Maple Leafs vs. Rangers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Rangers NHL game on March 20, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Maple Leafs
4
3
Mar 20, 11PM Madison Square Garden
Rangers
Mar 20, 11PM Madison Square Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
2204
Rangers
1113
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Maple LeafsTOR
Win %
100%
0%
RangersNYR
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMaple LeafsRangersP1P2REG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMaple LeafsRangersP1P2REG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 5.5Under 5.5P1P2REG0255075100
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
2204
Rangers
1113
P3 19:53 Auston Matthews shot blocked by Adam Fox
P3 19:25 Goal scored by Chris Kreider
P3 19:13 Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Chris Tanev
P3 18:41 Adam Fox shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:34 Shot missed by Adam Fox
P3 18:18 Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 17:46 Shot on goal by Vincent Trocheck saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 17:07 Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 16:51 Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 16:32 Sam Carrick shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 15:46 Shot on goal by Artemi Panarin saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 15:24 John Tavares shot blocked by J.T. Miller
P3 14:43 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 13:15 Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 12:40 Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P3 10:13 Power play - Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 09:46 Power play - Shot on goal by J.T. Miller saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 09:36 Power play - Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Chris Tanev
P3 08:56 Carson Soucy shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 08:02 K'Andre Miller shot blocked by David Kampf
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:53
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Adam Fox
P3 19:36
Giveaway by Artemi Panarin in offensive zone
P3 19:25
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in neutral zone
P3 19:25
GOAL
Goal scored by Chris Kreider
4-3
P3 19:13
SHOT
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Chris Tanev
P3 18:54
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 18:54
Stoppage - Home Timeout
P3 18:54
Stoppage - Icing
P3 18:41
SHOT
Adam Fox shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Fox
P3 18:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 17:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vincent Trocheck saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 17:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 17:01
Giveaway by K'Andre Miller in defensive zone
P3 16:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 16:32
SHOT
Sam Carrick shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 15:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artemi Panarin saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 15:24
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by J.T. Miller
P3 14:46
John Tavares won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
P3 14:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 14:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 14:29
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in neutral zone
P3 13:18
John Tavares won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
P3 13:18
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 13:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 12:48
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in neutral zone
P3 12:48
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P3 12:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P3 10:32
Shorthanded - Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
P3 10:15
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
P3 10:15
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 10:13
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 09:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by J.T. Miller saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 09:36
SHOT
Power play - Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Chris Tanev
P3 09:23
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Mitch Marner in defensive zone
P3 09:18
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
P3 09:18
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 09:18
Penalty to Matthew Knies 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Zac Jones)
P3 08:56
SHOT
Carson Soucy shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 08:02
SHOT
K'Andre Miller shot blocked by David Kampf
P3 08:02
Giveaway by Steven Lorentz in defensive zone
P3 07:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonny Brodzinski saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 07:21
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 07:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 07:08
SHOT
Braden Schneider shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 06:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 06:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Fox saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 05:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P3 05:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brennan Othmann saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 05:15
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P3 05:15
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 05:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 04:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Carrick saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 03:55
J.T. Miller won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 03:55
Stoppage - Icing
P3 03:05
Alexis Lafreniere credited with hit on Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
P3 02:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
P3 02:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 02:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Mika Zibanejad
P3 01:54
Auston Matthews won faceoff against J.T. Miller in neutral zone
P3 01:54
Stoppage - Offside
P3 01:37
Juuso Parssinen won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
P3 01:37
Stoppage - Offside
P3 01:27
Takeaway by Artemi Panarin in offensive zone
P3 00:22
SHOT
Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 00:00
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:58
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 19:58
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
P2 19:19
Auston Matthews won faceoff against J.T. Miller in offensive zone
P2 19:19
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 19:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 19:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Carrick in offensive zone
P2 19:00
Stoppage - Icing
P2 18:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Brennan Othmann
P2 17:42
Giveaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
P2 17:14
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 17:14
Stoppage - Icing
P2 17:07
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
P2 17:07
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 17:00
SHOT
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P2 16:29
John Tavares won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
P2 16:29
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P2 15:16
SHOT
Mika Zibanejad shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P2 14:26
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P2 14:26
GOAL
Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by William Nylander
4-2
P2 13:57
SHOT
Adam Fox shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P2 13:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Chris Kreider saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 13:43
John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Carrick in defensive zone
P2 13:43
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 12:43
SHOT
Brett Berard shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P2 12:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Carson Soucy
P2 11:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Will Borgen saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 11:01
SHOT
Shot missed by J.T. Miller
P2 10:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Will Borgen saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 10:40
SHOT
Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P2 10:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Will Borgen
P2 09:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Fox saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 09:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Fox
P2 09:21
John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Carrick in neutral zone
P2 09:21
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 08:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonny Brodzinski saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 08:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 08:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Laughton
P2 07:17
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P2 06:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 06:01
Giveaway by Carson Soucy in offensive zone
P2 05:12
SHOT
Adam Fox shot blocked by David Kampf
P2 05:09
Juuso Parssinen won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 05:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 05:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zac Jones saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 04:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Chris Kreider
P2 04:44
SHOT
Braden Schneider shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
P2 04:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Chris Kreider
P2 04:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zac Jones saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 04:16
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
P2 04:16
GOAL
Goal scored by John Tavares
3-2
P2 04:15
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 04:13
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by teammate
P2 04:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 03:41
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 03:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 03:31
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in defensive zone
P2 03:10
Auston Matthews won faceoff against J.T. Miller in defensive zone
P2 03:10
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 03:09
SHOT
Chris Kreider shot blocked by Chris Tanev
P2 02:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Chris Tanev
P2 02:39
David Kampf won faceoff against Sam Carrick in offensive zone
P2 02:39
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 01:37
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Adam Fox
P2 01:22
John Tavares won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in neutral zone
P2 01:22
GOAL
Goal scored by Artemi Panarin assisted by Vincent Trocheck and Adam Fox
2-2
P2 01:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artemi Panarin saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 01:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vincent Trocheck saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 00:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Will Borgen
P2 00:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by K'Andre Miller saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 00:04
Alexis Lafreniere credited with hit on Chris Tanev in neutral zone
P2 00:00
Auston Matthews won faceoff against J.T. Miller in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:58
SHOT
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 19:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Vincent Trocheck
P1 19:50
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
P1 19:50
GOAL
Goal scored by Bobby McMann
2-1
P1 19:42
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 19:42
Stoppage - Icing
P1 19:27
Giveaway by Simon Benoit in offensive zone
P1 19:26
Giveaway by K'Andre Miller in defensive zone
P1 19:12
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in neutral zone
P1 19:12
GOAL
Goal scored by Will Borgen
1-1
P1 18:50
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
P1 18:50
Stoppage - High Stick
P1 17:58
Giveaway by Braden Schneider in defensive zone
P1 17:10
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Juuso Parssinen
P1 16:42
David Kampf won faceoff against Juuso Parssinen in neutral zone
P1 16:42
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P1 16:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 16:19
SHOT
Chris Tanev shot blocked by Alexis Lafreniere
P1 16:17
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
P1 16:17
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 16:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P1 16:09
Giveaway by Will Borgen in defensive zone
P1 14:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 14:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 14:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P1 14:33
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 14:33
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 14:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vincent Trocheck saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 14:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Vincent Trocheck
P1 14:23
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P1 14:23
Stoppage - Offside
P1 13:37
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by J.T. Miller
P1 12:42
Takeaway by Jonny Brodzinski in defensive zone
P1 12:30
Max Domi won faceoff against Sam Carrick in neutral zone
P1 12:30
GOAL
Goal scored by John Tavares assisted by Jake McCabe and William Nylander
1-0
P1 12:29
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P1 12:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
P1 12:08
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 12:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 12:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brennan Othmann saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 11:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 11:12
David Kampf won faceoff against Sam Carrick in offensive zone
P1 11:12
Stoppage - Icing
P1 10:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Chris Tanev saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 10:07
Power play - Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
P1 09:21
SHOT
Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by J.T. Miller
P1 09:01
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Vincent Trocheck saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 08:58
SHOT
Power play - Mitch Marner shot blocked by J.T. Miller
P1 08:55
Power play - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
P1 08:55
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 08:53
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 08:50
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against J.T. Miller in offensive zone
P1 08:50
Penalty to K'Andre Miller 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by William Nylander)
P1 08:37
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 08:37
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 08:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 08:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 08:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by K'Andre Miller saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 08:07
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P1 08:07
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 08:04
SHOT
Brett Berard shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P1 07:42
David Kampf won faceoff against Juuso Parssinen in neutral zone
P1 07:42
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P1 07:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonny Brodzinski saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 06:18
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 06:18
Stoppage - Icing
P1 06:11
John Tavares won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
P1 06:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 06:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Fox saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 06:00
SHOT
K'Andre Miller shot blocked by Chris Tanev
P1 05:21
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P1 05:21
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 04:30
David Kampf won faceoff against Juuso Parssinen in offensive zone
P1 04:30
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 04:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 04:14
Giveaway by Sam Carrick in neutral zone
P1 04:04
Max Domi won faceoff against Sam Carrick in defensive zone
P1 04:04
Stoppage - High Stick
P1 03:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carson Soucy saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 03:52
SHOT
Adam Fox shot blocked by John Tavares
P1 03:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P1 03:30
Giveaway by Adam Fox in defensive zone
P1 03:27
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 03:27
Stoppage - Icing
P1 03:20
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
P1 03:20
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 03:04
Giveaway by J.T. Miller in defensive zone
P1 02:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carson Soucy saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 02:15
J.T. Miller won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
P1 02:15
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 02:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Carrick saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 01:41
Max Domi won faceoff against Sam Carrick in offensive zone
P1 01:41
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 01:39
SHOT
Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Braden Schneider
P1 01:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P1 01:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 00:56
SHOT
Bobby McMann shot blocked by teammate
P1 00:18
SHOT
K'Andre Miller shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P1 00:11
Auston Matthews won faceoff against J.T. Miller in neutral zone
P1 00:11
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 00:00
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Maple Leafs
 STATS
Rangers
28Shots on Goal30
55%Faceoff Win %46%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
27Hits33
20Shots Blocked10
12Giveaways21
Maple LeafsTOR
RangersNYR
28Shots on Goal30
55%Faceoff Win %46%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
27Hits33
20Shots Blocked10
12Giveaways21

Game Prediction Article

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Maple Leafs vs. Rangers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Rangers
  • Date: Thursday, March 20, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Madison Square Garden

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rangers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +112, Rangers -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 46%
  • Rangers: 54%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 46%, while the Rangers have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rangers are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Madison Square Garden on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Rangers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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