 6 action between the Falcons and 49ers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

  • Who: San Francisco 49ers vs. Atlanta Falcons
  • Date: Sunday October 16, 2022
  • Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

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Want more NFL predictions like this?

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That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds against its own probabilities to find value in the markets, which allows us to create the most authoritative NFL betting previews and beat the public and the sportsbooks to the punch.

It's only a click away, so why not take a look around?

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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