Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Lightning NHL game on April 9, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Maple Leafs
4
3
Apr 9, 11PM Amalie Arena
Lightning
Apr 9, 11PM Amalie Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123OTT
Maple Leafs
20114
Lightning
10203
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Maple LeafsTOR
Win %
100%
0%
LightningTB
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMaple LeafsLightningP1P2REGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMaple LeafsLightningP1P2REGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 6Under 6P1P2REGF0255075100
TEAM123OTT
Maple Leafs
20114
Lightning
10203
OT1 02:56 Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by Auston Matthews and Morgan Rielly
OT1 02:55 Shot missed by Matthew Knies
OT1 02:51 Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 02:40 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
OT1 01:48 Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Chris Tanev
OT1 01:08 Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 00:44 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
OT1 00:32 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 19:29 Victor Hedman shot blocked by Mitch Marner
P3 19:00 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:08 Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:50 Shot on goal by Mitchell Chaffee saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:34 Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 16:18 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 15:20 Max Domi shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 13:27 Shot missed by William Nylander
P3 13:19 Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
P3 12:57 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 11:49 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 11:05 Power play - Goal scored by Victor Hedman
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
OT1 05:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 02:56
GOAL
Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by Auston Matthews and Morgan Rielly
4-3
OT1 02:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
OT1 02:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 02:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
OT1 01:48
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Chris Tanev
OT1 01:23
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
OT1 01:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
OT1 01:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 00:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
OT1 00:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Anthony Stolarz
OT1 00:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:29
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Mitch Marner
P3 19:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:43
Gage Goncalves credited with hit on Simon Benoit in offensive zone
P3 18:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitchell Chaffee saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:58
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Chris Tanev in offensive zone
P3 16:48
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Steven Lorentz in neutral zone
P3 16:34
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 16:20
John Tavares won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 16:20
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 16:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 15:20
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 15:02
Nick Paul won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 15:02
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P3 14:52
Nikita Kucherov credited with hit on Simon Benoit in offensive zone
P3 13:27
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P3 13:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
P3 13:05
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P3 13:05
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 13:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P3 13:00
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 12:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 12:29
Giveaway by Oliver Bjorkstrand in offensive zone
P3 12:27
Takeaway by Oliver Bjorkstrand in offensive zone
P3 11:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 11:05
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P3 11:05
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Victor Hedman
3-3
P3 11:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 10:25
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 10:25
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 09:25
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P3 09:25
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 09:25
Penalty to Brayden Point 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Bobby McMann)
P3 09:25
Penalty to Bobby McMann 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 09:25
Penalty to Brayden Point 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 08:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 08:02
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by teammate
P3 07:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 07:32
SHOT
Steven Lorentz shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 07:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P3 07:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 07:05
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Philippe Myers
P3 06:13
Mitchell Chaffee credited with hit on Chris Tanev in offensive zone
P3 04:40
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 04:40
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 04:27
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 03:38
Nick Paul won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
P3 03:38
Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Victor Hedman)
P3 03:28
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 03:24
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 03:24
Penalty to Matthew Knies 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Erik Cernak)
P3 03:24
Penalty to Erik Cernak 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 03:24
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 03:22
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:06
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:02
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 03:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 03:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 02:35
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 02:35
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 02:26
SHOT
Power play - Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
P3 02:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P3 02:03
Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P3 02:02
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P3 02:02
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Matthew Knies
3-2
P3 02:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:58
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P3 01:58
Stoppage - High Stick
P3 01:52
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P3 01:29
Shorthanded - Ryan McDonagh credited with hit on Matthew Knies in defensive zone
P3 01:18
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 01:18
Penalty to Emil Lilleberg 4 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by John Tavares)
P3 01:18
Stoppage - Player Injury
P3 01:14
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
P3 00:50
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P3 00:50
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Oliver Bjorkstrand
2-2
P3 00:49
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 00:22
Shorthanded - Simon Benoit credited with hit on Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 00:12
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 00:00
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 19:35
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
P2 19:01
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 19:01
Penalty to Scott Laughton 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Darren Raddysh)
P2 18:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P2 18:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 18:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P2 18:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 18:37
John Tavares won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 18:37
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 18:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 18:14
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P2 17:53
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P2 17:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 17:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Chris Tanev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 17:48
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 17:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 17:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 17:40
Giveaway by Mitchell Chaffee in neutral zone
P2 17:19
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P2 17:19
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 17:16
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by teammate
P2 17:06
Mitchell Chaffee credited with hit on Simon Benoit in offensive zone
P2 16:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitchell Chaffee
P2 15:36
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P2 14:42
Giveaway by Chris Tanev in offensive zone
P2 14:03
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
P2 13:29
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Nick Perbix in offensive zone
P2 13:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Philippe Myers
P2 12:57
Max Domi won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P2 12:57
Stoppage - Icing
P2 12:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 12:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P2 12:22
Brayden Point won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P2 12:22
Stoppage - Offside
P2 12:08
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P2 12:08
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 12:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 11:21
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P2 11:01
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 11:01
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 10:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 10:49
Mitchell Chaffee credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
P2 10:44
Nick Paul won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 10:44
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 10:43
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
P2 10:29
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Scott Laughton
P2 10:28
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P2 09:58
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
P2 09:56
Brayden Point won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P2 09:56
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 09:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 09:40
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Matthew Knies in offensive zone
P2 09:36
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 09:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 09:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P2 09:05
Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
P2 08:44
Nick Paul won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 08:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 07:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 07:09
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Chris Tanev
P2 06:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P2 05:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 05:31
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Scott Laughton
P2 05:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 04:58
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 04:58
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:56
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P2 04:30
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
P2 04:18
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P2 04:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P2 04:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitchell Chaffee saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 03:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Chris Tanev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 03:51
William Nylander won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P2 03:51
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 03:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 03:39
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 03:39
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 03:37
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P2 02:33
Max Domi won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P2 02:33
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 02:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 01:59
Mitch Marner credited with hit on Gage Goncalves in neutral zone
P2 01:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 01:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
P2 01:16
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P2 00:55
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
P2 00:37
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Chris Tanev
P2 00:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P2 00:19
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P2 00:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 18:58
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P1 18:58
GOAL
Goal scored by Nick Perbix
2-1
P1 18:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Perbix
P1 18:54
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P1 18:30
Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on John Tavares in neutral zone
P1 18:09
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P1 17:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P1 17:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P1 17:01
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Victor Hedman in offensive zone
P1 16:57
Brayden Point won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P1 16:57
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 16:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 16:18
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Chris Tanev in offensive zone
P1 16:06
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P1 16:06
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 16:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P1 15:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 15:31
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P1 14:43
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Chris Tanev
P1 14:21
SHOT
Scott Laughton shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P1 14:05
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Scott Laughton
P1 14:01
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Philippe Myers
P1 13:59
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Scott Laughton
P1 13:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P1 13:22
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by teammate
P1 13:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 12:26
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P1 12:20
Mitchell Chaffee credited with hit on Nicholas Robertson in offensive zone
P1 11:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 11:20
John Tavares won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P1 11:20
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 11:11
Brayden Point won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 11:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 11:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 10:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P1 10:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P1 09:32
Mitchell Chaffee credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
P1 09:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
P1 09:14
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Max Domi
P1 08:58
Max Domi won faceoff against Luke Glendening in defensive zone
P1 08:58
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 08:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 08:39
John Tavares credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 08:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 08:34
William Nylander won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P1 08:34
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 08:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 08:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 07:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 07:20
Brayden Point won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P1 07:20
Stoppage - Icing
P1 07:08
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P1 06:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P1 06:50
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P1 06:50
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 06:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 06:34
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by teammate
P1 06:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
P1 06:04
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P1 05:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 05:37
Power play - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P1 05:37
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 05:36
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P1 05:20
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P1 05:20
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 05:18
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
P1 04:51
Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
P1 04:46
SHOT
Power play - Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by teammate
P1 04:43
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P1 04:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 04:24
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 03:55
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 03:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P1 03:42
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 03:42
Penalty to John Tavares 2 minutes for Tripping
P1 03:33
John Tavares won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 03:33
GOAL
Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by Auston Matthews
2-0
P1 03:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P1 03:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 03:05
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
P1 02:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 02:35
Giveaway by Victor Hedman in offensive zone
P1 02:25
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P1 01:49
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by teammate
P1 01:43
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P1 01:39
Giveaway by Emil Lilleberg in defensive zone
P1 01:13
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P1 01:13
GOAL
Goal scored by Mitch Marner assisted by Auston Matthews
1-0
P1 00:24
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Chris Tanev in offensive zone
P1 00:07
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P1 00:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Maple Leafs
 STATS
Lightning
31Shots on Goal28
61%Faceoff Win %39%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/2
15Penalty Infraction Mins11
18Hits25
33Shots Blocked15
12Giveaways13
Maple LeafsTOR
LightningTB
31Shots on Goal28
61%Faceoff Win %39%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/2
15Penalty Infraction Mins11
18Hits25
33Shots Blocked15
12Giveaways13

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Maple Leafs vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Lightning
  • Date: Wednesday, April 9, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Amalie Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +163, Lightning -184

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 40%
  • Lightning: 60%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 40%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Amalie Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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This is real. I joined for week 4. I was conservative at first wanting verification of the concept. PLATINUM ran 70% for the year. It was plus money 12 of 14 weeks. The only caveat was the picks were averaging -124. I will absolutely be with them again next year. -CHEF
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Diners has so much info that you can just play one sport and really mind for gems to add to your ROI. Whether it is the cheat sheets or the college football platinum1st quarters or any of their other individualized categories, there is so much to chose from and make you handicapping/wagering explode to another level!!
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The entire platform has been exceptional. From their communication to customer service. Quick to chat and respond and have delivered some really good insights since joining in under a month. Example here of just taking their NBA data and making good on a parlay. Results are there.
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Best research tool in sports betting. Signed up with them and won over $1k in a week using the data they provided. Membership also comes with a dope discord community where everyone shares their insight. Best investment I've made all year
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