2024 NFL Season Preview: Rookie of the Year, NFC Win Totals and the Super Bowl

We’re less than three months out from the 2024-25 NFL season, rapidly approaching as we’re getting into OTAs, training camps, preseason games and before you know it, Week 1.

There’s nothing sweeter than getting some early value, especially on a futures bet, so we’re using our custom models built by our top-notch data scientists to glean some value in various NFL futures markets, months before we dig int our NFL Player Props and Best NFL Bets.

As Dimers revealed this offseason, we’ve begun running our NFL season models for win totals and playoff probabilities. With these insights, we’ve already uncovered edges against the books, plus teams that you should fade or tail this season.

Now, our social media and editorial content creator, Dave Garofolo, is going to use that data, plus a little common football knowledge to find some more longshot bets worth a look in the early summer, hopefully paying out dividends come the end of the regular NFL season.

We’ll be using BetMGM odds for reference, where you can currently unlock three months of our Dimers Pro subscription service for just a $10 bet.

Let’s dig in!

NFC Futures Bets Worth a Look

This feature will be split into two parts – the NFC and the AFC. For our futures look at the whole NFL regardless of conference, check out our 2024 NFL Season Preview: Early Betting Insights and High-Probability Bets article.

San Francisco 49ers

BET: Win Super Bowl (+650)

The 49ers are just one of two teams in our early futured model with a double-digit probability to win it all, the other being the defending champions, the Kansas City Chiefs.

The 49ers were right there last year, as close to a Super Bowl victory as could be and they’ll return most if not all of their same best players in a division that should play about the same as last season. At 11.3%, you’d really like to get them at +800 if possible, gut this is the best you can find at this point.

Chicago Bears

BET: Matt Eberflus Coach of the Year (+900)

Our model favors the Bears to miss the playoffs with a 62.7% probability, giving us a 10.8% edge against the odds offered by the books.  Similarly, our model projects them for under 8.5 wins, going under with a 53.3% probability.

That being said, the Bears will have an undoubtedly improved roster heading into this season. Caleb Williams is a rookie, but could shine as we’ve seen in the past (recently, even, with C.J. Stroud). Should the Bears win some early games, or even contend down the stretch, the price on Eberflus is sure to shrink, making this a better look now than once the season gets underway.

MORE: Our NFL Futures Odds and Probabilities

New York Giants

BET: Daniel Jones CPOY (+2500)

This one is a longshot and rightfully so, but if our model is projecting the Giants to go over their6.5 win total with a 52.3% probability in what could be a closer divisional race than last year, there’s a path for Daniel Jonesto cut into these odds.

Aaron Rodgers is the heavy favorite at +125 and understand this – it’s his to lose. Hell, he was in the market approaching the end of last season amidst speculation he could return then. He’ll have to underperform or sustain another injury for him to lose control of this award, but those are certainly within the realm of possibilities. Plus, the allure of the Giants on Hard Knocks certainly brings some hype.

After Geno Smith and Joe Flacco won the award the past two seasons, the NFL has encouraged voters to consider weighing comebacks form injury over “poor play.” The last six winners have been a quarterback.

Dimers Pro: Brand-new Discord – included with Pro membership

Carolina Panthers

BET: Lose all 6 Division games (+700)

Does our model project the Panthers to go over 4.5 wins? Yes, with a very strong 76.2% probability. Could they still be very bad? Yes.

Even if the Panthers can show some semblance of improvement, they are by far the worst team in their division. This is worth a flier.

Arizona Cardinals

BET: Marvin Harrison OROY (+650)

While we project the Cardinals to go over their season win total of 6.5, we find value in their under, a 5.8% edge against our model’s probability of 45.3%.

Fortunately for Marvin Harrison Jr., a wide receiver can excel on a struggling team, especially with a Quarterback who has plenty to prove and little fear of airing it out.

The Quarterbacks are favored, no doubt, but Harrison is a freak athlete and we’ve seen wide receivers shine in their rookie seasons (Justin Jefferson, Ja’Marr Chase).

Responsible Gambling

Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.