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10 Best NBA Player Props For Friday October 28, 2022
We've dived deep into our predictive analytics model, otherwise known as DimersBOT, to identify the best odds and betting opportunities, plus the best NBA player props for Friday October 28, 2022. Using the world renowned Monte Carlo method, we have simulated every major pro and college sport over 10,000 times to produce NBA predictions that paint the clearest picture of what is likely to occur in any given game, and which players will contribute to those predictions either hitting or missing. We then use these suggested prop bets and match them against the sportsbooks' odds to identify where we have a betting edge, and where we believe the odds makers have got it wrong in their assessment of an NBA matchup.
Using the Total Points, Rebounds, Assists, Three-Pointers, Blocks, Steals and Turnovers player prop markets, and then matching them against the results of our simulations, gives us a massive opportunity to identify the 10 best player prop bets for Friday, with the biggest edges, to throw our cash down on today.
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NBA Player Props Friday
Bulls vs. Spurs
BET: Tre Jones Over 5.5 Total Assists (+125)
We predict Jones to have 8.1 Assists in the Spurs' matchup against the Bulls, so based on the +125 odds available, this presents a huge edge of 19.5%. To ensure we get full bang for our buck here, we need to place this bet with PointsBet Sportsbook, where new customers can get 5x $100 risk-free bets. You can claim them here.
Jazz vs. Nuggets
BET: Jarred Vanderbilt Over 1.5 Total Steals (+165)
DimersBOT has the Jazz man getting more Steals tonight than his line of 1.5 so, at odds of +165, betting Vanderbilt Over 1.5 Steals gives us an edge of 17.3%, and we're going to attack DraftKings with this one. New customers can register a DraftKings account here and score $200 in bonuses in the process.
Hawks vs. Pistons
BET: Dejounte Murray Over 8.5 Total Assists (+114)
Our predictive analytics model has Murray down for 11.1 Assists tonight against the Pistons, and with juicy odds of +114 available we should bet his Over 8.5 dimes with FanDuel, where we are getting another huge 17.3% edge vs. their odds. FanDuel Sportsbook currently has a special new customer offer where new users can score a $1000 risk-free bet, you can claim it here.
Pacers vs. Wizards
BET: Bradley Beal Over 6.5 Total Assists (+120)
After over 10,000 simulations of this game, our predictive analytics model has determined that the 6.5 Assists line set for Beal is too low, and it should be almost two dimes higher. Our numbers have Beal down for 8.5 Assists against the Pacers tonight, and with +120 odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook, the Over represents an edge of 14.7%.
Lakers vs. Timberwolves
BET: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 8.5 Total Rebounds (-104)
Our super computer is all over Towns tonight, targeting his Total Rebounds number of 8.5. According to our simulations he will easily reach this mark - in fact DimersBOT has him down for 11.5 Rebounds - meaning the Over has an edge of 14.1% at his current odds of -104 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers
BET: Jusuf Nurkic Over 2.5 Total Turnovers (+105)
DimersBOT has marked the Blazers man down for 3.5 Turnovers against the Rockets tonight, and with +105 odds on offer for him to go Over his line of 2.5, this is a great bet with a 13.3% edge. To maxmize the edge we've identified here, this bet needs to be placed at DraftKings Sportsbook. You can register an account here and score $200 in bonuses as a new customer from just a $5 bet.
Knicks vs. Bucks
BET: Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 3.5 Total Turnovers (+120)
We're predicting the Greek Freak to stay Under his 3.5 Turnovers line against the Knicks tonight, with DimersBOT having him down to rack up just 2.8. With plus-money on offer for him to do so, the +120 represents a nice 13.0% edge against DraftKings' odds. Bet this one at DraftKings Sportsbook too.
BET: Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 12.5 Total Rebounds (-105)
As with the above, this line for Giannis' Rebounds looks too high, and our predictive analytics model is all over it. We're projecting just 10.5 boards from the Bucks star tonight, so at -105 odds this bet represents an edge of 10.4%. This is another one where the best odds are available at DraftKings Sportsbook, so that's where we need to bet it!
BET: Jalen Brunson Under 5.5 Total Assists (+115)
We think Brunson will stay Under 5.5 Assists against the Giannis and the Bucks tonight, so based on the +115 odds available, this presents an edge of 11.1% when you consider our numbers have him down for just 4.1 Assists. We need to place this bet with PointsBet Sportsbook to ensure we maximize this edge, and new customers can also get 5x $100 risk-free bets by joining here.
76ers vs. Raptors
BET: James Harden Over 9.5 Total Assists (-115)
Our predictive analytics model has Harden down for 12 Assists tonight against the Raptors, and with odds of -115 available we should bet his Over 9.5 dimes with FanDuel, where we are getting another nice 10.1% edge vs. their odds. FanDuel Sportsbook currently has a special new customer offer where new users can score a $1000 risk-free bet, you can claim it here.
Best NBA Props Today
Tre Jones | o5.5 Assists (+125) | 19.5% edge |
Jarred Vanderbilt | o1.5 Steals (+165) | 17.3% edge |
Dejounte Murray | o8.5 Assists (+114) | 17.3% edge |
Bradley Beal | o6.5 Assists (+120) | 14.7% edge |
K-A Towns | o8.5 Rebs (-104) | 14.1% edge |
Jusuf Nurkic | o2.5 T-overs (+105) | 13.3% edge |
Giannis | u3.5 T-overs (+120) | 13.0% edge |
Jalen Brunson | u5.5 Assists (+115) | 11.1% edge |
Giannis | u12.5 Rebs (-105) | 10.4% edge |
James Harden | o9.5 Assists (-115) | 10.1% edge |