Lightning vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Senators NHL game on October 15, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
5
Oct 15, 11PM Canadian Tire Centre
Oct 15, 11PM Canadian Tire Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Senators | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Senators | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
P3 19:56 Shot on goal by Travis Hamonic saved by Matt Tomkins
P3 19:18 Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Matt Tomkins
P3 18:46 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
P3 18:34 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P3 17:17 Goal scored by Tim Stutzle (Empty Net)
P3 16:26 Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P3 15:48 Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Brady Tkachuk
P3 15:45 Shot on goal by Mikey Eyssimont saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P3 15:14 Shot missed by Calvin de Haan
P3 14:05 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P3 13:21 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P3 13:09 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P3 12:53 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Matt Tomkins
P3 12:53 Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk assisted by Jake Sanderson
P3 12:07 Rourke Chartier shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P3 10:45 Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P3 09:19 Mikey Eyssimont shot blocked by Erik Brannstrom
P3 08:33 Shot missed by Mathieu Joseph
P3 07:11 Shot on goal by Erik Brannstrom saved by Matt Tomkins
P3 06:15 Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by teammate
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Penalty to Tanner Jeannot 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot on goal by Travis Hamonic saved by Matt Tomkins
Travis Hamonic credited with hit on Tanner Jeannot in defensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Matt Tomkins
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
Giveaway by Mark Kastelic in defensive zone
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
Takeaway by Mark Kastelic in neutral zone
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Tim Stutzle (Empty Net)
2-5
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Rourke Chartier in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Joonas Korpisalo
SHOT
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Brady Tkachuk
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikey Eyssimont saved by Joonas Korpisalo
SHOT
Shot missed by Calvin de Haan
Austin Watson credited with hit on Drake Batherson in defensive zone
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Nick Perbix in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joonas Korpisalo
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Brayden Point won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Brayden Point won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Matt Tomkins
GOAL
Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk assisted by Jake Sanderson
2-4
Travis Hamonic credited with hit on Calvin de Haan in defensive zone
SHOT
Rourke Chartier shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Joonas Korpisalo
SHOT
Mikey Eyssimont shot blocked by Erik Brannstrom
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathieu Joseph
Tim Stutzle credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Brannstrom saved by Matt Tomkins
Power play - Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun in offensive zone
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Dominik Kubalik
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Dominik Kubalik in defensive zone
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Tripping (Served by Luke Glendening)
Rourke Chartier won faceoff against Luke Glendening in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joonas Korpisalo
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Tim Stutzle
Victor Hedman credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nick Perbix credited with hit on Ridly Greig in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Barre-Boulet saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Barre-Boulet saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Austin Watson credited with hit on Travis Hamonic in offensive zone
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Rourke Chartier in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Brannstrom
Dominik Kubalik won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Matt Tomkins
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Vladimir Tarasenko in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikhail Sergachev
Ridly Greig credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Shorthanded - Mikey Eyssimont credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Mikey Eyssimont in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Rourke Chartier in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Mathieu Joseph assisted by Vladimir Tarasenko
2-3
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Nick Perbix in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Ridly Greig in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Matt Tomkins
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Matt Tomkins
Shorthanded - Luke Glendening won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Senators saved by Matt Tomkins
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Shorthanded - Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Nick Perbix saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Shorthanded - Mikey Eyssimont credited with hit on Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Matt Tomkins
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Matt Tomkins
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Matt Tomkins
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
Penalty to Mikhail Sergachev 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Brady Tkachuk)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Senators saved by Matt Tomkins
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Senators saved by Matt Tomkins
SHOT
Shot on goal by Senators saved by Matt Tomkins
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Matt Tomkins
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Kelly saved by Matt Tomkins
Takeaway by Jake Sanderson in defensive zone
Luke Glendening credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
Calvin de Haan credited with hit on Claude Giroux in neutral zone
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Paul saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Victor Hedman credited with hit on Vladimir Tarasenko in offensive zone
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Tanner Jeannot assisted by Mikey Eyssimont and Victor Hedman
2-2
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Matt Tomkins
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominik Kubalik saved by Matt Tomkins
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Rourke Chartier in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Artem Zub
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Artem Zub in offensive zone
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
Brayden Point won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Drake Batherson credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Paul saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Parker Kelly
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Parker Kelly shot blocked by Nick Perbix
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk assisted by Claude Giroux and Tim Stutzle
1-2
Takeaway by Claude Giroux in offensive zone
Takeaway by Calvin de Haan in defensive zone
Travis Hamonic credited with hit on Luke Glendening in defensive zone
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Rourke Chartier in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Joonas Korpisalo
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Barre-Boulet
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Joonas Korpisalo in defensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Victor Hedman
Giveaway by Matt Tomkins in defensive zone
Giveaway by Mikhail Sergachev in neutral zone
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Paul saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Giveaway by Drake Batherson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Calvin de Haan
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
Brayden Point won faceoff against Rourke Chartier in defensive zone
Calvin de Haan credited with hit on Drake Batherson in defensive zone
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Artem Zub
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Matt Tomkins
Giveaway by Nick Perbix in defensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Anthony Cirelli assisted by Darren Raddysh
1-1
Mikey Eyssimont credited with hit on Mathieu Joseph in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vladimir Tarasenko saved by Matt Tomkins
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathieu Joseph saved by Matt Tomkins
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Ridly Greig credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in neutral zone
Austin Watson credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Luke Glendening in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Giveaway by Travis Hamonic in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Travis Hamonic saved by Matt Tomkins
SHOT
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Claude Giroux
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Matt Tomkins
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Artem Zub
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Penalty to Travis Hamonic 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Mikey Eyssimont)
SHOT
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Erik Brannstrom in offensive zone
Takeaway by Mikey Eyssimont in defensive zone
Takeaway by Alex Barre-Boulet in defensive zone
Takeaway by Conor Sheary in defensive zone
Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Matt Tomkins
Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Matt Tomkins
Mathieu Joseph credited with hit on Erik Cernak in defensive zone
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Mathieu Joseph in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Rourke Chartier in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Vladimir Tarasenko saved by Matt Tomkins
Power play - Giveaway by Alex Barre-Boulet in offensive zone
Power play - Alex Barre-Boulet won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
Penalty to Victor Hedman 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Mathieu Joseph)
Penalty to Mathieu Joseph 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Victor Hedman)
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Matt Tomkins
Vladimir Tarasenko credited with hit on Nick Perbix in offensive zone
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Austin Watson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Matt Tomkins
SHOT
Claude Giroux shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Matt Tomkins
Giveaway by Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
Vladimir Tarasenko credited with hit on Conor Sheary in offensive zone
Victor Hedman credited with hit on Drake Batherson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Rourke Chartier in defensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Matt Tomkins
Brayden Point won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
Stoppage - Skater Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Brannstrom saved by Matt Tomkins
Giveaway by Erik Brannstrom in defensive zone
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Vladimir Tarasenko assisted by Ridly Greig and Jakob Chychrun
0-1
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
SHOT
Claude Giroux shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Brayden Point won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Travis Hamonic in offensive zone
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Erik Brannstrom
SHOT
Tanner Jeannot shot blocked by Erik Brannstrom
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikey Eyssimont saved by Joonas Korpisalo
Takeaway by Mathieu Joseph in offensive zone
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
Takeaway by Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathieu Joseph saved by Matt Tomkins
Erik Brannstrom credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
Giveaway by Vladimir Tarasenko in defensive zone
Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Parker Kelly in neutral zone
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Mikey Eyssimont
SHOT
Zack MacEwen shot blocked by Calvin de Haan
Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zack MacEwen saved by Matt Tomkins
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Calvin de Haan in neutral zone
Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Matt Tomkins
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Shot missed by Rourke Chartier
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Matt Tomkins
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vladimir Tarasenko saved by Matt Tomkins
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 38 | |||
| 58% | Faceoff Win % | 42% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 23 | Hits | 14 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 8 | Giveaways | 8 |
| |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 38 | |||
| 58% | Faceoff Win % | 42% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 23 | Hits | 14 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 8 | Giveaways | 8 |
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Lightning vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Senators
- Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 7
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning +120, Senators -135
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 50%
- Senators: 50%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 50%, while the Senators have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Lightning in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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