Lightning vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Sabres NHL game on April 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

Unlock all picks and predictions for this game

FINAL

NHL

FINAL

NHL

Lightning

Apr 5, 11PM KeyBank Center

Sabres

Apr 5, 11PM KeyBank Center

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

TEAM	1	2	3	OT	T
Lightning	0	2	0	0	2
Sabres	0	1	1	1	3

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

LightningTB

Win %

100%

SabresBUF

Win Probability

TEAM	1	2	3	OT	T
Lightning	0	2	0	0	2
Sabres	0	1	1	1	3

Play by Play

GOALS

ALL

End of Shootout period.

Shootout Goal scored by Alex Tuch on Jonas Johansson

Shootout attempt by Brayden Point saved by James Reimer

Shootout Goal scored by Jack Quinn on Jonas Johansson

Shootout attempt by Jake Guentzel saved by James Reimer

Shootout attempt by Tage Thompson saved by Jonas Johansson

OT1 05:00

End of 1st OT.

OT1 04:39

SHOT

Shot missed by Ryan McLeod

OT1 04:27

SHOT

Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by James Reimer

OT1 03:42

SHOT

Shot missed by Yanni Gourde

OT1 03:11

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by James Reimer

OT1 02:44

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by James Reimer

OT1 02:32

SHOT

Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Jonas Johansson

OT1 02:26

SHOT

Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Jonas Johansson

OT1 02:08

SHOT

Brayden Point shot blocked by Owen Power

OT1 01:57

SHOT

Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by James Reimer

OT1 01:31

Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone

OT1 01:31

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

OT1 01:29

SHOT

Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jonas Johansson

OT1 01:10

SHOT

Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Jonas Johansson

OT1 00:17

SHOT

Tage Thompson shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli

OT1 00:00

Tage Thompson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone

P3 20:00

End of 3rd Period.

P3 19:03

SHOT

Shot missed by JJ Peterka

P3 18:56

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jonas Johansson

P3 18:19

SHOT

Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Bowen Byram

P3 18:09

Brayden Point won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone

P3 18:09

Stoppage - Puck in Crowd

P3 18:03

Tage Thompson won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone

P3 18:03

Stoppage - High Stick

P3 18:00

SHOT

Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Jonas Johansson

P3 17:29

Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone

P3 16:58

SHOT

Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by James Reimer

P3 16:28

SHOT

Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson

P3 16:24

Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone

P3 16:24

Stoppage - Icing

P3 15:59

Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone

P3 15:59

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 15:56

SHOT

Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh

P3 15:53

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jiri Kulich saved by Jonas Johansson

P3 15:43

SHOT

Shot missed by Nick Paul

P3 15:23

Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone

P3 15:23

Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout

P3 14:37

Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Bowen Byram in offensive zone

P3 14:33

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by James Reimer

P3 13:59

Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on Luke Glendening in neutral zone

P3 13:39

Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone

P3 12:40

SHOT

Owen Power shot blocked by J.J. Moser

P3 11:51

Connor Clifton credited with hit on Oliver Bjorkstrand in defensive zone

P3 11:25

Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Gage Goncalves in defensive zone

P3 11:25

Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout

P3 11:23

SHOT

Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Jason Zucker

P3 09:36

SHOT

Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Jonas Johansson

P3 09:31

Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sam Lafferty in defensive zone

P3 09:31

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 09:30

SHOT

Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jonas Johansson

P3 09:12

SHOT

Shot missed by Erik Cernak

P3 08:35

Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone

P3 08:35

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 08:33

SHOT

Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Jonas Johansson

P3 08:23

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by James Reimer

P3 07:56

Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone

P3 07:56

Stoppage - Icing

P3 07:50

Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone

P3 07:50

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P3 07:49

SHOT

Victor Hedman shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson

P3 07:03

SHOT

Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Jonas Johansson

P3 06:54

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jacob Bernard-Docker saved by Jonas Johansson

P3 06:21

Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in defensive zone

P3 06:21

Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - TV timeout

P3 06:16

SHOT

Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Jonas Johansson

P3 06:08

SHOT

JJ Peterka shot blocked by J.J. Moser

P3 05:46

Giveaway by Beck Malenstyn in offensive zone

P3 05:28

SHOT

Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn

P3 05:20

SHOT

Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn

P3 05:07

Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone

P3 05:06

GOAL

Power play - Goal scored by Jason Zucker assisted by Alex Tuch and Rasmus Dahlin

2-2

P3 05:04

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jonas Johansson

P3 04:37

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin

P3 04:34

Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone

P3 04:34

Penalty to Gage Goncalves 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by JJ Peterka)

P3 04:21

SHOT

Shot missed by Gage Goncalves

P3 03:55

Luke Glendening won faceoff against Jack Quinn in neutral zone

P3 03:55

Stoppage - Offside

P3 03:45

Luke Glendening won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone

P3 03:45

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 03:43

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Jonas Johansson

P3 02:38

Tage Thompson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone

P3 02:38

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P3 02:36

SHOT

Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli

P3 02:06

SHOT

Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by James Reimer

P3 01:48

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by James Reimer

P3 00:25

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by James Reimer

P3 00:03

SHOT

Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor Clifton saved by Jonas Johansson

P3 00:00

Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone

P2 20:00

End of 2nd Period.

P2 19:59

Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Alex Tuch in offensive zone

P2 19:59

Penalty to Sabres 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Jack Quinn)

P2 19:45

SHOT

Shot missed by Victor Hedman

P2 18:44

Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone

P2 18:44

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 18:42

SHOT

Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by James Reimer

P2 18:41

SHOT

Shot missed by Brayden Point

P2 18:25

SHOT

Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Zach Benson

P2 17:51

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman

P2 17:14

SHOT

Power play - Victor Hedman shot blocked by teammate

P2 17:00

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by James Reimer

P2 16:36

Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone

P2 16:36

Penalty to Noah Ostlund 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Brandon Hagel)

P2 16:02

Giveaway by Beck Malenstyn in defensive zone

P2 15:36

Luke Glendening won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in defensive zone

P2 15:36

Stoppage - TV timeout

P2 15:34

SHOT

Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jonas Johansson

P2 15:17

Giveaway by Alex Tuch in offensive zone

P2 14:52

SHOT

Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by James Reimer

P2 14:43

Giveaway by Mattias Samuelsson in defensive zone

P2 14:34

SHOT

Shot missed by Tage Thompson

P2 14:16

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jiri Kulich saved by Jonas Johansson

P2 14:03

SHOT

Shot missed by Zach Benson

P2 13:47

SHOT

Jiri Kulich shot blocked by Nick Paul

P2 13:29

SHOT

Shot missed by Connor Clifton

P2 13:08

Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in neutral zone

P2 13:08

Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout

P2 13:01

Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone

P2 13:01

GOAL

Goal scored by Gage Goncalves

2-1

P2 12:42

SHOT

Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by James Reimer

P2 11:46

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by James Reimer

P2 11:01

SHOT

Owen Power shot blocked by Erik Cernak

P2 10:57

Shorthanded - Nick Paul won faceoff against Sam Lafferty in defensive zone

P2 10:57

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 10:55

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jonas Johansson

P2 10:42

SHOT

Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by James Reimer

P2 10:42

SHOT

Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by James Reimer

P2 10:14

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Jonas Johansson

P2 09:45

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Alex Tuch

P2 09:45

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jonas Johansson

P2 08:58

Shorthanded - Luke Glendening won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone

P2 08:58

Penalty to Victor Hedman 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Jason Zucker)

P2 08:26

SHOT

Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by James Reimer

P2 07:19

Tage Thompson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone

P2 07:19

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P2 07:17

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by James Reimer

P2 07:15

SHOT

Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by James Reimer

P2 06:42

Takeaway by Jake Guentzel in defensive zone

P2 06:30

SHOT

Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jonas Johansson

P2 05:16

Takeaway by Noah Ostlund in defensive zone

P2 05:04

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jacob Bernard-Docker saved by Jonas Johansson

P2 04:47

Sam Lafferty won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone

P2 04:47

GOAL

Goal scored by Tage Thompson assisted by Zach Benson

1-1

P2 04:21

Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in defensive zone

P2 04:21

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 04:19

SHOT

Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Jonas Johansson

P2 03:18

Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone

P2 03:07

Luke Glendening won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone

P2 03:07

Stoppage - Icing

P2 02:23

SHOT

Shot missed by Brayden Point

P2 02:10

Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone

P2 01:50

SHOT

Shot missed by Bowen Byram

P2 01:35

Alex Tuch won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone

P2 01:35

GOAL

Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Nikita Kucherov

1-0

P2 01:34

SHOT

Shot missed by Brayden Point

P2 01:33

SHOT

Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Bowen Byram

P2 01:32

Brayden Point won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone

P2 01:25

SHOT

Shot missed by Zach Benson

P2 00:51

Luke Glendening won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in defensive zone

P2 00:51

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 00:49

SHOT

Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jonas Johansson

P2 00:47

Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone

P2 00:47

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 00:44

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jiri Kulich saved by Jonas Johansson

P2 00:17

SHOT

Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by James Reimer

P2 00:10

SHOT

Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by James Reimer

P2 00:08

SHOT

Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Bowen Byram

P2 00:00

Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone

P1 20:00

End of 1st Period.

P1 19:47

SHOT

Tage Thompson shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons

P1 19:35

SHOT

Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons

P1 18:57

SHOT

Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker

P1 18:36

Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone

P1 18:36

Stoppage - Offside

P1 17:58

Peyton Krebs credited with hit on Victor Hedman in offensive zone

P1 17:41

Brayden Point won faceoff against Jason Zucker in offensive zone

P1 17:41

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P1 17:39

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by James Reimer

P1 17:38

Giveaway by Ryan McLeod in defensive zone

P1 16:57

Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Beck Malenstyn in defensive zone

P1 16:23

SHOT

Shot missed by Jiri Kulich

P1 15:50

Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone

P1 15:50

Stoppage - Puck in Benches

P1 15:49

Erik Cernak credited with hit on Jiri Kulich in neutral zone

P1 15:00

Peyton Krebs credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone

P1 14:35

Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone

P1 14:35

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P1 14:33

SHOT

Jack Quinn shot blocked by J.J. Moser

P1 14:25

SHOT

Shot missed by Lightning

P1 14:14

SHOT

J.J. Moser shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin

P1 14:12

Luke Glendening won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone

P1 14:12

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P1 14:10

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by James Reimer

P1 13:02

Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Connor Clifton in defensive zone

P1 12:47

SHOT

Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Jonas Johansson

P1 12:37

SHOT

Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jonas Johansson

P1 12:35

SHOT

Owen Power shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand

P1 12:03

Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in neutral zone

P1 12:03

Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout

P1 11:30

SHOT

Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn

P1 11:08

SHOT

Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jonas Johansson

P1 10:43

Power play - Giveaway by Brayden Point in offensive zone

P1 10:26

Power play - Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone

P1 10:04

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman

P1 09:35

Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone

P1 09:35

Penalty to Owen Power 2 minutes for Delay of Game

P1 08:26

SHOT

Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jonas Johansson

P1 08:15

SHOT

Shot missed by Darren Raddysh

P1 07:50

SHOT

Shot missed by Darren Raddysh

P1 07:48

Brayden Point won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in offensive zone

P1 07:48

Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout

P1 07:46

SHOT

Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson

P1 07:15

Giveaway by Brayden Point in offensive zone

P1 07:04

SHOT

Victor Hedman shot blocked by Zach Benson

P1 06:49

SHOT

Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov

P1 05:39

Luke Glendening credited with hit on Jason Zucker in defensive zone

P1 05:27

Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Peyton Krebs in offensive zone

P1 04:56

Luke Glendening won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone

P1 04:56

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P1 04:55

SHOT

Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jonas Johansson

P1 04:51

Jason Zucker credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone

P1 04:44

Nick Paul won faceoff against Alex Tuch in defensive zone

P1 04:44

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P1 04:42

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jonas Johansson

P1 04:19

SHOT

Shot on goal by Connor Clifton saved by Jonas Johansson

P1 03:43

SHOT

Owen Power shot blocked by teammate

P1 03:26

SHOT

Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker

P1 03:22

Nick Paul credited with hit on Owen Power in offensive zone

P1 03:15

Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in neutral zone

P1 03:15

Stoppage - Puck in Benches

P1 02:36

Brayden Point won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone

P1 02:36

Stoppage - Icing

P1 01:54

Shorthanded - Nick Paul won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone

P1 01:54

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P1 01:53

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Jonas Johansson

P1 01:29

Power play - Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone

P1 01:29

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P1 01:27

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin

P1 00:59

Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone

P1 00:59

Stoppage - Offside

P1 00:43

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson

P1 00:28

Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone

P1 00:28

Penalty to Brandon Hagel 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Bowen Byram)

P1 00:19

Luke Glendening won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone

P1 00:19

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P1 00:18

SHOT

Jason Zucker shot blocked by Erik Cernak

P1 00:09

Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Bowen Byram in offensive zone

P1 00:00

Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone

P1 00:00

Game Setup.

Stats

Lightning		STATS		Sabres

24	Shots on Goal	38
58%	Faceoff Win %	42%
3/0	PP Opportunities/PP Goals	3/1
6	Penalty Infraction Mins	6
19	Hits	16
14	Shots Blocked	18
18	Giveaways	13

LightningTB			SabresBUF

24	Shots on Goal	38
58%	Faceoff Win %	42%
3/0	PP Opportunities/PP Goals	3/1
6	Penalty Infraction Mins	6
19	Hits	16
14	Shots Blocked	18
18	Giveaways	13

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Lightning vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Lightning vs. Sabres
Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
Total (Over/Under): 6.5
Moneyline Odds: Lightning -205, Sabres +180

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Lightning: 62%
Sabres: 38%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 62%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 38%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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