Lightning vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Senators NHL game on April 3, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Lightning
1
2
Apr 3, 11PM Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Apr 3, 11PM Canadian Tire Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Lightning
0101
Senators
1102
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
0%
100%
SenatorsOTT
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityLightningSenatorsP1P2REG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityLightningSenatorsP1P2REG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 5.5Under 5.5P1P2REG0255075100
TEAM123T
Lightning
0101
Senators
1102
P3 19:55 Victor Hedman shot blocked by Michael Amadio
P3 19:43 Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P3 19:24 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P3 19:19 Lightning shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P3 19:04 Shot missed by Senators
P3 18:49 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 18:37 Shot missed by Senators
P3 17:58 Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:30 Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 17:23 Nick Paul shot blocked by Claude Giroux
P3 17:21 Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 17:19 Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 17:14 Nick Paul shot blocked by Matthew Highmore
P3 17:11 Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 16:48 Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 16:39 Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 16:01 Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 15:35 Power play - Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 15:34 Power play - Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 15:33 Power play - Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Linus Ullmark
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:59
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Luke Glendening in defensive zone
P3 19:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 19:55
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Michael Amadio
P3 19:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P3 19:24
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P3 19:19
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P3 19:06
Nick Paul won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P3 19:06
Stoppage - Icing
P3 19:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Senators
P3 18:58
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 18:58
Stoppage - Icing
P3 18:52
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 18:52
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 18:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 18:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Senators
P3 18:24
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 18:24
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 18:02
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 18:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 17:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:41
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P3 17:41
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
P3 17:33
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 17:33
Stoppage - Icing
P3 17:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 17:23
SHOT
Nick Paul shot blocked by Claude Giroux
P3 17:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 17:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 17:14
SHOT
Nick Paul shot blocked by Matthew Highmore
P3 17:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 16:50
Power play - Giveaway by Brayden Point in offensive zone
P3 16:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 16:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 16:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 15:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 15:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 15:33
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 15:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 14:55
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 14:55
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 14:55
Penalty to Drake Batherson 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Brandon Hagel)
P3 14:26
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Fabian Zetterlund
P3 13:49
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
P3 13:10
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P3 13:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 12:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 11:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:55
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Tim Stutzle
P3 10:21
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
P3 10:21
Stoppage - Icing
P3 09:09
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P3 09:09
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 07:56
Takeaway by Victor Hedman in offensive zone
P3 07:41
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 07:05
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Adam Gaudette saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 07:03
SHOT
Power play - David Perron shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 06:42
Shorthanded - Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Adam Gaudette in defensive zone
P3 06:16
Shorthanded - Luke Glendening won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
P3 06:16
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 06:14
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 06:00
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
P3 06:00
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 05:58
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 05:12
Shorthanded - Luke Glendening won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
P3 05:12
Penalty to Jake Guentzel 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Matthew Highmore)
P3 04:58
Drake Batherson credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
P3 04:47
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
P3 04:47
Stoppage - Offside
P3 03:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Amadio
P3 03:55
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P3 03:53
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 03:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 03:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:14
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Nick Jensen in offensive zone
P3 02:34
SHOT
Nick Perbix shot blocked by Shane Pinto
P3 00:30
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Fabian Zetterlund
P3 00:25
Tyler Kleven credited with hit on Oliver Bjorkstrand in neutral zone
P3 00:00
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:42
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 19:41
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Luke Glendening in defensive zone
P2 19:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 18:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 18:42
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P2 18:42
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 18:02
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
P2 18:02
Stoppage - Offside
P2 17:18
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Nick Paul
P2 16:44
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P2 16:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 16:41
SHOT
Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P2 16:37
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P2 16:37
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 16:35
SHOT
Michael Amadio shot blocked by Brayden Point
P2 15:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Angus Crookshank saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 15:13
Nick Jensen credited with hit on Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P2 14:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 13:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Amadio
P2 13:35
Takeaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
P2 13:32
Jake Guentzel credited with hit on Nick Jensen in offensive zone
P2 12:50
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 12:32
SHOT
Power play - Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P2 12:20
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 11:55
Power play - Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
P2 11:03
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 11:03
Penalty to Nikita Kucherov 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Shane Pinto)
P2 10:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 10:14
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P2 10:14
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P2 09:52
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Adam Gaudette in neutral zone
P2 09:45
SHOT
Nick Jensen shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P2 09:26
SHOT
Adam Gaudette shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P2 09:20
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Adam Gaudette in defensive zone
P2 09:20
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 09:06
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Shane Pinto
P2 08:41
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 08:41
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 08:37
Michael Amadio credited with hit on Victor Hedman in offensive zone
P2 07:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 07:00
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
P2 07:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 07:00
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Yanni Gourde
1-2
P2 06:49
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P2 05:58
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
P2 05:58
Stoppage - Icing
P2 05:34
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in neutral zone
P2 05:17
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P2 05:17
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Jake Sanderson assisted by Tim Stutzle and Ridly Greig
0-2
P2 05:15
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
P2 04:44
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 04:10
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P2 04:10
Penalty to Gage Goncalves 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 04:10
Penalty to Lightning 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Gage Goncalves)
P2 04:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Kleven
P2 03:55
Takeaway by Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P2 03:34
Tyler Kleven credited with hit on Oliver Bjorkstrand in defensive zone
P2 03:26
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P2 03:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 03:01
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Michael Amadio
P2 02:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 02:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P2 02:18
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P2 02:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Perbix
P2 01:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 01:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 01:40
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 01:40
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 01:38
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Claude Giroux
P2 01:02
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Nikolas Matinpalo in offensive zone
P2 00:55
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
P2 00:55
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 00:53
SHOT
Jake Sanderson shot blocked by teammate
P2 00:30
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
P2 00:30
Stoppage - Icing
P2 00:00
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:31
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
P1 19:31
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 18:35
Thomas Chabot credited with hit on Nick Paul in defensive zone
P1 18:30
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P1 18:30
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 18:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 18:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 17:56
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
P1 17:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Jensen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 17:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
P1 17:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
P1 17:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
P1 17:21
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 16:55
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Shane Pinto in defensive zone
P1 16:51
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 16:45
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 16:45
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P1 16:34
SHOT
Power play - Victor Hedman shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P1 16:23
SHOT
Power play - Victor Hedman shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P1 15:24
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P1 15:24
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 15:24
Penalty to Drake Batherson 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Brandon Hagel)
P1 15:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 15:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
P1 13:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P1 13:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 13:55
Giveaway by Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P1 13:45
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 13:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P1 13:43
GOAL
Goal scored by Shane Pinto assisted by Ridly Greig
0-1
P1 12:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Gaudette saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 11:28
Takeaway by Tyler Kleven in defensive zone
P1 10:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 10:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 10:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 09:22
SHOT
Power play - Nick Paul shot blocked by Artem Zub
P1 09:09
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
P1 09:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 09:07
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 08:15
Shorthanded - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 08:15
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 08:15
Penalty to Thomas Chabot 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Yanni Gourde)
P1 07:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 06:49
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P1 06:49
Stoppage - Icing
P1 06:05
SHOT
Nick Paul shot blocked by Fabian Zetterlund
P1 05:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 05:10
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P1 04:59
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 04:59
Stoppage - Offside
P1 04:18
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Adam Gaudette in offensive zone
P1 04:18
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 04:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Perbix saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 03:42
SHOT
Michael Amadio shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P1 03:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 03:06
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 03:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 02:59
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
P1 02:59
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 02:47
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
P1 02:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Gaudette saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 01:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 01:12
David Perron credited with hit on Victor Hedman in offensive zone
P1 00:00
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Senators
32Shots on Goal19
43%Faceoff Win %57%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
14Hits27
14Shots Blocked21
9Giveaways8
LightningTB
SenatorsOTT
32Shots on Goal19
43%Faceoff Win %57%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
14Hits27
14Shots Blocked21
9Giveaways8

Game Prediction Article

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Lightning vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Senators
  • Date: Thursday, April 3, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -143, Senators +126

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 57%
  • Senators: 43%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 57%, while the Senators have a win probability of 43%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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