- Predictions
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Lightning NHL game on November 30, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
5
3
Dec 1, 12AM Amalie Arena
Dec 1, 12AM Amalie Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Lightning | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Lightning | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
P3 19:55 Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:51 Shot on goal by Cameron Atkinson saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:46 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:13 Cameron Atkinson shot blocked by Connor Dewar
P3 18:52 Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 18:44 Goal scored by William Nylander (Empty Net)
P3 18:32 Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 18:19 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Joseph Woll
P3 17:36 Power play - Goal scored by Cameron Atkinson assisted by Brandon Hagel and Victor Hedman
P3 17:25 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Joseph Woll
P3 17:14 Victor Hedman shot blocked by William Nylander
P3 16:49 Cameron Atkinson shot blocked by teammate
P3 16:35 William Nylander shot blocked by Brayden Point
P3 15:47 Shot on goal by Michael Eyssimont saved by Joseph Woll
P3 15:19 Goal scored by Jake Guentzel assisted by Brandon Hagel
P3 14:55 Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 13:35 Shot missed by Michael Eyssimont
P3 13:03 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Joseph Woll
P3 12:59 Shot on goal by Cameron Atkinson saved by Joseph Woll
P3 12:55 Shot on goal by Cameron Atkinson saved by Joseph Woll
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cameron Atkinson saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Joseph Woll
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Cameron Atkinson shot blocked by Connor Dewar
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by William Nylander (Empty Net)
5-3
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Joseph Woll
John Tavares won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Cameron Atkinson assisted by Brandon Hagel and Victor Hedman
4-3
Penalty to Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Cameron Atkinson)
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by William Nylander
SHOT
Cameron Atkinson shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Brayden Point
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
John Tavares won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
John Tavares won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Eyssimont saved by Joseph Woll
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jake Guentzel assisted by Brandon Hagel
4-2
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Eyssimont
Luke Glendening won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Official Injury
John Tavares won faceoff against Luke Glendening in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Joseph Woll
Luke Glendening won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cameron Atkinson saved by Joseph Woll
Luke Glendening won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cameron Atkinson saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Conor Timmins
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Michael Eyssimont
4-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Janis Moser saved by Joseph Woll
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Joseph Woll
Brayden Point won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Takeaway by Connor Dewar in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Victor Hedman shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Conor Sheary saved by Joseph Woll
Shorthanded - Connor Dewar won faceoff against Conor Geekie in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Joseph Woll
Shorthanded - Connor Dewar won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Auston Matthews 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Conor Geekie)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Geekie saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Brayden Point
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
Giveaway by Simon Benoit in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Joseph Woll
John Tavares credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Fraser Minten won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
John Tavares won faceoff against Luke Glendening in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Giveaway by Nick Perbix in defensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by John Tavares assisted by Mitch Marner and Morgan Rielly
4-0
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by teammate
John Tavares won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
John Tavares won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by teammate
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Janis Moser shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Nick Perbix shot blocked by John Tavares
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Chris Tanev shot blocked by Michael Eyssimont
SHOT
Shot on goal by Chris Tanev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Stoppage - Player Injury
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Perbix
Nicholas Robertson won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Joseph Woll
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Sheary saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
John Tavares won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by John Tavares
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Simon Benoit
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Penalty to Maple Leafs 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Nikita Grebenkin)
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Connor Dewar in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
GOAL
Goal scored by Nicholas Robertson
4-0
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Maple Leafs
2-0
John Tavares won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Joseph Woll
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Maple Leafs shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Connor Dewar shot blocked by Janis Moser
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fraser Minten saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Joseph Woll
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Geekie
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
John Tavares won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Eyssimont saved by Joseph Woll
Fraser Minten won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
John Tavares won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Conor Geekie shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Chris Tanev
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Mitch Marner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Brayden Point won faceoff against Fraser Minten in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
John Tavares won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Joseph Woll
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cameron Atkinson saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Nick Perbix credited with hit on Steven Lorentz in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Joseph Woll
Power play - Giveaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
Luke Glendening won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Brayden Point 2 minutes for Tripping
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
John Tavares won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by Chris Tanev
1-0
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Joseph Woll
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Joseph Woll
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Fraser Minten in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
Takeaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Joseph Woll
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Sheary
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Emil Lilleberg in offensive zone
Conor Geekie credited with hit on Simon Benoit in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Joseph Woll
Brayden Point won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Lightning replaced goalie. (Andrei Vasilevskiy)
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 41 | |||
| 49% | Faceoff Win % | 51% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 2 | |||
| 22 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 9 |
| |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 41 | |||
| 49% | Faceoff Win % | 51% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 2 | |||
| 22 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 9 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Lightning
- Date: Saturday, November 30, 2024
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Amalie Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -141, Lightning +136
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 52%
- Lightning: 48%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 52%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Lightning in the NHL game at Amalie Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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