Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Islanders NHL game on December 11, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
4
Dec 12, 12AM UBS Arena
Dec 12, 12AM UBS Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Islanders | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Islanders | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
OT1 00:46 Goal scored by Bo Horvat assisted by Mathew Barzal
OT1 00:37 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Ilya Sorokin
OT1 00:36 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Ilya Sorokin
OT1 00:21 Shot missed by Mitchell Marner
P3 19:53 Goal scored by Morgan Rielly
P3 19:50 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 19:47 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 19:28 Mitchell Marner shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P3 19:21 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P3 19:14 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 18:49 Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 18:42 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 18:28 Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 18:17 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 17:56 Auston Matthews shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
P3 17:50 Bo Horvat shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 17:46 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 17:04 Maple Leafs shot blocked by William Lagesson
P3 16:48 Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
P3 15:43 Mitchell Marner shot blocked by Mike Reilly
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
GOAL
Goal scored by Bo Horvat assisted by Mathew Barzal
3-4
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitchell Marner
David Kampf won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
Brock Nelson won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Morgan Rielly
3-3
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
John Tavares won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Mitchell Marner shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Ilya Sorokin
John Tavares won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Ilya Sorokin
Casey Cizikas credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
SHOT
Bo Horvat shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Maple Leafs shot blocked by William Lagesson
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
Alexander Romanov credited with hit in neutral zone
SHOT
Mitchell Marner shot blocked by Mike Reilly
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Ilya Sorokin
Giveaway by Anders Lee in offensive zone
Takeaway by Anders Lee in neutral zone
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Conor Timmins
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
Takeaway by Mitchell Marner in neutral zone
Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cal Clutterbuck saved by Ilya Samsonov
Giveaway by Conor Timmins in defensive zone
Nicholas Robertson credited with hit on Samuel Bolduc in offensive zone
Alexander Romanov credited with hit on Matthew Knies in defensive zone
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
David Kampf shot blocked by Noah Dobson
Giveaway by Brock Nelson in defensive zone
SHOT
Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
John Tavares won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Ilya Sorokin
Takeaway by Hudson Fasching in neutral zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Ilya Samsonov
Giveaway by T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
Giveaway by Brock Nelson in offensive zone
Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Romanov
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Julien Gauthier credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
Giveaway by Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Gregor saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Nicholas Robertson
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Bertuzzi
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
Takeaway by Brock Nelson in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Casey Cizikas credited with hit on William Lagesson in offensive zone
Noah Gregor credited with hit on Julien Gauthier in neutral zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau credited with hit on Noah Gregor in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Ilya Sorokin
Max Domi won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
John Tavares won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Bo Horvat shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Romanov
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Ilya Sorokin
Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Ilya Sorokin
Takeaway by Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Noah Gregor credited with hit on Noah Dobson in offensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
SHOT
Shot on goal by Julien Gauthier saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by Julien Gauthier
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Tyler Bertuzzi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Puck Frzn-plyd bynd ctr
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Romanov saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Timmins
Takeaway by Max Domi in offensive zone
Pierre Engvall credited with hit on Simon Benoit in defensive zone
Giveaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
Noah Dobson credited with hit on Matthew Knies in defensive zone
Giveaway by Alexander Romanov in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Pierre Engvall in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Tyler Bertuzzi in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Romanov saved by Ilya Samsonov
David Kampf won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Ilya Samsonov
Giveaway by Scott Mayfield in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Ilya Sorokin
Max Domi credited with hit on Hudson Fasching in neutral zone
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Ilya Sorokin
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
T.J. Brodie shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
SHOT
Matthew Knies shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by John Tavares
2-3
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
Robert Bortuzzo credited with hit on Jake McCabe in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Takeaway by Mitchell Marner in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Ilya Sorokin
Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Reilly saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Cal Clutterbuck
Ryan Reaves credited with hit on Robert Bortuzzo in offensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Giveaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Ilya Sorokin
Giveaway by Noah Dobson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Ilya Sorokin
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
Max Domi won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
Giveaway by Scott Mayfield in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
Giveaway by Cal Clutterbuck in offensive zone
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Ilya Sorokin
Giveaway by David Kampf in offensive zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Noah Gregor in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Kyle Palmieri
1-3
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
John Tavares won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Cal Clutterbuck in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Conor Timmins credited with hit on Bo Horvat in defensive zone
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Samuel Bolduc
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Takeaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
Kyle Palmieri credited with hit on William Lagesson in offensive zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Kyle Palmieri in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
Julien Gauthier credited with hit on Simon Benoit in defensive zone
Ryan Reaves credited with hit on Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ilya Samsonov
David Kampf won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Ilya Samsonov
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Samuel Bolduc saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock Nelson
Pierre Engvall won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Romanov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Romanov saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by Cal Clutterbuck
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
William Nylander won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Giveaway by Bo Horvat in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Ilya Sorokin
Max Domi won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
SHOT
William Lagesson shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Ilya Sorokin
Conor Timmins credited with hit on Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Ilya Samsonov
Casey Cizikas credited with hit on Conor Timmins in offensive zone
Takeaway by Simon Holmstrom in offensive zone
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Ilya Samsonov
Shorthanded - Matthew Knies credited with hit on Pierre Engvall in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Mike Reilly shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mike Reilly
Shorthanded - Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Penalty to David Kampf 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Mathew Barzal)
SHOT
Maple Leafs shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
David Kampf won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
SHOT
Anders Lee shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
Noah Gregor credited with hit on Mike Reilly in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Reaves saved by Ilya Sorokin
Giveaway by Tyler Bertuzzi in offensive zone
Pierre Engvall credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brock Nelson
1-1
Takeaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Islanders saved by Ilya Samsonov
Julien Gauthier credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
Julien Gauthier credited with hit on Max Domi in offensive zone
Giveaway by Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Anders Lee
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Mitchell Marner in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by Robert Bortuzzo
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock Nelson
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Brock Nelson in defensive zone
Pierre Engvall won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by Mitchell Marner and William Nylander
1-0
Shorthanded - Cal Clutterbuck credited with hit on William Nylander in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
Shorthanded - Casey Cizikas won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Robert Bortuzzo 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Mitchell Marner)
Takeaway by Mitchell Marner in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Julien Gauthier saved by Ilya Samsonov
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ilya Samsonov
Giveaway by T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Ilya Sorokin
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Ilya Sorokin
Takeaway by Matthew Knies in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Gregor
Jean-Gabriel Pageau credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
Julien Gauthier credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitchell Marner
Mike Reilly credited with hit on John Tavares in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Anders Lee in defensive zone
Stoppage - Rink Repair
Stoppage - Icing
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 40 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 1/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 2 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 2 | |||
| 12 | Hits | 19 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 16 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 11 |
| |
|---|
| 40 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 1/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 2 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 2 | |||
| 12 | Hits | 19 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 16 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 11 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Islanders
- Date: Monday, December 11, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: UBS Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -120, Islanders +106
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 52%
- Islanders: 48%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 52%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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