2021 MLB Playoffs: AL Wild Card Game - New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: Betting Picks: Tuesday October 5, 2021

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
2021 MLB Playoffs: AL Wild Card Game - New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: Betting Picks: Tuesday October 5, 2021

Not even the best screenwriters in Hollywood could have scripted this. Two of baseball's biggest rivals, in a do-or-die one-off game to determine who moves on in the MLB Playoffs.

The AL Wild Card Game takes place on Tuesday October 5, 2021, between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox. As we do with every game, we've simulated this game 10,000 times to determine where the value lies for baseball bettors across the United States.

With MLB betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for Tuesday's MLB game by reading this article.

Today's MLB best bets and odds are proudly brought to you by Caesars Sportsbook.

Caesars is great to use when betting on baseball, but they also have the best new customer offer going around, as you can see below!‍

Free MLB Picks For Tuesday October 5, 2021

Yankees vs. Red Sox

BEST BET: Total runs OVER 8 with Caesars (-114)

One thing we can be sure of heading into this game is that both team's fans are not confident and they are petrified of the consequences should they lose to their biggest rival. Both sets of ball clubs are in weird spots at the moment, neither really displaying the type of form that could make a bettor confident of what will happen and who will advance.

Normally with Gerrit Cole starting on the mound, you could say that the Yankees have the upper edge from the start in the pitching stakes - but not even that statement is entirely accurate given that Cole has given up 15 runs over his last three starts. Boston's form has been shaky, having to rally over the weekend to lock themselves a spot in the postseason. For those reasons, we're staying away from any moneyline bets or spreads and focusing on the total.

As mentioned, Cole looks a little out of sorts over his last three outings. While Nathan Eovaldi has been a little better on the opposite end for Boston, it's the Sox bullpen which will really see this bet cash. They've been leaky as of late and could open the door to New York late in the game to take full advantage. Our projections has the Over down with a high probability.

BEST PROP: Anthony Rizzo to hit a home run with Caesars (+410)

Rizzo likes Nathan Eovaldi a lot, a lot, a lot. The Yankees slugger has a .556 avg against the Red Sox pitcher, with five hits from nine at-bats, only striking out once. This is a great spot for the former Cub to bang one in against one of his favorite throwers.

MORE: Yankees vs. Red Sox simulator


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MLB Parlay For Tuesday, October 5, 2021

πŸ”₯ Total runs OVER 8
πŸ”₯ Rizzo to hit a HR
πŸ”₯ Aaron Judge 1+ hit
πŸ”₯ Gerrit Cole u7.5 strikeouts

Parlay Odds +1141‍

‍Ready to join a sportsbook and start betting online? Check out the best sports betting promos in your state.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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