Penguins vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Sabres NHL game on March 27, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Penguins
3
7
Mar 27, 11PM KeyBank Center
Sabres
Mar 27, 11PM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Penguins
1023
Sabres
2507
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
PenguinsPIT
Win %
0%
100%
SabresBUF
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityPenguinsSabresP1P2REG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityPenguinsSabresP1P2REG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 6.5Under 6.5P1P2REG0255075100
TEAM123T
Penguins
1023
Sabres
2507
P3 17:46 Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 16:57 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor Clifton saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 16:53 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 16:53 Tage Thompson shot blocked by Kris Letang
P3 14:50 Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 14:25 Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by James Reimer
P3 13:54 Goal scored by Conor Timmins
P3 13:45 Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Josh Dunne
P3 13:31 Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 12:51 Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P3 12:35 Shot missed by Matt Grzelcyk
P3 10:40 Tage Thompson shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:34 Tage Thompson shot blocked by teammate
P3 09:27 Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 08:39 Shot on goal by Isak Rosen saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 08:34 Shot on goal by Tyson Kozak saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 08:06 Owen Power shot blocked by Emil Bemstrom
P3 07:26 Shorthanded - Joona Koppanen shot blocked by Bowen Byram
P3 06:51 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by James Reimer
P3 05:54 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 17:56
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Josh Dunne in offensive zone
P3 17:56
Stoppage - Icing
P3 17:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 17:32
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Josh Dunne in neutral zone
P3 17:32
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 16:57
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor Clifton saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 16:55
Shorthanded - Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P3 16:55
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 16:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 16:53
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Kris Letang
P3 15:49
Takeaway by Alex Tuch in defensive zone
P3 15:01
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P3 15:01
Penalty to Jiri Kulich 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 14:54
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in defensive zone
P3 14:54
Penalty to Vladislav Kolyachonok 2 minutes for Delay of Game
P3 14:54
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 14:51
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
P3 14:51
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 14:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 14:27
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
P3 14:27
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 14:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by James Reimer
P3 14:05
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in neutral zone
P3 14:05
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P3 13:54
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in neutral zone
P3 13:54
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in neutral zone
P3 13:54
GOAL
Goal scored by Conor Timmins
3-7
P3 13:45
SHOT
Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Josh Dunne
P3 13:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 12:51
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in neutral zone
P3 12:51
Stoppage - Offside
P3 12:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P3 12:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Grzelcyk
P3 12:09
Takeaway by Kris Letang in offensive zone
P3 11:15
Giveaway by Vladislav Kolyachonok in neutral zone
P3 10:53
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
P3 10:42
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P3 10:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 10:40
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:34
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by teammate
P3 09:49
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in offensive zone
P3 09:49
Stoppage - Offside
P3 09:29
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P3 09:29
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 09:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 08:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Isak Rosen saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 08:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyson Kozak saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 08:06
SHOT
Owen Power shot blocked by Emil Bemstrom
P3 07:26
SHOT
Shorthanded - Joona Koppanen shot blocked by Bowen Byram
P3 06:51
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by James Reimer
P3 05:56
Power play - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P3 05:56
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 05:54
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 05:53
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
P3 05:53
Penalty to Jacob Bernard-Docker 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Connor Dewar)
P3 05:53
Penalty to Connor Dewar 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Jacob Bernard-Docker)
P3 04:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Clifton saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 04:44
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P3 04:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by James Reimer
P3 04:26
SHOT
Shot missed by JJ Peterka
P3 03:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 03:52
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
P3 03:52
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 03:11
Giveaway by Connor Dewar in offensive zone
P3 03:04
Giveaway by Owen Power in defensive zone
P3 03:00
Josh Dunne won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
P3 03:00
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 02:16
Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P3 02:16
GOAL
Goal scored by Blake Lizotte
2-7
P3 02:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
P3 02:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by James Reimer
P3 01:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
P3 00:55
Giveaway by Bowen Byram in defensive zone
P3 00:40
Giveaway by Zach Benson in neutral zone
P3 00:33
Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
P3 00:33
Stoppage
P3 00:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by James Reimer
P2 19:34
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
P2 19:34
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Tuch assisted by Owen Power and Tyson Kozak
1-7
P2 19:18
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in defensive zone
P2 19:18
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 19:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joona Koppanen saved by James Reimer
P2 18:32
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in neutral zone
P2 18:32
Stoppage - Offside
P2 18:05
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 18:05
Penalty to Rasmus Dahlin 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Connor Dewar)
P2 18:05
Penalty to Connor Dewar 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Rasmus Dahlin)
P2 18:05
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 18:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by James Reimer
P2 18:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by James Reimer
P2 16:48
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Bowen Byram
P2 16:41
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P2 16:41
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 16:39
SHOT
Blake Lizotte shot blocked by Owen Power
P2 15:48
Giveaway by JJ Peterka in neutral zone
P2 15:44
SHOT
Ryan Graves shot blocked by teammate
P2 15:42
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P2 15:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 15:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by James Reimer
P2 15:21
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in offensive zone
P2 15:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 15:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by James Reimer
P2 14:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Clifton
P2 13:58
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Kris Letang
P2 13:44
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by teammate
P2 13:18
SHOT
Matt Grzelcyk shot blocked by Zach Benson
P2 12:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by James Reimer
P2 12:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by James Reimer
P2 12:02
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Josh Dunne in neutral zone
P2 12:02
GOAL
Goal scored by Tyson Kozak
1-6
P2 12:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P2 11:57
Giveaway by Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P2 11:34
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
P2 11:34
GOAL
Goal scored by Jiri Kulich assisted by Bowen Byram and Jack Quinn
1-5
P2 10:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P2 10:37
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
P2 10:06
Power play - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in offensive zone
P2 10:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 10:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P2 10:02
Power play - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in offensive zone
P2 10:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 10:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P2 09:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P2 09:37
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P2 09:32
Power play - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P2 09:32
Penalty to Blake Lizotte 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Rasmus Dahlin)
P2 09:14
SHOT
Ryan Shea shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P2 08:49
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in offensive zone
P2 08:49
Stoppage - Icing
P2 07:44
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
P2 07:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 07:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by James Reimer
P2 07:05
SHOT
Shorthanded - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Matt Grzelcyk
P2 07:03
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
P2 06:23
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
P2 06:23
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 06:23
Penalty to Connor Clifton 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Bryan Rust)
P2 05:49
SHOT
Conor Timmins shot blocked by Bowen Byram
P2 05:37
Giveaway by Conor Timmins in defensive zone
P2 05:20
Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P2 05:20
Penguins replaced goalie. (Alex Nedeljkovic)
P2 05:20
GOAL
Goal scored by Mattias Samuelsson assisted by Isak Rosen and Rasmus Dahlin
1-4
P2 04:59
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
P2 04:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philip Tomasino saved by James Reimer
P2 04:47
Stoppage - Offside
P2 04:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by James Reimer
P2 04:22
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in offensive zone
P2 04:22
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 04:20
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P2 04:17
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
P2 04:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by James Reimer
P2 04:17
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 04:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by James Reimer
P2 04:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by James Reimer
P2 03:55
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in offensive zone
P2 03:55
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 03:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
P2 03:36
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P2 03:36
GOAL
Goal scored by Jiri Kulich assisted by Bowen Byram and Tage Thompson
1-3
P2 01:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P2 00:45
Jack Quinn credited with hit on Matt Grzelcyk in offensive zone
P2 00:36
SHOT
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P2 00:35
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P2 00:23
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P2 00:23
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P2 00:00
Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:30
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P1 19:30
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 19:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyson Kozak
P1 18:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P1 18:43
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in offensive zone
P1 18:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 18:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Grzelcyk saved by James Reimer
P1 18:40
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P1 18:40
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 18:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by James Reimer
P1 18:32
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in defensive zone
P1 18:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 18:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Isak Rosen saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 18:01
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
P1 18:01
Stoppage - Icing
P1 17:29
SHOT
Ryan Shea shot blocked by JJ Peterka
P1 17:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Timmins
P1 16:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 16:06
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 15:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by James Reimer
P1 15:37
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by James Reimer
P1 15:19
SHOT
Power play - Sidney Crosby shot blocked by teammate
P1 14:18
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
P1 14:18
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 14:18
Penalty to Zach Benson 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 13:11
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
P1 13:11
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 12:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by James Reimer
P1 12:29
SHOT
Danton Heinen shot blocked by Bowen Byram
P1 11:54
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by Joona Koppanen
P1 11:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jiri Kulich saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 11:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Clifton saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 11:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 11:11
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in neutral zone
P1 11:11
GOAL
Goal scored by Sidney Crosby
1-2
P1 11:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P1 10:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Bernard-Docker saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 10:16
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Conor Timmins
P1 10:09
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in offensive zone
P1 10:09
Stoppage - Offside
P1 10:02
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
P1 10:02
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 10:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philip Tomasino saved by James Reimer
P1 09:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
P1 09:00
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 08:39
SHOT
Power play - Jack Quinn shot blocked by teammate
P1 07:59
Power play - Giveaway by Jack Quinn in offensive zone
P1 06:44
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by James Reimer
P1 06:41
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P1 06:41
Penalty to Sidney Crosby 2 minutes for Slashing
P1 06:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 06:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jiri Kulich saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 06:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 06:08
Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P1 06:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 06:00
Giveaway by Ryan Graves in defensive zone
P1 04:44
Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
P1 04:42
GOAL
Goal scored by Peyton Krebs assisted by Connor Clifton and Rasmus Dahlin
0-2
P1 04:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P1 03:05
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P1 03:05
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 02:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in neutral zone
P1 02:00
Stoppage - Offside
P1 01:42
SHOT
Isak Rosen shot blocked by Vladislav Kolyachonok
P1 01:30
SHOT
Jacob Bernard-Docker shot blocked by Ryan Graves
P1 01:01
Takeaway by Erik Karlsson in defensive zone
P1 00:27
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P1 00:27
GOAL
Goal scored by Tage Thompson assisted by Zach Benson and Rasmus Dahlin
0-1
P1 00:22
Kris Letang credited with hit on Zach Benson in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
 STATS
Sabres
25Shots on Goal30
58%Faceoff Win %42%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
15Penalty Infraction Mins13
28Hits15
8Shots Blocked14
14Giveaways15
PenguinsPIT
SabresBUF
25Shots on Goal30
58%Faceoff Win %42%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
15Penalty Infraction Mins13
28Hits15
8Shots Blocked14
14Giveaways15

Game Prediction Article

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Penguins vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Sabres
  • Date: Thursday, March 27, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +116, Sabres -135

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 44%
  • Sabres: 56%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 44%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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21+
1-800-GAMBLER: Help for Problem Gambling
National Council on Problem Gambling