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2025 Cognizant Classic at the Palm Beaches Predictions, Picks and Odds at PGA National
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Reviewed by Nick Slade
We put every effort into ensuring information on Dimers is accurate. But double-check details that matter to you before making any wager.
The PGA TOUR tees off its Florida swing at The Cognizant Classic at the Palm Beaches. Check out our best winner picks and placement bets from our predictive model.
The 2025 PGA TOUR season continues with The Cognizant Classic at the Palm Beaches, running from Thursday, February 27 through Sunday, March 2.
We're teeing off the Florida swing of the PGA TOUR at PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens, FL at the event formerly known as the Honda Classic. One of our pre-tournament value picks, Aaron Rai, nearly won at the Mexico Open, settling for a T4 after being tied for lead late in Round 4, and we're back for more down south.
Our predictive analytics model has run 1000s of simulations with the field in this tournament, identifying intriguing bets in the winner and placement markets. Our best bets are here to help with outright winner plays, as well as recommended Top-5, Top-10 and Top-20 picks.
Also, make sure you visit Dimers all golf season long, where we'll be feeding you our trusted PGA best bets on a weekly basis. These PGA predictions are sourced from our powerful Dimers Pro predictive analytics model that pulled off some big wins in 2024and is off to a productive start this year, identifying multiple mid-tournament winners in 2025 like Harris English and Sepp Straka at longshot odds.
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Get 20% off Dimers Pro with code 20GOLF Get Dimers Pro Who Will Win the 2025 Cognizant Classic at the Palm Beaches?
Here are the five most likely winners of this week's Cognizant Classic, the result of simulating the tournament 10,000 times via our A.I. models, as well as each golfer's odds to finish Top 5/10/20:
| GOLFER | WIN | TOP 5 | TOP 10 | TOP 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Henley | 6.3% | 20.7% | 32.6% | 49.3% |
| Shane Lowry | 5.3% | 19.6% | 31.7% | 47.9% |
| Sungjae Im | 4.4% | 16.5% | 27.1% | 42.9% |
| Taylor Pendrith | 4.1% | 16.7% | 27.6% | 43.8% |
| Sepp Straka | 3.8% | 14.5% | 24.2% | 39.7% |
The Cognizant Classic Betting Preview
After a thrilling finish to the Mexico Open that came down to a playoff, we're off to PGA National, one of the toughest coursed on the PGA TOUR.
Specifically, we'll be watching the action on The Champion Course at PGA National, a 7,167 par-71, featuring tight driving lanes, an abundance of water hazards (15 out of 18 holes) and 11 Par 4s. This means birdies will be as critical as ever while navigating the space between the tee box and the green - we'll want accuracy and patience to be at the forefront.
The returning champion is Austin Eckroat, who gets a 1.1% probability of a repeat win from our model - he would be the first back-to-back winner since Jack Nicklaus in 1977-78.
Golfers who can navigate "The Bear Trap," the back nine's closing stretch of holes with formidable water hazards directly between the ballstriker and the green, will likely find themself pulling away from the the pack.
MORE: Dimers' In-House Golf Rankings
Best Bets to Win the 2025 Cognizant Classic
Russell Henley (+2500 on DraftKings)
The 2014 winner of this stop on the PGA TOUR, Russell Henley is both our favorite and the books' favorite, depending where you get his best odds. that second part is important, because you can find him anywhere from +2000 to +2500 as of this writing.
Over his past 24 rounds, Henley is tied for second in Par 4 scoring, just 0.03 strokes behind Harry Hall. He's 24th in Strokes Gained: Approach and 12th in Driving Accuracy, checking nearly every box we want. Add on his elite putter and we've got a recipe for success. His two most recent finishes here are T41 (2024), T3 (2021), and T8 (2020).
this week, our model favors Henley to win with a 6.3% probability. That makes our fair odds at +1400, meaning he's a bargain at his lowest price (+2000) up to his best odds of +2500 at DraftKings.
Further, he gets an edge in every market, form Top 20 all the way up, so we recommend a ladder play on Henley, staggering 1-2 units across his Win, Top 5, Top 10 and Top 20 bets.
Denny McCarthy (+4000 on FanDuel)
Just a couple weeks ago, Denny McCarthy was surging towards his first win in over 190 events. It wasn't meant to be, as he finished with a pair of 71s and a T5.
He's had a solid showing to star to the year, with a pair of T16s along with his T5 as his best finishes. He excels on approach, good accuracy over the TOUR average and a solid putter. If he can put it all together for four rounds, there's no reason he shouldn't find himself in the Top 10 and pushing for a win.
His odds have gotten better since opening, making him an even better value play than before. We've got McCarthy at 3.5% to win, just outside our Top 5, while the books' odds of +4000 , imply just +2.4%. Our fair odds would be +2750, for some big value, especially considering he's as low as +3300.
Billy Horschel (+5500 on FanDuel)
For our last winner pick, we'll ride with Billy Horschel who's coming off a pair of missed cuts, but has excelled on this course in the past.
Horschel has three Top 10s and a pair of Top 20 finishes at PGA National in his past eight starts here, coming of a T9 last year, in which he also struggled in the previous West Coast events.
He's ranked in the Top 10 in strokes gained both on Florida courses and comparably difficult courses. His driving leaves a little to be desired, but he's sound on Approach, hitting Greens in Regulation and a solid scrambler.
Beyond that, he's a great value play - his +5500 odds are well over his implied odds based on our model's 2.4% probability (+4065).
Best Top 20 Bets for the 2025 Cognizant Classic
In addition to the outright winner picks with value, we've got a few placement bets to consider for this week's Cognizant Classic at the Palm Beaches as well. As well as being value plays as single wagers, consider playing these in a parlay to potentially rack up some serious profits.
Taylor Pendrith to Finish Top 20 (+160 on DraftKings)
Our first Top 20 pick is a golfer who's got some winner value as well, so be sure to check where you can get Taylor Pendrith's best odds.
The Canadian is our fourth most-likely winner at PGA National, and gets a 43.8% probability to finish Top 20, with his odds of +160 implying just 38.5% for a significant 5% edge.
Over his past 24 rounds, he's gained the most stroked out of this entire field and is tied for second on good drives. He has three Top 20s this year and two Top 10s, buoyed by his 4th-ranked SG: Off the Tee.
Shane Lowry to Finish Top 20 (+120 on DraftKings)
We're getting plus-money on the book's favorite to win the tournament, just to finish Top 20? Sign us up.
Shane Lowry has only played in three events this year, with a variety of results: a missed cut, a 2nd-place finish and a T39. The Irishman has still gained stroked in all relevant categories at PGA National: 25th in Driving Accuracy, 39th Off the Tee, 1st in Proximity and 21st overall.
We've got him at 47.9% to finish Top 20, for fair odds of +108, giving us a little value at +120.
Max Greyserman to Finish Top 20 (+230 on DraftKings)
Finally, we'll go a little further down the board for a nice value play on Max Greyserman, a golfer on the rise.
He's made all his cuts this year, with a finish as high as T7 at The American Express. He's also got a pair of T24s, both at signature events, just missing our target mark here.
He's very good on approach, especially for a golfer with his pedigree, and he's been above the field average on the greens.
To top it off, his 34.0% probability from our model identifies fair odds of just +195, while we can get him at +230 on DraftKings.
Dimers' Expert Golf Picks and Predictions for 2025 PGA TOUR
As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictionsfor every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.
- PGA Predictions: Our data-backed predictions for every tournament
- Head-to-Head Predictor: Simulate any H2H tournament matchup between golfers
- Dimers' PGA Rankings: Our in-house approach to ranking the World's best golfers
- PGA Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the PGA TOUR
Dimers and Responsible Gambling
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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Nick Slade as part of our fact-checking process.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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