10 Best NBA Player Props For Friday October 28, 2022

profile-img
Written by Nick Slade
10 Best NBA Player Props For Friday October 28, 2022

We've dived deep into our predictive analytics model, otherwise known as DimersBOT, to identify the best odds and betting opportunities, plus the best NBA player props for Friday October 28, 2022. Using the world renowned Monte Carlo method, we have simulated every major pro and college sport over 10,000 times to produce NBA predictions that paint the clearest picture of what is likely to occur in any given game, and which players will contribute to those predictions either hitting or missing. We then use these suggested prop bets and match them against the sportsbooks' odds to identify where we have a betting edge, and where we believe the odds makers have got it wrong in their assessment of an NBA matchup.

Using the Total Points, Rebounds, Assists, Three-Pointers, Blocks, Steals and Turnovers player prop markets, and then matching them against the results of our simulations, gives us a massive opportunity to identify the 10 best player prop bets for Friday, with the biggest edges, to throw our cash down on today.

 

As an NBA bettor, BetMGM is the sportsbook for you. Over at BetMGM Sportsbook new users will score $200 in free bets from a $10 bet when there's a 3-pointer in the game you bet on. Register an account today, right here.

NBA Player Props Friday

Bulls vs. Spurs

BET: Tre Jones Over 5.5 Total Assists (+125)

We predict Jones to have 8.1 Assists in the Spurs' matchup against the Bulls, so based on the +125 odds available, this presents a huge edge of 19.5%. To ensure we get full bang for our buck here, we need to place this bet with PointsBet Sportsbook, where new customers can get 5x $100 risk-free bets. You can claim them here.

Jazz vs. Nuggets

BET: Jarred Vanderbilt Over 1.5 Total Steals (+165)

DimersBOT has the Jazz man getting more Steals tonight than his line of 1.5 so, at odds of +165, betting Vanderbilt Over 1.5 Steals gives us an edge of 17.3%, and we're going to attack DraftKings with this one. New customers can register a DraftKings account here and score $200 in bonuses in the process.

Hawks vs. Pistons

BET: Dejounte Murray Over 8.5 Total Assists (+114)

Our predictive analytics model has Murray down for 11.1 Assists tonight against the Pistons, and with juicy odds of +114 available we should bet his Over 8.5 dimes with FanDuel, where we are getting another huge 17.3% edge vs. their odds. FanDuel Sportsbook currently has a special new customer offer where new users can score a $1000 risk-free bet, you can claim it here.

Pacers vs. Wizards

BET: Bradley Beal Over 6.5 Total Assists (+120)

After over 10,000 simulations of this game, our predictive analytics model has determined that the 6.5 Assists line set for Beal is too low, and it should be almost two dimes higher. Our numbers have Beal down for 8.5 Assists against the Pacers tonight, and with +120 odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook, the Over represents an edge of 14.7%.

Lakers vs. Timberwolves

BET: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 8.5 Total Rebounds (-104)

Our super computer is all over Towns tonight, targeting his Total Rebounds number of 8.5. According to our simulations he will easily reach this mark - in fact DimersBOT has him down for 11.5 Rebounds - meaning the Over has an edge of 14.1% at his current odds of -104 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Rockets vs. Trail Blazers

BET: Jusuf Nurkic Over 2.5 Total Turnovers (+105)

DimersBOT has marked the Blazers man down for 3.5 Turnovers against the Rockets tonight, and with +105 odds on offer for him to go Over his line of 2.5, this is a great bet with a 13.3% edge. To maxmize the edge we've identified here, this bet needs to be placed at DraftKings Sportsbook. You can register an account here and score $200 in bonuses as a new customer from just a $5 bet.

Knicks vs. Bucks

BET: Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 3.5 Total Turnovers (+120)

We're predicting the Greek Freak to stay Under his 3.5 Turnovers line against the Knicks tonight, with DimersBOT having him down to rack up just 2.8. With plus-money on offer for him to do so, the +120 represents a nice 13.0% edge against DraftKings' odds. Bet this one at DraftKings Sportsbook too.

BET: Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 12.5 Total Rebounds (-105)

As with the above, this line for Giannis' Rebounds looks too high, and our predictive analytics model is all over it. We're projecting just 10.5 boards from the Bucks star tonight, so at -105 odds this bet represents an edge of 10.4%. This is another one where the best odds are available at DraftKings Sportsbook, so that's where we need to bet it!

BET: Jalen Brunson Under 5.5 Total Assists (+115)

We think Brunson will stay Under 5.5 Assists against the Giannis and the Bucks tonight, so based on the +115 odds available, this presents an edge of 11.1% when you consider our numbers have him down for just 4.1 Assists. We need to place this bet with PointsBet Sportsbook to ensure we maximize this edge, and new customers can also get 5x $100 risk-free bets by joining here.

76ers vs. Raptors

BET: James Harden Over 9.5 Total Assists (-115)

Our predictive analytics model has Harden down for 12 Assists tonight against the Raptors, and with odds of -115 available we should bet his Over 9.5 dimes with FanDuel, where we are getting another nice 10.1% edge vs. their odds. FanDuel Sportsbook currently has a special new customer offer where new users can score a $1000 risk-free bet, you can claim it here.

 

Best NBA Props Today

Tre Jones o5.5 Assists (+125) 19.5% edge
Jarred Vanderbilt o1.5 Steals (+165) 17.3% edge
Dejounte Murray  o8.5 Assists (+114) 17.3% edge
Bradley Beal  o6.5 Assists (+120) 14.7% edge
K-A Towns o8.5 Rebs (-104) 14.1% edge
Jusuf Nurkic o2.5 T-overs (+105) 13.3% edge
Giannis u3.5 T-overs (+120) 13.0% edge
Jalen Brunson  u5.5 Assists (+115) 11.1% edge
Giannis u12.5 Rebs (-105)  10.4% edge
James Harden  o9.5 Assists (-115) 10.1% edge
profile-img
Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers and Stats Insider, and specializes in soccer, NBA and NHL betting.

Related Articles

More Articles
Loading...

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Why Join Multiple Sportsbooks?
Loading...
More from Dimers
About Dimers
icon 22,000+
Events covered per year
icon 10,000,000+
Users
As seen on
Fox Sports iconESPN iconUSA Today iconForbes iconMLS iconBleacher Report iconSports Illustrated iconYahoo icon