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Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Senators NHL game on January 25, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
2
Jan 26, 12AM Canadian Tire Centre
Jan 26, 12AM Canadian Tire Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Senators | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Senators | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
P3 19:55 Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 19:20 Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 18:03 Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 16:41 Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Joseph Woll
P3 15:14 Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P3 15:12 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 15:11 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 15:03 Shot missed by Jake McCabe
P3 14:43 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 14:06 Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Joseph Woll
P3 13:09 Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 12:57 Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 12:24 Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 11:17 Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 11:09 Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Joseph Woll
P3 10:59 Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P3 10:47 Goal scored by Shane Pinto assisted by Matthew Highmore
P3 10:45 Shot on goal by Matthew Highmore saved by Joseph Woll
P3 10:29 Mitch Marner shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
P3 09:28 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
End of 3rd Period.
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Anton Forsberg
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - Visitor Timeout
Giveaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Giveaway by Michael Amadio in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Anton Forsberg
Giveaway by Drake Batherson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Joseph Woll
Michael Amadio credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
Takeaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Artem Zub
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Joseph Woll
Ridly Greig credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
Giveaway by Chris Tanev in offensive zone
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Artem Zub
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Joseph Woll
Ridly Greig won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
SHOT
Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
David Kampf won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Shane Pinto assisted by Matthew Highmore
1-2
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Highmore saved by Joseph Woll
Giveaway by Simon Benoit in offensive zone
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
William Nylander won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Matthew Highmore
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Anton Forsberg
Philippe Myers credited with hit on Claude Giroux in neutral zone
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
SHOT
Matthew Highmore shot blocked by Chris Tanev
Mitch Marner credited with hit on Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
SHOT
David Kampf shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
Ridly Greig credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against William Nylander in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Shot missed by Claude Giroux
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikolas Matinpalo saved by Joseph Woll
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in neutral zone
Max Domi credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Giveaway by Brady Tkachuk in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Adam Gaudette
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Anton Forsberg
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Anton Forsberg
Giveaway by Bobby McMann in offensive zone
Giveaway by Michael Amadio in defensive zone
Michael Amadio credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
SHOT
Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Travis Hamonic credited with hit on Nicholas Robertson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
David Kampf won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Nikolas Matinpalo shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by Drake Batherson
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Ridly Greig
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Anton Forsberg
David Kampf won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Anton Forsberg
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Anton Forsberg
David Perron credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in defensive zone
Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in defensive zone
William Nylander won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by Brady Tkachuk
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Travis Hamonic saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Travis Hamonic saved by Joseph Woll
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fraser Minten saved by Anton Forsberg
Tyler Kleven credited with hit on Fraser Minten in defensive zone
Matthew Highmore credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
SHOT
Matthew Highmore shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Joseph Woll
Travis Hamonic credited with hit on Max Domi in neutral zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
Giveaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Anton Forsberg
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
SHOT
Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
David Kampf shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Anton Forsberg
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Joseph Woll
Power play - William Nylander won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Max Domi
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Anton Forsberg
Power play - William Nylander won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
Penalty to Ridly Greig 2 minutes for Holding Stick (Drawn by Auston Matthews)
Giveaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Artem Zub
SHOT
Jake Sanderson shot blocked by David Kampf
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Giveaway by Simon Benoit in offensive zone
David Perron credited with hit on Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
Tim Stutzle credited with hit on Chris Tanev in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Anton Forsberg
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Anton Forsberg
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Claude Giroux shot blocked by David Kampf
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Joseph Woll
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Drake Batherson
Zack Ostapchuk credited with hit on Philippe Myers in offensive zone
Giveaway by Nikolas Matinpalo in offensive zone
Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Nikolas Matinpalo in defensive zone
Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Tyler Kleven in offensive zone
Claude Giroux won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
David Kampf won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Joseph Woll
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Zack Ostapchuk
Drake Batherson credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Joseph Woll
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Anton Forsberg
Jacob Quillan credited with hit on Claude Giroux in offensive zone
Giveaway by Claude Giroux in neutral zone
Ridly Greig credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
Max Domi credited with hit on Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Mitch Marner
SHOT
Michael Amadio shot blocked by Chris Tanev
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
William Nylander won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
Ryan Reaves credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
SHOT
Maple Leafs shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Reaves
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Tim Stutzle assisted by Jake Sanderson
1-1
SHOT
Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Power play - Jake Sanderson shot blocked by David Kampf
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Joseph Woll
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Penalty to Pontus Holmberg 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Artem Zub)
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Joseph Woll
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
Penalty to Brady Tkachuk 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Max Domi)
Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Brady Tkachuk)
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Anton Forsberg
Giveaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Joseph Woll
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Penalty to Jake McCabe 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Matthew Highmore)
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Gaudette
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Joseph Woll
Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Bobby McMann assisted by Mitch Marner
1-0
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Anton Forsberg
Giveaway by Tyler Kleven in defensive zone
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Nicholas Robertson
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
Giveaway by Ridly Greig in defensive zone
Giveaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by David Perron
Giveaway by Simon Benoit in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
Oliver Ekman-Larsson credited with hit on Nick Cousins in defensive zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 23 | |||
| 53% | Faceoff Win % | 47% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 19 | Hits | 24 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 16 | |||
| 21 | Giveaways | 17 |
| |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 23 | |||
| 53% | Faceoff Win % | 47% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 19 | Hits | 24 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 16 | |||
| 21 | Giveaways | 17 |
Game Prediction Article
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Maple Leafs vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Senators
- Date: Saturday, January 25, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -110, Senators -105
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 51%
- Senators: 49%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 51%, while the Senators have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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