Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche NHL game on March 8, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
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NHL
Maple Leafs
4
7
Mar 9, 12AM Ball Arena
Avalanche
Mar 9, 12AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
3104
Avalanche
2147
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Maple LeafsTOR
Win %
0%
100%
AvalancheCOL
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMaple LeafsAvalancheP1P2REG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMaple LeafsAvalancheP1P2REG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 6.5Under 6.5P1P2REG0255075100
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
3104
Avalanche
2147
P3 19:38 Philippe Myers shot blocked by Charlie Coyle
P3 19:32 Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 19:07 Goal scored by Nathan MacKinnon
P3 19:07 Goal scored by Nathan MacKinnon assisted by Valeri Nichushkin and Artturi Lehkonen (Empty Net)
P3 18:54 Mitch Marner shot blocked by Nathan MacKinnon
P3 18:48 Auston Matthews shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:33 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 18:25 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 18:05 Goal scored by Valeri Nichushkin assisted by Artturi Lehkonen and Cale Makar (Empty Net)
P3 18:04 Goal scored by Valeri Nichushkin assisted by Artturi Lehkonen and Cale Makar
P3 16:46 Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Logan O'Connor
P3 16:33 Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 16:12 William Nylander shot blocked by Charlie Coyle
P3 15:45 Power play - Goal scored by Nathan MacKinnon assisted by Martin Necas and Devon Toews
P3 14:37 Power play - Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 14:23 Power play - Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 14:02 Power play - Cale Makar shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 13:40 Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 13:34 Philippe Myers shot blocked by Nathan MacKinnon
P3 11:55 Goal scored by Jonathan Drouin assisted by Charlie Coyle and Ross Colton
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:38
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by Charlie Coyle
P3 19:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 19:07
David Kampf won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in neutral zone
P3 19:07
GOAL
Goal scored by Nathan MacKinnon
4-7
P3 19:07
GOAL
Goal scored by Nathan MacKinnon assisted by Valeri Nichushkin and Artturi Lehkonen (Empty Net)
4-7
P3 18:54
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Nathan MacKinnon
P3 18:48
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:43
John Tavares won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
P3 18:43
Stoppage - Icing - Visitor Timeout
P3 18:36
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 18:36
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 18:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 18:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 18:06
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Parker Kelly in neutral zone
P3 18:05
GOAL
Goal scored by Valeri Nichushkin assisted by Artturi Lehkonen and Cale Makar (Empty Net)
4-6
P3 18:04
GOAL
Goal scored by Valeri Nichushkin assisted by Artturi Lehkonen and Cale Makar
4-6
P3 17:31
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P3 16:55
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in defensive zone
P3 16:46
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Logan O'Connor
P3 16:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 16:16
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in offensive zone
P3 16:16
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:12
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Charlie Coyle
P3 15:45
John Tavares won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in neutral zone
P3 15:45
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Nathan MacKinnon assisted by Martin Necas and Devon Toews
4-5
P3 14:37
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 14:23
SHOT
Power play - Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 14:12
Shorthanded - Giveaway by David Kampf in defensive zone
P3 14:02
SHOT
Power play - Cale Makar shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 13:59
Power play - Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P3 13:59
Penalty to Mitch Marner 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Martin Necas)
P3 13:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 13:38
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
P3 13:38
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P3 13:34
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by Nathan MacKinnon
P3 12:41
Giveaway by Josh Manson in defensive zone
P3 11:55
David Kampf won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
P3 11:55
GOAL
Goal scored by Jonathan Drouin assisted by Charlie Coyle and Ross Colton
4-4
P3 11:10
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Scott Laughton in defensive zone
P3 11:10
Stoppage - Icing
P3 10:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 09:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 09:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 09:27
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P3 09:27
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 09:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P3 09:16
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P3 09:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 08:43
Jack Drury won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 08:43
Stoppage - Icing
P3 07:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 06:59
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P3 06:59
Stoppage - Icing
P3 06:51
Valeri Nichushkin credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
P3 06:38
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P3 06:28
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P3 06:28
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 06:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 05:00
Takeaway by Joel Kiviranta in defensive zone
P3 04:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 04:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 03:29
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Cale Makar
P3 03:26
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
P3 03:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 03:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 02:35
Jack Drury credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in neutral zone
P3 02:29
SHOT
Bobby McMann shot blocked by Sam Malinski
P3 01:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Malinski
P3 01:34
SHOT
Brock Nelson shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 01:22
SHOT
Jonathan Drouin shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
P3 01:16
SHOT
Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 01:07
SHOT
Ryan Lindgren shot blocked by teammate
P3 00:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
P3 00:43
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P3 00:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 00:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 00:06
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
P3 00:06
Stoppage - Offside
P3 00:00
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:55
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
P2 19:55
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 19:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 19:23
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P2 19:23
Stoppage - Icing
P2 19:09
SHOT
Martin Necas shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P2 18:59
Giveaway by Artturi Lehkonen in offensive zone
P2 18:41
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 17:52
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P2 17:52
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 17:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 17:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 17:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
P2 17:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 16:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 16:22
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 16:22
Stoppage - Icing
P2 16:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Lindgren
P2 16:00
David Kampf won faceoff against Jack Drury in defensive zone
P2 16:00
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 15:56
SHOT
Joel Kiviranta shot blocked by teammate
P2 15:27
Ross Colton won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P2 15:27
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 15:11
John Tavares won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in neutral zone
P2 15:11
GOAL
Goal scored by Joel Kiviranta assisted by Ross Colton and Sam Malinski
4-3
P2 14:36
Giveaway by Mitch Marner in neutral zone
P2 14:17
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
P2 14:17
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 14:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 14:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 13:56
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P2 13:56
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 13:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 13:22
SHOT
Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by teammate
P2 13:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Artturi Lehkonen
P2 12:45
David Kampf won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
P2 12:45
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by John Tavares assisted by Auston Matthews and William Nylander
4-2
P2 12:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 12:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 12:14
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in offensive zone
P2 12:14
Penalty to Jack Drury 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Steven Lorentz)
P2 12:05
SHOT
Logan O'Connor shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P2 11:16
Giveaway by Max Domi in defensive zone
P2 11:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Samuel Girard saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 10:57
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
P2 10:57
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 10:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 10:47
Giveaway by Max Domi in offensive zone
P2 09:18
Giveaway by Valeri Nichushkin in offensive zone
P2 09:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 09:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Lindgren saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 08:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Manson
P2 08:41
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in neutral zone
P2 08:41
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P2 08:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Drury
P2 07:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P2 07:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P2 07:26
Shorthanded - Takeaway by David Kampf in defensive zone
P2 07:20
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Artturi Lehkonen
P2 06:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Devon Toews
P2 06:27
Power play - Giveaway by Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
P2 06:05
SHOT
Power play - Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P2 05:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 05:29
Power play - Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 05:29
Penalty to William Nylander 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Brock Nelson)
P2 04:52
Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 04:52
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 04:30
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in defensive zone
P2 04:30
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:28
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 04:19
SHOT
Power play - Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P2 04:08
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 03:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
P2 02:32
Power play - Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 02:32
Penalty to Philippe Myers 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Logan O'Connor)
P2 01:51
Ross Colton credited with hit on John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 01:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 01:20
John Tavares won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in defensive zone
P2 01:20
Stoppage - Icing
P2 00:10
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 00:00
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Lindgren saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 18:42
Brock Nelson won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
P1 18:42
Stoppage - Offside
P1 18:35
Giveaway by Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
P1 18:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Cale Makar
P1 17:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 17:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Drury saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 16:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 16:04
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
P1 16:04
GOAL
Goal scored by Mitch Marner assisted by Bobby McMann and Auston Matthews
3-2
P1 14:39
SHOT
David Kampf shot blocked by Sam Malinski
P1 14:37
SHOT
Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by teammate
P1 14:35
Charlie Coyle won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
P1 14:35
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 14:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P1 13:20
SHOT
Devon Toews shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P1 13:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
P1 13:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 13:09
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P1 13:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 13:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 12:51
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 12:51
GOAL
Goal scored by John Tavares assisted by William Nylander
2-2
P1 12:43
Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 12:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 12:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P1 12:14
Charlie Coyle won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P1 12:14
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 11:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P1 11:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Avalanche
P1 11:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 10:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 09:35
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
P1 09:35
Penalty to Parker Kelly 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Simon Benoit)
P1 09:35
Penalty to Simon Benoit 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Parker Kelly)
P1 09:35
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 09:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Drury saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 09:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Samuel Girard saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 07:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P1 07:35
SHOT
Martin Necas shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P1 06:59
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P1 06:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 06:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 06:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P1 06:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P1 06:08
John Tavares won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in neutral zone
P1 06:08
GOAL
Goal scored by Valeri Nichushkin assisted by Brock Nelson and Sam Malinski
1-2
P1 05:57
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P1 05:57
Stoppage - Icing
P1 04:14
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P1 04:14
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P1 03:19
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P1 03:19
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Samuel Girard saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 03:12
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
P1 03:12
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 03:04
Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P1 03:04
GOAL
Goal scored by Mitch Marner assisted by Matthew Knies and Auston Matthews
1-1
P1 02:44
Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in defensive zone
P1 01:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Samuel Girard
P1 01:26
SHOT
Sam Malinski shot blocked by Scott Laughton
P1 00:56
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in neutral zone
P1 00:56
GOAL
Goal scored by Valeri Nichushkin assisted by Ryan Lindgren and Josh Manson
0-1
P1 00:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
P1 00:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 00:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock Nelson
P1 00:22
Giveaway by Matthew Knies in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Maple Leafs
 STATS
Avalanche
21Shots on Goal34
64%Faceoff Win %36%
1/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins4
23Hits23
14Shots Blocked10
23Giveaways10
Maple LeafsTOR
AvalancheCOL
21Shots on Goal34
64%Faceoff Win %36%
1/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins4
23Hits23
14Shots Blocked10
23Giveaways10

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Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche
  • Date: Saturday, March 8, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +136, Avalanche -152

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 42%
  • Avalanche: 58%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 42%, while the Avalanche have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Ball Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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