Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Islanders NHL game on January 11, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
4
Jan 12, 12AM UBS Arena
Jan 12, 12AM UBS Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Islanders | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Islanders | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
OT1 00:21 Goal scored by Mathew Barzal
P3 18:57 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 15:06 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P3 12:35 John Tavares shot blocked by Kyle Palmieri
P3 12:08 Tyler Bertuzzi shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 11:35 Timothy Liljegren shot blocked by Mathew Barzal
P3 11:27 Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 11:03 Bo Horvat shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 09:44 Max Domi shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 07:53 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 06:44 Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P3 06:36 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 05:25 David Kampf shot blocked by Sebastian Aho
P3 04:43 Shot on goal by Hudson Fasching saved by Martin Jones
P3 04:31 Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 03:38 Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 03:28 Simon Benoit shot blocked by Cal Clutterbuck
P3 02:41 T.J. Brodie shot blocked by Kyle Palmieri
P3 02:28 Max Domi shot blocked by Mathew Barzal
P3 00:50 Shot missed by Noah Dobson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
GOAL
Goal scored by Mathew Barzal
3-4
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
Cal Clutterbuck credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in neutral zone
Takeaway by Matt Martin in offensive zone
Takeaway by T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
Mike Reilly credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
Max Domi won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Max Domi won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Kyle Palmieri
SHOT
Tyler Bertuzzi shot blocked by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Timothy Liljegren shot blocked by Mathew Barzal
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Ilya Sorokin
Takeaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
SHOT
Bo Horvat shot blocked by Simon Benoit
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Noah Dobson
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Noah Dobson credited with hit on William Nylander in defensive zone
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Anders Lee in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
Takeaway by Brock Nelson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Giveaway by Martin Jones in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Ilya Sorokin
Matt Martin credited with hit on Mark Giordano in neutral zone
SHOT
David Kampf shot blocked by Sebastian Aho
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Takeaway by Mike Reilly in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hudson Fasching saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
Takeaway by Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Cal Clutterbuck
SHOT
T.J. Brodie shot blocked by Kyle Palmieri
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Mathew Barzal
Bo Horvat won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
John Tavares credited with hit on Hudson Fasching in defensive zone
Giveaway by Matthew Knies in offensive zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Romanov saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Max Domi
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
SHOT
Alexander Romanov shot blocked by Max Domi
Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Scott Mayfield shot blocked by John Tavares
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Ilya Sorokin
John Tavares won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
Stoppage - Skater Puck Frozen
Mark Giordano credited with hit on Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
SHOT
Mike Reilly shot blocked by Mark Giordano
SHOT
Shot missed by Mike Reilly
Takeaway by Auston Matthews in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitchell Marner saved by Ilya Sorokin
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Noah Dobson in neutral zone
SHOT
Matthew Knies shot blocked by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Matthew Knies shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Romanov saved by Martin Jones
Takeaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
Anders Lee credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Cal Clutterbuck in defensive zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Noah Dobson
3-3
SHOT
Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by Mark Giordano
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Penalty to Timothy Liljegren 2 minutes for High Sticking
Giveaway by Hudson Fasching in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitchell Marner
Scott Mayfield credited with hit on Matthew Knies in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Ilya Sorokin
Takeaway by Anders Lee in neutral zone
Cal Clutterbuck credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Ilya Sorokin
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Martin Jones
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Wahlstrom saved by Martin Jones
Power play - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Penalty to Pontus Holmberg 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Mathew Barzal)
Kyle Palmieri won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Bo Horvat won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Ilya Sorokin
John Tavares won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
Takeaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
Matt Martin credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
Giveaway by Noah Dobson in defensive zone
Cal Clutterbuck credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Martin Jones
Max Domi won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
Takeaway by Bobby McMann in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
Hudson Fasching credited with hit on Simon Benoit in neutral zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Pierre Engvall in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Alexander Romanov
3-2
SHOT
Alexander Romanov shot blocked by Tyler Bertuzzi
Timothy Liljegren credited with hit on Bo Horvat in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Martin Jones
Bo Horvat won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Wahlstrom saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Ilya Sorokin
Matt Martin credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Auston Matthews
3-1
Giveaway by Pierre Engvall in offensive zone
Takeaway by Simon Benoit in defensive zone
Takeaway by Brock Nelson in defensive zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Martin Jones
Sebastian Aho credited with hit on Noah Gregor in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Gregor saved by Ilya Sorokin
Takeaway by Bo Horvat in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Auston Matthews
2-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Martin Jones
Giveaway by Cal Clutterbuck in offensive zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Ilya Sorokin
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Puck Frzn-plyd bynd ctr
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Wahlstrom
Cal Clutterbuck credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Ilya Sorokin
John Tavares won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Ilya Sorokin
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hudson Fasching saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Shot missed by David Kampf
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
David Kampf won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
Brock Nelson won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Gregor saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Martin Jones
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Islanders 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Auston Matthews)
Penalty to Matt Martin 2 minutes for Misconduct
Takeaway by Alexander Romanov in defensive zone
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
Max Domi won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Ilya Sorokin
GOAL
Goal scored by Bobby McMann
1-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
Scott Mayfield credited with hit on Tyler Bertuzzi in defensive zone
T.J. Brodie credited with hit on Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
SHOT
Kyle Palmieri shot blocked by Matthew Knies
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Cal Clutterbuck in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Reilly saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Reilly saved by Martin Jones
Giveaway by Max Domi in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Anders Lee
SHOT
Oliver Wahlstrom shot blocked by Max Domi
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
SHOT
Scott Mayfield shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Mathew Barzal credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Martin Jones
Takeaway by T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
Takeaway by Noah Dobson in defensive zone
Matt Martin credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitchell Marner saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Ilya Sorokin
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Martin Jones in defensive zone
Hudson Fasching credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hudson Fasching saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
Scott Mayfield credited with hit on Matthew Knies in defensive zone
SHOT
Scott Mayfield shot blocked by Simon Benoit
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Scott Mayfield shot blocked by Matthew Knies
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Matt Martin shot blocked by Auston Matthews
Giveaway by Mitchell Marner in neutral zone
Giveaway by Max Domi in offensive zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Gregor saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Kyle Palmieri shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Mike Reilly shot blocked by Noah Gregor
Simon Holmstrom won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Wahlstrom saved by Martin Jones
Bo Horvat won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Bo Horvat won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Kyle Palmieri
0-1
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Martin Jones
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Penalty to Auston Matthews 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Noah Dobson
Cal Clutterbuck credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 35 | Shots on Goal | 30 | |||
| 47% | Faceoff Win % | 53% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/2 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 2 | |||
| 11 | Hits | 23 | |||
| 19 | Shots Blocked | 19 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 4 |
| |
|---|
| 35 | Shots on Goal | 30 | |||
| 47% | Faceoff Win % | 53% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/2 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 2 | |||
| 11 | Hits | 23 | |||
| 19 | Shots Blocked | 19 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 4 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Islanders
- Date: Thursday, January 11, 2024
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: UBS Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -130, Islanders +112
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 53%
- Islanders: 47%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 53%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 47%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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