Panthers vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Panthers vs. Lightning NHL game on April 22, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Panthers
6
2
Apr 23, 12:30AM Amalie Arena
Lightning
Apr 23, 12:30AM Amalie Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Panthers
2316
Lightning
1102
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
PanthersFLA
Win %
100%
0%
LightningTB
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityPanthersLightningP1P2REG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityPanthersLightningP1P2REG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 5.5Under 5.5P1P2REG0255075100
TEAM123T
Panthers
2316
Lightning
1102
P3 17:45 Shot missed by Brad Marchand
P3 17:27 Shot missed by Niko Mikkola
P3 16:00 Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:00 Shot missed by Sam Reinhart
P3 14:01 Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 13:46 Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 12:36 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 12:18 Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 11:27 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 10:08 Power play - Victor Hedman shot blocked by Anton Lundell
P3 08:35 Shot missed by Nick Paul
P3 08:23 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 07:25 Victor Hedman shot blocked by Jesper Boqvist
P3 06:58 Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 06:48 Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 05:47 Nick Paul shot blocked by Niko Mikkola
P3 05:09 Power play - Goal scored by Nate Schmidt assisted by Matthew Tkachuk and Aleksander Barkov
P3 03:07 Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 02:58 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 02:07 Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 18:40
Giveaway by Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P3 18:14
Giveaway by Niko Mikkola in defensive zone
P3 17:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Brad Marchand
P3 17:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Niko Mikkola
P3 16:52
Nico Sturm won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 16:52
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P3 16:03
Takeaway by Gage Goncalves in defensive zone
P3 16:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Reinhart
P3 15:16
Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
P3 14:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 13:46
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
P3 13:46
Stoppage - Offside
P3 13:46
Penalty to Sam Reinhart 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Gage Goncalves)
P3 13:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 13:24
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 13:24
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 12:38
Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
P3 12:38
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 12:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 12:28
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
P3 12:28
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 12:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 11:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 10:10
Shorthanded - Nico Sturm won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P3 10:10
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 10:08
SHOT
Power play - Victor Hedman shot blocked by Anton Lundell
P3 09:37
Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in neutral zone
P3 09:25
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
P3 09:25
Penalty to Sam Reinhart 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Brandon Hagel)
P3 08:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
P3 08:24
Sam Reinhart won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P3 08:24
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 08:24
Stoppage - Video Review
P3 08:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 08:20
Nick Paul won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
P3 08:20
Stoppage - Icing
P3 07:48
Nick Paul won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
P3 07:25
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Jesper Boqvist
P3 06:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 06:50
Gage Goncalves won faceoff against Nico Sturm in defensive zone
P3 06:50
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 06:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 06:28
Aleksander Barkov credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
P3 06:09
Takeaway by Aleksander Barkov in offensive zone
P3 05:58
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P3 05:58
Stoppage - Offside
P3 05:49
Nico Sturm won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 05:49
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 05:47
SHOT
Nick Paul shot blocked by Niko Mikkola
P3 05:09
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P3 05:09
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Nate Schmidt assisted by Matthew Tkachuk and Aleksander Barkov
6-2
P3 04:42
Power play - Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Luke Glendening in neutral zone
P3 04:42
Stoppage - Offside
P3 03:56
Shorthanded - Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Mackie Samoskevich in defensive zone
P3 03:14
Shorthanded - Luke Glendening won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in defensive zone
P3 03:14
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 03:14
Penalty to Erik Cernak 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Sam Reinhart)
P3 03:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:00
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 03:00
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 02:41
Brayden Point won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
P3 02:41
Stoppage - Icing
P3 02:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 01:15
SHOT
Niko Mikkola shot blocked by Conor Geekie
P3 00:15
Giveaway by Carter Verhaeghe in offensive zone
P3 00:00
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P2 19:42
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Niko Mikkola
P2 19:13
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P2 19:13
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P2 18:42
Brayden Point won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in defensive zone
P2 18:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 18:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 18:32
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in defensive zone
P2 18:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 18:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 18:09
Mackie Samoskevich credited with hit on Emil Lilleberg in offensive zone
P2 17:59
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
P2 17:59
Stoppage - Icing
P2 17:42
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
P2 17:42
Stoppage - Offside
P2 16:25
SHOT
Luke Glendening shot blocked by Jesper Boqvist
P2 15:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Perbix
P2 15:07
Dmitry Kulikov credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P2 15:01
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Niko Mikkola in offensive zone
P2 14:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P2 14:05
Brayden Point won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in offensive zone
P2 14:05
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 14:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
P2 13:45
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P2 13:45
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P2 13:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P2 13:04
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Luke Glendening in neutral zone
P2 13:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P2 13:04
GOAL
Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Ryan McDonagh and Gage Goncalves
5-2
P2 12:27
Sam Bennett credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P2 12:06
Giveaway by Nate Schmidt in offensive zone
P2 11:25
Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
P2 10:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 10:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P2 10:33
Nico Sturm won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P2 10:33
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 09:48
Brad Marchand credited with hit on Victor Hedman in neutral zone
P2 09:44
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
P2 09:44
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Matthew Tkachuk
5-1
P2 09:44
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Panthers
P2 09:15
SHOT
Power play - Seth Jones shot blocked by Luke Glendening
P2 09:13
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
P2 09:12
Penalty to Emil Lilleberg 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Eetu Luostarinen)
P2 08:45
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in neutral zone
P2 08:33
Jake Guentzel credited with hit on Nate Schmidt in defensive zone
P2 08:11
Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
P2 07:48
Ryan McDonagh credited with hit on Seth Jones in defensive zone
P2 07:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P2 07:24
Nick Paul won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in defensive zone
P2 07:24
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 07:22
SHOT
Mackie Samoskevich shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P2 07:10
Brayden Point won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
P2 07:10
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 07:07
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
P2 07:07
Stoppage - Icing
P2 06:23
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
P2 06:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 06:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P2 06:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
P2 06:01
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P2 06:01
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P2 05:09
Nico Sturm won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P2 05:09
Stoppage - Icing
P2 04:55
Brayden Point won faceoff against Nico Sturm in neutral zone
P2 04:55
GOAL
Goal scored by Matthew Tkachuk assisted by Sam Reinhart and Aleksander Barkov
4-1
P2 04:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Tkachuk
P2 04:41
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in neutral zone
P2 04:41
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P2 04:41
GOAL
Goal scored by Nate Schmidt
3-1
P2 04:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brad Marchand saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 04:04
Nick Paul won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
P2 04:04
Stoppage - Offside
P2 03:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P2 03:30
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in offensive zone
P2 03:30
Stoppage - Icing
P2 03:05
Conor Geekie credited with hit on Niko Mikkola in offensive zone
P2 02:44
Giveaway by Niko Mikkola in neutral zone
P2 02:21
Nico Sturm won faceoff against Luke Glendening in defensive zone
P2 02:21
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 02:10
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Luke Glendening in neutral zone
P2 02:10
Stoppage - Icing
P2 02:02
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Uvis Balinskis
P2 01:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Tkachuk
P2 01:12
Dmitry Kulikov credited with hit on Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P2 00:42
SHOT
Anton Lundell shot blocked by Brayden Point
P2 00:07
Carter Verhaeghe credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
P2 00:00
Brayden Point won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:44
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Dmitry Kulikov
P1 19:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dmitry Kulikov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 19:15
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 19:15
GOAL
Goal scored by Sam Reinhart assisted by Dmitry Kulikov and Carter Verhaeghe
2-1
P1 19:04
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 19:04
Stoppage - Icing
P1 18:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 18:28
Giveaway by Mackie Samoskevich in offensive zone
P1 18:18
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 18:18
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 17:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nate Schmidt saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 17:30
Nick Paul credited with hit on Dmitry Kulikov in offensive zone
P1 16:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Eetu Luostarinen
P1 16:53
Giveaway by Ryan McDonagh in defensive zone
P1 16:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Eetu Luostarinen
P1 16:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brad Marchand saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 16:13
Carter Verhaeghe credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
P1 16:00
Sam Reinhart won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P1 16:00
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 15:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 15:32
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Nate Schmidt
P1 15:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
P1 15:21
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
P1 15:21
Stoppage - Icing
P1 15:08
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
P1 15:08
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P1 14:11
SHOT
Nick Paul shot blocked by Aleksander Barkov
P1 13:55
Nick Paul won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in defensive zone
P1 13:55
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 13:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 13:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P1 12:31
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P1 12:21
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
P1 12:21
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Jake Guentzel assisted by Victor Hedman
1-1
P1 12:20
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P1 12:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 12:16
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
P1 12:16
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 12:14
SHOT
Power play - Nick Paul shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
P1 11:45
Shorthanded - Anton Lundell won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P1 11:45
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 11:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 10:58
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen
P1 10:25
Shorthanded - Nico Sturm won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P1 10:25
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 10:25
Penalty to Matthew Tkachuk 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Nikita Kucherov)
P1 10:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 10:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 09:44
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 09:44
Stoppage - Offside
P1 09:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Brad Marchand
P1 08:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Brad Marchand
P1 08:35
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Aleksander Barkov
P1 08:13
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 08:13
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 08:13
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Official Injury
P1 08:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Evan Rodrigues
P1 07:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brad Marchand saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 05:37
SHOT
Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P1 05:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Perbix saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 04:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 04:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 03:44
GOAL
Goal scored by Sam Bennett assisted by Mackie Samoskevich
1-0
P1 03:00
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Niko Mikkola
P1 02:21
SHOT
Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by Nick Perbix
P1 01:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
P1 01:58
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
P1 01:58
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 01:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 01:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Tkachuk
P1 00:21
Nikita Kucherov credited with hit on Seth Jones in offensive zone
P1 00:09
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 00:09
Stoppage - Offside
P1 00:00
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Panthers
 STATS
Lightning
16Shots on Goal22
57%Faceoff Win %43%
3/3 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
48Hits28
18Shots Blocked8
13Giveaways16
PanthersFLA
LightningTB
16Shots on Goal22
57%Faceoff Win %43%
3/3 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
48Hits28
18Shots Blocked8
13Giveaways16

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Panthers vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Panthers vs. Lightning
  • Date: Tuesday, April 22, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Amalie Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Panthers +102, Lightning -118

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Panthers: 46%
  • Lightning: 54%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Panthers a win probability of 46%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Panthers in the NHL game at Amalie Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Panthers vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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