10 Best NBA Player Props For Thursday October 27, 2022

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Written by Nick Slade
10 Best NBA Player Props For Thursday October 27, 2022

We've dived deep into our predictive analytics model, otherwise known as DimersBOT, to identify the best odds and betting opportunities, plus the best NBA player props for Thursday October 27, 2022. Using the world renowned Monte Carlo method, we have simulated every major pro and college sport over 10,000 times to produce NBA predictions that paint the clearest picture of what is likely to occur in any given game, and which players will contribute to those predictions either hitting or missing. We then use these suggested prop bets and match them against the sportsbooks' odds to identify where we have a betting edge, and where we believe the odds makers have got it wrong in their assessment of an NBA matchup.

Using the Total Points, Rebounds, Assists, Three-Pointers, Blocks, Steals and Turnovers player prop markets, and then matching them against the results of our simulations, gives us a massive opportunity to identify the 10 best player prop bets for Thursday, with the biggest edges, to throw our cash down on today.

 

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NBA Player Props Thursday

Grizzlies vs. Kings

BET: Steven Adams Over 10.5 Total Rebounds (+118)

We predict Adams to have over 13 rebounds in the Grizzlies' matchup against the Kings, so based on the +118 odds available, this presents a huge edge of 18.0%. To ensure we get full bang for our buck here, we need to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook.

BET: Domantas Sabonis Over 2.5 Total Turnovers (+100)

DimersBOT has the Kings star turning the ball over more times than his line of 2.5 tonight so, at odds of +100, betting Sabonis Over 2.5 turnovers gives us an edge of almost 10% and we're going to attack DraftKings again with this one. Don't forget, new customers can register an account here and score $200 in bonuses in the process.

BET: Harrison Barnes Over 12.5 Points Scored (+115)

It seems as though DimersBOT is a fan of Barnes and thinks the sportsbooks have set his Total Points line too low. Our predictive analytics model has the Kings man down for almost 15 points tonight, meaning the +115 available over at DraftKings Sportsbook gives us a tasty edge of 8.3% on his Over hitting. You can also score $200 in bonuses if you don't have a DKs account yet, join here.

BET: Steven Adams Over 1.5 Total Turnovers (+135)

After over 10,000 simulations of this game, our predictive analytics model has determined that the 1.5 Turnovers line set for the Adams is too low, and it should be about one Turnover higher. Our numbers have Adams down for Over 1.5 Turnovers against the Kings tonight and with +120 odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook, the Over represents an edge of close to 8%.

Clippers vs. Thunder

BET: Luguentz Dort Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made (+162)

Our predictive analytics model has Dort down for exactly 2.5 threes tonight against the Clippers, and with juicy odds of +162 available we should bet his Over 2.5 threes with FanDuel where we are getting another huge 12.2% edge vs. their odds. FanDuel Sportsbook currently has a special new customer offer where new users can score a $1000 risk-free bet, you can claim it here.

BET: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 27.5 Points Scored (-105)

DimersBOT has marked the Thunder man down for just 21.6 points against the Clippers tonight, and with -105 odds on offer for him to stay Under 27.5, this is a great bet with a 10.3% edge. To maxmize the edge we've identified here, this bet needs to be placed at DraftKings Sportsbook. You can register an account here and score $200 in bonuses as a new customer from just a $5 bet.

BET: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 2.5 Total Turnovers (+135)

Our super computer is all over SGA tonight, this time targeting his Total Turnovers number of 2.5. According to our simulations, he will not reach this mark, giving the Under an edge of 8.7% at his current odds of +135 at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Mavericks vs. Nets

BET: Luka Doncic Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made (+125)

We're predicting Doncic to go over his 3.5 3-Pointers made line against the Nets tonight, with DimersBOT having him down to rack up 4. With plus-money on offer for him to do so, the +125 represents a nice 9.5% edge against DraftKings' odds. Bet this one at DraftKings Sportsbook too.

BET: Reggie Bullock Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made (+130)

As with Luka above, this line for Bullock threes looks low too, and our predictive analytics model is all over it. We're projecting almost three threes from the Mavs man tonight, so at +130 odds this bet represents an edge of over 9%. This is another one where the best odds are available at DraftKings Sportsbook, so that's where we need to bet it!

BET: Luka Doncic Over 1.5 Total Steals (+120)

The super computer is looking to cash in on Luka tonight, believing his line of 1.5 steals too low. At +120 odds, the Over is the play here and gets us a 8.2% edge against DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

Best NBA Props Today

Steven Adams o10.5 Rebs (+118) 18.2% edge
Domantas Sabonis o2.5 T-overs (+100) 10% edge
Harrison Barnes o12.5 Points (+115) 8.3% edge
Steven Adams o1.5 T-overs (+135) 8% edge
Luguentz Dort o2.5 3-Pts (+162) 12.2% edge
Gilgeous-Alexander u27.5 Points (-105) 10.3% edge
Gilgeous-Alexander u2.5 T-overs (+135) 8.7% edge
Luka Doncic o3.5 3-Pts (+125) 9.5% edge
Reggie Bullock o2.5 3-Pts (+130) 9% edge
Luka Doncic o1.5 Steals (+120) 8.2% edge
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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers and Stats Insider, and specializes in soccer, NBA and NHL betting.

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