- Predictions
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on October 21, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
5
Oct 21, 11:30PM Scotiabank Arena
Oct 21, 11:30PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Maple Leafs | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Maple Leafs | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
P3 18:30 Shorthanded - Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 18:22 Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 17:58 Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 17:21 Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:45 Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:27 Shot missed by Erik Cernak
P3 15:54 Bobby McMann shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 15:38 Shot on goal by Michael Eyssimont saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 15:08 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 14:53 Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 14:53 Power play - Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Victor Hedman
P3 14:31 Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 13:45 Shot missed by Cameron Atkinson
P3 13:08 Shot missed by Conor Geekie
P3 12:18 Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 11:59 Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by teammate
P3 11:03 Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 10:51 Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P3 10:38 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 10:33 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jonas Johansson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
David Kampf won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
SHOT
Shorthanded - Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Anthony Stolarz
Power play - Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Chris Tanev 2 minutes for Holding Stick (Drawn by Anthony Cirelli)
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Bobby McMann shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Eyssimont saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Michael Eyssimont won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Anthony Stolarz
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Victor Hedman
2-5
Power play - Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Anthony Stolarz
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Max Domi 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Zemgus Girgensons)
Penalty to Zemgus Girgensons 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Max Domi)
Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Zemgus Girgensons)
SHOT
Shot missed by Cameron Atkinson
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Geekie
Giveaway by Max Pacioretty in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mitch Marner
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Jonas Johansson
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Anthony Stolarz
Power play - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Emil Lilleberg 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by John Tavares)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Pacioretty saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
SHOT
Power play - Janis Moser shot blocked by Chris Tanev
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Janis Moser saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Conor Geekie shot blocked by Chris Tanev
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Conor Geekie in defensive zone
Penalty to Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Jake Guentzel)
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Nicholas Paul shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Power play - Victor Hedman shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Chris Tanev
Power play - Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Penalty to John Tavares 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Conor Geekie)
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Benoit
David Kampf won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitchell Chaffee saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Pacioretty saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Janis Moser saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Janis Moser
SHOT
Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
Power play - Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jonas Johansson
Shorthanded - Luke Glendening won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Jake Guentzel 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson)
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
Brayden Point won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by Mitch Marner
1-5
Conor Geekie won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Conor Geekie in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Eyssimont saved by Anthony Stolarz
John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Anthony Stolarz
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Brayden Point shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Jonas Johansson
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Chris Tanev
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Anthony Stolarz
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Michael Eyssimont)
Penalty to Maple Leafs 2 minutes for Illegal Equipment (Drawn by Michael Eyssimont)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Eyssimont saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Eyssimont saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Luke Glendening shot blocked by teammate
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Lightning replaced goalie. (Jonas Johansson)
GOAL
Goal scored by Max Pacioretty assisted by John Tavares and Conor Timmins
1-4
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Pacioretty
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Anthony Stolarz
Conor Geekie won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Brayden Point won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Janis Moser shot blocked by Chris Tanev
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Bobby McMann
1-3
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitchell Chaffee
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Chris Tanev
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
Brayden Point won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Anthony Stolarz
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Brayden Point won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Nicholas Paul shot blocked by Chris Tanev
Giveaway by David Kampf in offensive zone
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Auston Matthews
1-2
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Shorthanded - Luke Glendening won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Mitchell Chaffee 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Bobby McMann)
Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Auston Matthews
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Shot missed by Janis Moser
Brayden Point won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Max Pacioretty shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Max Pacioretty
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Paul saved by Anthony Stolarz
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Brayden Point won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Paul saved by Anthony Stolarz
GOAL
Goal scored by Nicholas Paul assisted by Victor Hedman and Mitchell Chaffee
1-1
SHOT
Shot missed by David Kampf
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mitch Marner
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by David Kampf)
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Conor Geekie
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Nicholas Robertson
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Janis Moser
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Cameron Atkinson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by teammate
Max Domi won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Anthony Stolarz
Brayden Point won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Janis Moser saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cameron Atkinson saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in defensive zone
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Janis Moser
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Chris Tanev in defensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 34 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 63% | Faceoff Win % | 37% | |||
| 6/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 13 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 17 | |||
| 20 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 18 | |||
| 10 | Giveaways | 16 |
| |
|---|
| 34 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 63% | Faceoff Win % | 37% | |||
| 6/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 13 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 17 | |||
| 20 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 18 | |||
| 10 | Giveaways | 16 |
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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Maple Leafs
- Date: Monday, October 21, 2024
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning +115, Maple Leafs -130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 46%
- Maple Leafs: 54%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 46%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Lightning in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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