Senators vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Sabres NHL game on January 11, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
5
Jan 12, 12AM KeyBank Center
Jan 12, 12AM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Senators | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
Sabres | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Senators | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
Sabres | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
P3 19:56 Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
P3 19:45 Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Jordan Greenway
P3 19:16 Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 18:40 Shot missed by Owen Power
P3 18:23 Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P3 17:18 Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Alex Tuch
P3 16:17 Mathieu Joseph shot blocked by Ryan Johnson
P3 11:55 Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P3 11:43 Peyton Krebs shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
P3 11:32 Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P3 11:28 Shot on goal by Eric Robinson saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P3 11:15 Goal scored by Claude Giroux
P3 11:14 Shot missed by Claude Giroux
P3 10:55 Shot on goal by Jacob Bernard-Docker saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 09:48 Shot missed by Connor Clifton
P3 09:29 Shot on goal by Eric Robinson saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P3 08:46 Shot on goal by Mark Kastelic saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 07:32 Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 06:42 Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 04:20 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Jordan Greenway
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - Visitor Timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by Owen Power
Giveaway by Brady Tkachuk in offensive zone
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Connor Clifton
Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
SHOT
Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Alex Tuch
SHOT
Mathieu Joseph shot blocked by Ryan Johnson
Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Connor Clifton in neutral zone
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Connor Clifton in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Eric Robinson credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
SHOT
Peyton Krebs shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Drake Batherson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Eric Robinson saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Tim Stutzle credited with hit on Connor Clifton in offensive zone
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Claude Giroux
3-4
SHOT
Shot missed by Claude Giroux
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Bernard-Docker saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Mark Kastelic credited with hit on Kyle Okposo in defensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Clifton
Drake Batherson won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Eric Robinson saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Claude Giroux credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Kastelic saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Connor Clifton credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
Takeaway by Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Takeaway by Mathieu Joseph in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
SHOT
Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Power play - JJ Peterka shot blocked by Artem Zub
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
Mathieu Joseph credited with hit on Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
Mathieu Joseph won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Mathieu Joseph won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Casey Mittelstadt saved by Joonas Korpisalo
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Claude Giroux assisted by Ridly Greig
2-4
SHOT
Shot missed by Ridly Greig
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Jordan Greenway in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Kelly saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Parker Kelly shot blocked by Kyle Okposo
SHOT
Mathieu Joseph shot blocked by Ryan Johnson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Joonas Korpisalo
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Bernard-Docker saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Jordan Greenway in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Vladimir Tarasenko in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
Shorthanded - Connor Clifton credited with hit on Ridly Greig in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Drake Batherson shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
Penalty to Rasmus Dahlin 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Ridly Greig)
Ridly Greig credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in offensive zone
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Takeaway by Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Greenway saved by Joonas Korpisalo
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Giveaway by JJ Peterka in offensive zone
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Jack Quinn
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Ryan Johnson in offensive zone
Takeaway by Ryan Johnson in defensive zone
SHOT
Ryan Johnson shot blocked by Erik Brannstrom
Owen Power credited with hit on Zack MacEwen in defensive zone
SHOT
Mathieu Joseph shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
SHOT
Shot missed by Jacob Bernard-Docker
Mathieu Joseph won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Alex Tuch
Connor Clifton credited with hit on Vladimir Tarasenko in defensive zone
SHOT
Vladimir Tarasenko shot blocked by Connor Clifton
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Shorthanded - Jordan Greenway credited with hit on Drake Batherson in defensive zone
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
Penalty to Zemgus Girgensons 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Artem Zub)
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Eric Robinson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Joonas Korpisalo
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Benson
Mark Kastelic credited with hit on Erik Johnson in neutral zone
SHOT
Travis Hamonic shot blocked by Erik Johnson
Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Kyle Okposo in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Ridly Greig
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Travis Hamonic shot blocked by Ryan Johnson
Travis Hamonic credited with hit on Jordan Greenway in defensive zone
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Mathieu Joseph in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Mark Kastelic credited with hit on Connor Clifton in offensive zone
SHOT
Eric Robinson shot blocked by Erik Brannstrom
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Ryan Johnson in offensive zone
Eric Robinson credited with hit on Erik Brannstrom in offensive zone
Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Peyton Krebs assisted by Eric Robinson
1-4
Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Alex Tuch in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Erik Johnson
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Erik Johnson in defensive zone
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
Penalty to Ryan Johnson 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Brady Tkachuk)
SHOT
Shot missed by Claude Giroux
SHOT
Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Ryan Johnson
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Mathieu Joseph in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against Drake Batherson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Brannstrom saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Ryan Johnson
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
Jack Quinn credited with hit on Claude Giroux in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
Giveaway by Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Tage Thompson assisted by Rasmus Dahlin and Jack Quinn
1-3
Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
Penalty to Dominik Kubalik 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Jordan Greenway)
Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on Jacob Bernard-Docker in defensive zone
Jordan Greenway credited with hit on Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Eric Robinson saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot on goal by Travis Hamonic saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Tage Thompson
1-2
SHOT
Vladimir Tarasenko shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
Rasmus Dahlin credited with hit on Dominik Kubalik in offensive zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
Senators replaced goalie. (Joonas Korpisalo)
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Anton Forsberg
Stoppage - Icing
Ridly Greig credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in offensive zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Vladimir Tarasenko
1-1
Giveaway by Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
Takeaway by Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Ryan Johnson
Claude Giroux credited with hit on Erik Johnson in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Vladimir Tarasenko saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Shorthanded - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
Penalty to Rasmus Dahlin 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Artem Zub)
SHOT
Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Jack Quinn
SHOT
Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Jack Quinn
Tage Thompson credited with hit on Mathieu Joseph in neutral zone
Giveaway by Ryan Johnson in offensive zone
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Mathieu Joseph in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Jordan Greenway won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by JJ Peterka assisted by Dylan Cozens and Owen Power
0-1
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Anton Forsberg
Power play - Giveaway by Tage Thompson in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - TV timeout
Penalty to Mark Kastelic 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Casey Mittelstadt)
Takeaway by Casey Mittelstadt in offensive zone
Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Jacob Bernard-Docker shot blocked by Dylan Cozens
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Ryan Johnson in offensive zone
Eric Robinson credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Artem Zub
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Artem Zub in offensive zone
Drake Batherson credited with hit on Owen Power in offensive zone
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Zach Benson in defensive zone
SHOT
Claude Giroux shot blocked by Owen Power
Kyle Okposo won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Clifton saved by Anton Forsberg
Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against Mathieu Joseph in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Eric Robinson
SHOT
Shot missed by Artem Zub
Rasmus Dahlin credited with hit on Parker Kelly in defensive zone
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
Erik Brannstrom credited with hit in neutral zone
Rasmus Dahlin credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Ridly Greig credited with hit on Jordan Greenway in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Giveaway by Zach Benson in defensive zone
Mark Kastelic credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in offensive zone
Tim Stutzle credited with hit on Rasmus Dahlin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
Connor Clifton credited with hit in neutral zone
Erik Johnson credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Takeaway by Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against Drake Batherson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Rasmus Dahlin credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 28 | Shots on Goal | 32 | |||
| 50% | Faceoff Win % | 50% | |||
| 4/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 24 | Hits | 24 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 27 | |||
| 4 | Giveaways | 6 |
| |
|---|
| 28 | Shots on Goal | 32 | |||
| 50% | Faceoff Win % | 50% | |||
| 4/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 24 | Hits | 24 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 27 | |||
| 4 | Giveaways | 6 |
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Senators vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Senators vs. Sabres
- Date: Thursday, January 11, 2024
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: KeyBank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 7
- Moneyline Odds: Senators +108, Sabres -125
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Senators: 48%
- Sabres: 52%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 48%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Senators vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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