Lightning vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Sabres NHL game on October 17, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
3
Oct 17, 11:30PM KeyBank Center
Oct 17, 11:30PM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Sabres | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Sabres | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
OT1 01:46 Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Jonas Johansson
OT1 01:25 Shot missed by Casey Mittelstadt
OT1 00:57 Shot missed by Owen Power
OT1 00:34 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 19:53 Goal scored by Lightning
P3 19:51 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 19:47 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 19:36 Alex Tuch shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
P3 19:05 Shot missed by Lightning
P3 18:31 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Devon Levi
P3 17:09 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 17:08 Lightning shot blocked by teammate
P3 17:08 Lightning shot blocked by teammate
P3 17:05 Zach Bogosian shot blocked by teammate
P3 16:46 Shot missed by Lightning
P3 15:16 Shot on goal by Nick Perbix saved by Devon Levi
P3 15:11 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Owen Power
P3 14:18 Jeff Skinner shot blocked by Mikey Eyssimont
P3 14:16 Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 14:05 Shot missed by Jeff Skinner
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
Sabres replaced goalie. (Devon Levi)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot missed by Casey Mittelstadt
SHOT
Shot missed by Owen Power
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jonas Johansson
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Lightning
2-2
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Giveaway by Rasmus Dahlin in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
Stoppage - Icing
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Luke Glendening in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jonas Johansson
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by teammate
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Zach Bogosian shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Alex Barre-Boulet in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Luke Glendening in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Perbix saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Owen Power
Peyton Krebs credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
SHOT
Jeff Skinner shot blocked by Mikey Eyssimont
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Jonas Johansson
Takeaway by Darren Raddysh in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jeff Skinner
SHOT
Jeff Skinner shot blocked by Mikey Eyssimont
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Bogosian saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Victor Hedman
Kyle Okposo won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyson Jost saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Conor Sheary shot blocked by Erik Johnson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Barre-Boulet
Alex Barre-Boulet won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Barre-Boulet saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Shorthanded - Erik Cernak shot blocked by teammate
Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
Shorthanded - Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on JJ Peterka in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Lightning
Power play - Giveaway by JJ Peterka in offensive zone
Power play - Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
Penalty to Alex Barre-Boulet 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Jeff Skinner)
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Jeff Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Devon Levi
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Devon Levi
Brayden Point won faceoff against Tyson Jost in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Kyle Okposo in offensive zone
Tyson Jost credited with hit on Brayden Point in defensive zone
Giveaway by Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikey Eyssimont saved by Devon Levi
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
SHOT
Erik Johnson shot blocked by Waltteri Merela
SHOT
Shot missed by Austin Watson
Takeaway by Connor Clifton in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Devon Levi
Alex Barre-Boulet won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Rasmus Dahlin credited with hit on Tanner Jeannot in defensive zone
Giveaway by Connor Clifton in defensive zone
Kyle Okposo won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Jeff Skinner
SHOT
Mikey Eyssimont shot blocked by Henri Jokiharju
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Jonas Johansson
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Zach Benson in defensive zone
Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Casey Mittelstadt in offensive zone
SHOT
Tanner Jeannot shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Brayden Point won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Kyle Okposo won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Devon Levi
Brayden Point credited with hit on Rasmus Dahlin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Devon Levi
Takeaway by Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Kyle Okposo won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Devon Levi
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Luke Glendening credited with hit on Rasmus Dahlin in offensive zone
Erik Johnson credited with hit on Waltteri Merela in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Shorthanded - Tage Thompson shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Sabres
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - TV timeout
Penalty to Connor Clifton 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Nikita Kucherov)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
Takeaway by Alex Barre-Boulet in defensive zone
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Alex Barre-Boulet in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Henri Jokiharju in offensive zone
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Owen Power in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Henri Jokiharju saved by Jonas Johansson
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Jonas Johansson
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Jeff Skinner shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jonas Johansson
Tage Thompson credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Sabres
Takeaway by Rasmus Dahlin in neutral zone
Giveaway by Erik Johnson in offensive zone
Kyle Okposo won faceoff against Mikey Eyssimont in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by JJ Peterka
Takeaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jonas Johansson
Power play - Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jonas Johansson
Power play - Takeaway by Rasmus Dahlin in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jonas Johansson
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Hooking
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Brayden Point
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
Brayden Point won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in offensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jonas Johansson
Takeaway by Connor Clifton in defensive zone
Connor Clifton credited with hit on Tanner Jeannot in defensive zone
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Owen Power
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nicholas Paul
Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
Penalty to Casey Mittelstadt 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Anthony Cirelli)
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Sheary
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
SHOT
Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
Giveaway by Owen Power in neutral zone
Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Owen Power in neutral zone
Giveaway by Tanner Jeannot in offensive zone
Power play - Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nicholas Paul
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mikhail Sergachev
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Devon Levi
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Erik Johnson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - TV timeout
Penalty to Austin Watson 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Zemgus Girgensons)
Shorthanded - Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Penalty to Zemgus Girgensons 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Austin Watson)
Penalty to Rasmus Dahlin 2 minutes for Misconduct
Austin Watson credited with hit on Tyson Jost in defensive zone
Brandon Hagel credited with hit in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikhail Sergachev
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage
Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Zach Benson in neutral zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyson Jost saved by Jonas Johansson
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Takeaway by Kyle Okposo in offensive zone
Takeaway by Kyle Okposo in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Jonas Johansson
Tyson Jost won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jeff Skinner assisted by Owen Power and Alex Tuch
0-2
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Greenway saved by Jonas Johansson
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Connor Clifton in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Greenway
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Zach Benson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Henri Jokiharju
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Clifton saved by Jonas Johansson
Tyson Jost credited with hit on Mikey Eyssimont in defensive zone
SHOT
Mikey Eyssimont shot blocked by Alex Tuch
Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Erik Johnson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
Austin Watson credited with hit on Connor Clifton in offensive zone
Connor Clifton credited with hit on Waltteri Merela in neutral zone
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Zemgus Girgensons assisted by Tyson Jost and Mattias Samuelsson
0-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
Connor Clifton credited with hit on Mikey Eyssimont in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikey Eyssimont saved by Devon Levi
Giveaway by Mikhail Sergachev in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Henri Jokiharju saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Power play - Owen Power shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
Power play - Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
Penalty to Alex Tuch 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
Penalty to Conor Sheary 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Henri Jokiharju)
Nick Perbix credited with hit on Tyson Jost in defensive zone
Giveaway by Brayden Point in offensive zone
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
Brayden Point won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Perbix saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikey Eyssimont saved by Devon Levi
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Johnson saved by Jonas Johansson
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Jeff Skinner shot blocked by Brayden Point
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Takeaway by Mikhail Sergachev in defensive zone
Giveaway by Mikhail Sergachev in neutral zone
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Tyson Jost in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Sheary saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Greenway
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Henri Jokiharju saved by Jonas Johansson
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 23 | Shots on Goal | 31 | |||
| 49% | Faceoff Win % | 51% | |||
| 4/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 11 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 13 | |||
| 20 | Hits | 9 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 7 | Giveaways | 6 |
| |
|---|
| 23 | Shots on Goal | 31 | |||
| 49% | Faceoff Win % | 51% | |||
| 4/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 11 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 13 | |||
| 20 | Hits | 9 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 7 | Giveaways | 6 |
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Lightning vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Sabres
- Date: Tuesday, October 17, 2023
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: KeyBank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 7
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning +110, Sabres -125
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 50%
- Sabres: 50%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 50%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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