Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Senators NHL game on April 24, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
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NHL
Maple Leafs
3
2
Apr 24, 11PM Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Apr 24, 11PM Canadian Tire Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123OTT
Maple Leafs
01113
Senators
01102
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Maple LeafsTOR
Win %
100%
0%
SenatorsOTT
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMaple LeafsSenatorsP1P2REGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMaple LeafsSenatorsP1P2REGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 5.5Under 5.5P1P2REGF0255075100
TEAM123OTT
Maple Leafs
01113
Senators
01102
OT1 01:18 Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by Simon Benoit
OT1 01:14 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 19:54 Claude Giroux shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 19:51 Claude Giroux shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 19:15 Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Calle Jarnkrok
P3 16:50 Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 16:37 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 15:55 Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 15:26 Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 13:49 Shot missed by Nick Cousins
P3 13:10 Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 12:57 Simon Benoit shot blocked by teammate
P3 12:42 Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 11:22 Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk
P3 11:10 Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:11 Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:05 Shot missed by Scott Laughton
P3 10:00 Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 09:57 Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
P3 07:17 Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
OT1 20:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 20:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 01:18
GOAL
Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by Simon Benoit
3-2
OT1 01:16
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
OT1 01:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
OT1 01:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Linus Ullmark
OT1 01:09
Giveaway by Nick Jensen in defensive zone
OT1 01:05
Giveaway by Chris Tanev in neutral zone
OT1 00:10
Ridly Greig credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
OT1 00:00
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:54
SHOT
Claude Giroux shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 19:51
SHOT
Claude Giroux shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 19:15
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Calle Jarnkrok
P3 18:22
Giveaway by Ridly Greig in neutral zone
P3 18:22
Giveaway by Mitch Marner in neutral zone
P3 16:50
SHOT
Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 16:37
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 15:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 15:26
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 14:21
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P3 14:21
Stoppage - Icing
P3 14:05
Giveaway by Adam Gaudette in defensive zone
P3 13:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Cousins
P3 13:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 12:57
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by teammate
P3 12:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 11:22
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P3 11:22
GOAL
Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk
2-2
P3 11:12
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P3 11:12
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 11:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Laughton
P3 10:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 09:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
P3 08:36
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 08:36
Stoppage - Offside
P3 07:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P3 06:59
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P3 06:59
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 06:57
SHOT
Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Chris Tanev
P3 05:32
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P3 05:32
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P3 04:48
Giveaway by Jake Sanderson in defensive zone
P3 04:43
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 03:31
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
P3 03:31
Stoppage - Icing
P3 02:42
Max Domi won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
P3 02:42
Stoppage - Icing
P3 02:33
SHOT
Shot missed by David Perron
P3 01:56
Giveaway by Steven Lorentz in neutral zone
P3 01:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
P3 01:31
SHOT
Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
P3 01:18
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P3 01:18
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 01:17
SHOT
Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 01:07
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P3 00:32
John Tavares won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
P3 00:32
GOAL
Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by Mitch Marner
2-1
P3 00:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 00:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 00:18
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P3 00:14
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Shane Pinto
P3 00:00
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:51
Adam Gaudette won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P2 19:51
Stoppage - Offside
P2 19:41
William Nylander won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P2 19:41
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 19:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
P2 19:34
William Nylander won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in offensive zone
P2 19:34
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 19:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 19:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 19:22
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 19:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 19:21
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 19:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 18:46
Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
P2 18:12
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Claude Giroux in offensive zone
P2 18:10
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P2 17:28
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Shane Pinto
P2 17:16
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P2 17:12
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 16:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 16:37
Power play - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 16:37
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 15:49
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P2 15:49
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 15:47
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 14:40
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 14:40
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 14:40
Penalty to Steven Lorentz 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Tim Stutzle)
P2 14:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 13:48
Giveaway by Linus Ullmark in defensive zone
P2 13:38
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Adam Gaudette in neutral zone
P2 13:38
Stoppage - Offside
P2 13:27
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Nikolas Matinpalo in offensive zone
P2 13:03
Giveaway by Nikolas Matinpalo in defensive zone
P2 13:00
Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Jake McCabe in defensive zone
P2 12:48
SHOT
Max Pacioretty shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
P2 12:44
Max Domi won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
P2 12:44
Stoppage - Icing
P2 11:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 10:45
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
P2 10:45
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 10:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 10:06
Takeaway by Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone
P2 09:21
Takeaway by Max Pacioretty in neutral zone
P2 09:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P2 09:07
SHOT
Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P2 08:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikolas Matinpalo saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 08:51
SHOT
Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P2 08:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Pacioretty saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 08:41
Drake Batherson won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P2 08:41
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 08:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 08:31
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Adam Gaudette in neutral zone
P2 08:29
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by William Nylander and Mitch Marner
1-1
P2 08:28
SHOT
Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Artem Zub
P2 08:02
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
P2 08:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 08:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 07:47
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P2 07:42
Power play - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
P2 07:42
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 07:42
Penalty to Drake Batherson 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Jake McCabe)
P2 07:12
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P2 06:47
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
P2 06:15
Giveaway by Nikolas Matinpalo in offensive zone
P2 06:10
SHOT
David Perron shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P2 05:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 05:26
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P2 05:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 04:10
Takeaway by Max Domi in defensive zone
P2 03:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 03:35
Thomas Chabot credited with hit on William Nylander in defensive zone
P2 03:32
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 03:13
John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P2 03:13
Penalty to Shane Pinto 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 03:13
Penalty to Simon Benoit 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 03:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 02:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
P2 02:38
SHOT
Power play - Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P2 02:26
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Drake Batherson
P2 02:24
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 01:38
Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P2 01:38
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Claude Giroux assisted by Jake Sanderson and Drake Batherson
0-1
P2 01:13
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P2 00:45
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P2 00:45
Penalty to William Nylander 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Ridly Greig)
P2 00:13
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P2 00:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:31
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
P1 19:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P1 18:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
P1 18:42
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P1 18:42
Penalty to Brady Tkachuk 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Pontus Holmberg)
P1 18:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 18:01
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P1 17:41
SHOT
Nick Jensen shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P1 17:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 17:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Claude Giroux
P1 16:56
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
P1 16:56
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 16:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Amadio
P1 16:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 16:29
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P1 16:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 16:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 16:13
Giveaway by Fabian Zetterlund in neutral zone
P1 16:06
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 16:06
Stoppage - Icing
P1 15:59
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 15:59
Stoppage - Icing
P1 15:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 14:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P1 14:59
Takeaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in neutral zone
P1 14:32
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Adam Gaudette in neutral zone
P1 14:32
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 14:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 13:18
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 13:18
Stoppage - Offside
P1 13:13
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P1 13:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 13:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 12:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 12:36
Max Domi won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
P1 12:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 12:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 11:45
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P1 11:45
Stoppage - Icing
P1 11:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 11:10
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P1 11:10
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 11:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 11:00
SHOT
Drake Batherson shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P1 10:59
SHOT
Drake Batherson shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P1 10:30
Giveaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
P1 10:22
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P1 10:22
Stoppage - Icing
P1 10:05
SHOT
Shot missed by David Perron
P1 09:29
Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Adam Gaudette in defensive zone
P1 09:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 09:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 08:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 08:23
SHOT
Shane Pinto shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 07:48
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
P1 06:36
Power play - David Perron credited with hit on Chris Tanev in offensive zone
P1 06:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 06:14
SHOT
Power play - Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 06:01
SHOT
Power play - Drake Batherson shot blocked by Mitch Marner
P1 05:48
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Drake Batherson in neutral zone
P1 05:48
Stoppage - Offside
P1 05:07
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P1 05:07
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 05:05
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 04:56
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P1 04:56
Penalty to John Tavares 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Brady Tkachuk)
P1 04:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 04:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P1 04:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P1 03:39
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
P1 03:39
Penalty to David Perron 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Brandon Carlo)
P1 03:39
Penalty to Brandon Carlo 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by David Perron)
P1 03:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:45
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
P1 02:45
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P1 02:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 02:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P1 02:04
Giveaway by William Nylander in defensive zone
P1 01:23
Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Simon Benoit in offensive zone
P1 01:19
Giveaway by Fabian Zetterlund in neutral zone
P1 01:14
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
P1 01:14
Stoppage - Offside
P1 00:52
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Adam Gaudette in defensive zone
P1 00:52
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 00:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 00:38
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Chris Tanev in neutral zone
P1 00:16
Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Ridly Greig in defensive zone
P1 00:07
Mitch Marner credited with hit on Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
P1 00:00
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Maple Leafs
 STATS
Senators
20Shots on Goal20
63%Faceoff Win %37%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
12Penalty Infraction Mins8
37Hits44
17Shots Blocked17
7Giveaways17
Maple LeafsTOR
SenatorsOTT
20Shots on Goal20
63%Faceoff Win %37%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
12Penalty Infraction Mins8
37Hits44
17Shots Blocked17
7Giveaways17

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Maple Leafs vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Senators
  • Date: Thursday, April 24, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +115, Senators -129

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 49%
  • Senators: 51%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 49%, while the Senators have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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