Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Sabres NHL game on December 21, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
9
Dec 22, 12AM KeyBank Center
Dec 22, 12AM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Sabres | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Sabres | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
P3 19:36 Power play - Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Martin Jones
P3 18:59 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Devon Levi
P3 18:57 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Devon Levi
P3 18:40 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Martin Jones
P3 17:58 Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
P3 17:36 Simon Benoit shot blocked by Ryan Johnson
P3 17:31 Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Devon Levi
P3 16:36 Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Martin Jones
P3 16:02 Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 15:24 Bobby McMann shot blocked by Jeff Skinner
P3 15:02 Goal scored by Kyle Okposo assisted by Peyton Krebs and Ryan Johnson
P3 14:20 Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Martin Jones
P3 14:00 Shot missed by Mitchell Marner
P3 13:05 Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Devon Levi
P3 12:58 William Nylander shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 12:49 William Nylander shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 12:40 Shot missed by Conor Timmins
P3 12:37 Shot missed by Simon Benoit
P3 12:23 Goal scored by Jeff Skinner assisted by Alex Tuch and Tage Thompson
P3 12:15 Shot missed by Tage Thompson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Shorthanded - Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Devon Levi
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Jeff Skinner)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Martin Jones
David Kampf won faceoff against Jeff Skinner in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Ryan Johnson
Max Domi won faceoff against Kyle Okposo in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Devon Levi
Jake McCabe credited with hit on JJ Peterka in defensive zone
Giveaway by Jack Quinn in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Bobby McMann shot blocked by Jeff Skinner
David Kampf won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Kyle Okposo assisted by Peyton Krebs and Ryan Johnson
3-9
SHOT
Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitchell Marner
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Timmins
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Benoit
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jeff Skinner assisted by Alex Tuch and Tage Thompson
3-8
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Johnson saved by Martin Jones
Timothy Liljegren credited with hit on Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
Timothy Liljegren credited with hit on Kyle Okposo in defensive zone
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jack Quinn assisted by JJ Peterka and Connor Clifton
3-7
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Owen Power
Connor Clifton credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Jordan Greenway
William Nylander won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Devon Levi
Takeaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
Connor Clifton credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
Noah Gregor credited with hit on Owen Power in defensive zone
JJ Peterka credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by JJ Peterka
SHOT
JJ Peterka shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
Erik Johnson credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Okposo saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Owen Power
SHOT
Conor Timmins shot blocked by Peyton Krebs
SHOT
Power play - Casey Mittelstadt shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Power play - Sabres shot blocked by teammate
Power play - Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Power play - Jack Quinn won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Penalty to John Tavares 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Connor Clifton)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Clifton saved by Martin Jones
Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on Mitchell Marner in defensive zone
Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on Mitchell Marner in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Devon Levi
Rasmus Dahlin credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Devon Levi
Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on Bobby McMann in defensive zone
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in offensive zone
Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
JJ Peterka shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Shot missed by JJ Peterka
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Devon Levi
John Tavares won faceoff against Jack Quinn in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Martin Jones
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Benson
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Greenway
Takeaway by Zach Benson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Kyle Okposo
Takeaway by Victor Olofsson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by William Nylander
Shorthanded - Takeaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Noah Gregor in defensive zone
Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Tage Thompson shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Martin Jones
Power play - Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Penalty to Jake McCabe 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Dylan Cozens)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Martin Jones
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Okposo saved by Martin Jones
Erik Johnson credited with hit on Jake McCabe in defensive zone
Erik Johnson credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
Takeaway by Bobby McMann in offensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
Kyle Okposo won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Tage Thompson credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
Calle Jarnkrok credited with hit on Ryan Johnson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Devon Levi
Connor Clifton credited with hit on Tyler Bertuzzi in defensive zone
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Jordan Greenway credited with hit on Matthew Knies in offensive zone
John Tavares credited with hit on Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
John Tavares credited with hit on Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Devon Levi
Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Devon Levi
Shorthanded - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Kyle Okposo
3-6
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Kyle Okposo
SHOT
Shorthanded - Alex Tuch shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Jordan Greenway
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
Penalty to Jack Quinn 2 minutes for Misconduct
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
Erik Johnson credited with hit on Max Domi in neutral zone
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Maple Leafs replaced goalie. (Martin Jones)
GOAL
Goal scored by Tage Thompson assisted by Alex Tuch and Jeff Skinner
3-5
SHOT
Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
Takeaway by Alex Tuch in neutral zone
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Jeff Skinner won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Giveaway by Tyler Bertuzzi in defensive zone
Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Maple Leafs
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Calle Jarnkrok
3-4
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Ilya Samsonov
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Rasmus Dahlin
2-4
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
Penalty to Simon Benoit 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Rasmus Dahlin)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Ilya Samsonov
David Kampf won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Stoppage
Takeaway by Alex Tuch in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Erik Johnson
SHOT
Power play - Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
Shorthanded - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Penalty to Alex Tuch 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Timothy Liljegren)
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jeff Skinner in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Max Domi credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in offensive zone
Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Tyler Bertuzzi shot blocked by Alex Tuch
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Ilya Samsonov
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Jack Quinn in neutral zone
Kyle Okposo credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
SHOT
Kyle Okposo shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Ilya Samsonov
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Zach Benson in neutral zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jeff Skinner assisted by Alex Tuch
2-3
John Tavares won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
John Tavares won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Clifton saved by Ilya Samsonov
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by Mitchell Marner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Clifton saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Owen Power assisted by Zach Benson and Casey Mittelstadt
2-2
Kyle Okposo credited with hit on Bobby McMann in defensive zone
SHOT
Bobby McMann shot blocked by Owen Power
David Kampf won faceoff against Kyle Okposo in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by David Kampf
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Ilya Samsonov
Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Devon Levi
David Kampf won faceoff against Jeff Skinner in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Maple Leafs
2-1
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tyler Bertuzzi
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
Shorthanded - Jordan Greenway won faceoff against Tyler Bertuzzi in defensive zone
Penalty to Jack Quinn 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Auston Matthews)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Alex Tuch
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Power play - Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Owen Power
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Devon Levi
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mitchell Marner saved by Devon Levi
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - TV timeout
Penalty to Mattias Samuelsson 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by T.J. Brodie)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Gregor saved by Devon Levi
Takeaway by Bobby McMann in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Devon Levi
SHOT
Noah Gregor shot blocked by Peyton Krebs
Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Max Domi won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
JJ Peterka shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Ilya Samsonov
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Auston Matthews
1-1
Giveaway by Rasmus Dahlin in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Gregor saved by Devon Levi
Noah Gregor credited with hit on Erik Johnson in offensive zone
Giveaway by Erik Johnson in defensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Kyle Okposo in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by Owen Power
Giveaway by Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
Tyler Bertuzzi credited with hit on Zach Benson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Greenway saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Casey Mittelstadt shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
Takeaway by Zach Benson in defensive zone
John Tavares credited with hit on JJ Peterka in defensive zone
Connor Clifton credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
Kyle Okposo credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
Victor Olofsson credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jordan Greenway assisted by Connor Clifton and Zach Benson
0-1
Jordan Greenway credited with hit on Nicholas Robertson in neutral zone
Takeaway by Nicholas Robertson in offensive zone
Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
Owen Power credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
Takeaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Ilya Samsonov
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 34 | |||
| 59% | Faceoff Win % | 42% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/1 | |||
| 10 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 16 | Hits | 23 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 19 | |||
| 2 | Giveaways | 3 |
| |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 34 | |||
| 59% | Faceoff Win % | 42% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/1 | |||
| 10 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 16 | Hits | 23 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 19 | |||
| 2 | Giveaways | 3 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Sabres
- Date: Thursday, December 21, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: KeyBank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -145, Sabres +126
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 56%
- Sabres: 44%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 56%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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