Penguins vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Lightning NHL game on December 6, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
3
Dec 7, 12AM Amalie Arena
Dec 7, 12AM Amalie Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Lightning | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Lightning | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
P3 20:00 Shot missed by Penguins
P3 19:07 Goal scored by Jake Guentzel
P3 18:47 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:13 Shot missed by Marcus Pettersson
P3 17:58 Shot missed by Reilly Smith
P3 16:41 Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P3 16:34 Power play - Shot missed by Kris Letang
P3 16:24 Power play - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
P3 16:16 Power play - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
P3 16:09 Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:55 Power play - Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
P3 15:47 Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:10 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 14:04 Shot missed by Jansen Harkins
P3 13:43 Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 12:52 Shot on goal by Mikey Eyssimont saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 12:29 Power play - Shot missed by Alex Barre-Boulet
P3 12:29 Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 11:49 Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 11:33 Power play - Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jake Guentzel
1-3
Giveaway by Andrei Vasilevskiy in defensive zone
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Jansen Harkins credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Marcus Pettersson
SHOT
Shot missed by Reilly Smith
Shorthanded - Luke Glendening won faceoff against Jeff Carter in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Kris Letang
SHOT
Power play - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
SHOT
Power play - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
Penalty to Victor Hedman 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Evgeni Malkin)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Takeaway by Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Tristan Jarry
Shorthanded - Luke Glendening won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Penalty to Steven Stamkos 2 minutes for Delay of Game
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Alex Nylander in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jansen Harkins
Nikita Kucherov credited with hit on Jansen Harkins in defensive zone
Jeff Carter won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Tristan Jarry
Takeaway by Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
Kris Letang credited with hit on Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in neutral zone
Kris Letang credited with hit on Mikey Eyssimont in defensive zone
Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikey Eyssimont saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Barre-Boulet
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Tristan Jarry
Shorthanded - Lars Eller won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
Lars Eller won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Penalty to Kris Letang 2 minutes for Delay of Game
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Lars Eller shot blocked by Brayden Point
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Jeff Carter in offensive zone
Jeff Carter won faceoff against Tanner Jeannot in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Tristan Jarry
Giveaway by Drew O'Connor in offensive zone
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Ryan Graves
Marcus Pettersson credited with hit on Tyler Motte in defensive zone
SHOT
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Barre-Boulet saved by Tristan Jarry
Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Giveaway by Mikhail Sergachev in defensive zone
Stoppage - Skater Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Steven Stamkos shot blocked by Ryan Shea
Brayden Point credited with hit on John Ludvig in offensive zone
John Ludvig credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Jeff Carter in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Jansen Harkins credited with hit on Tanner Jeannot in neutral zone
SHOT
Jansen Harkins shot blocked by Mikey Eyssimont
Giveaway by Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Marcus Pettersson
Drew O'Connor won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
SHOT
Ryan Graves shot blocked by Tanner Jeannot
SHOT
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Luke Glendening
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Ludvig saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Penguins shot blocked by teammate
Austin Watson credited with hit on Jansen Harkins in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Graves
SHOT
Alex Nylander shot blocked by Nick Perbix
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Takeaway by Ryan Shea in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
Marcus Pettersson credited with hit on Brayden Point in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Power play - Reilly Smith shot blocked by Calvin de Haan
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Luke Glendening won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Penalty to Anthony Cirelli 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Erik Karlsson)
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
SHOT
Bryan Rust shot blocked by Alex Barre-Boulet
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Tanner Jeannot
0-3
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikey Eyssimont saved by Tristan Jarry
Radim Zohorna credited with hit on Luke Glendening in defensive zone
SHOT
Luke Glendening shot blocked by John Ludvig
SHOT
Shot missed by Jeff Carter
Jeff Carter won faceoff against Luke Glendening in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Perbix saved by Tristan Jarry
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drew O'Connor saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Ryan Graves credited with hit on Tanner Jeannot in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Radim Zohorna
SHOT
Radim Zohorna shot blocked by Calvin de Haan
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Jeff Carter in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Drew O'Connor
SHOT
Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Drew O'Connor shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
Lars Eller won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Luke Glendening credited with hit on Kris Letang in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
Giveaway by Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Tristan Jarry
Takeaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
Takeaway by Alex Barre-Boulet in defensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Victor Hedman
0-2
Power play - Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Jeff Carter in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Shorthanded - Lars Eller credited with hit on Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Lars Eller won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Penalty to Reilly Smith 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Alex Barre-Boulet)
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Tristan Jarry
Giveaway by Lars Eller in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Erik Cernak credited with hit on Bryan Rust in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Andrei Vasilevskiy in defensive zone
Power play - Reilly Smith credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Kris Letang shot blocked by Luke Glendening
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
Penalty to Anthony Cirelli 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Sidney Crosby)
Takeaway by Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
John Ludvig credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Barre-Boulet
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
SHOT
Shot missed by Radim Zohorna
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
Penguins challenge (Offside), call stands
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel
0-2
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Barre-Boulet
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
John Ludvig credited with hit on Tanner Jeannot in neutral zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
SHOT
Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Brayden Point
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Luke Glendening credited with hit on Ryan Graves in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikey Eyssimont saved by Tristan Jarry
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Tristan Jarry
Power play - Takeaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Bryan Rust
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
Shorthanded - Jeff Carter won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Penalty to Ryan Shea 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Tanner Jeannot)
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
Ryan Shea credited with hit in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikey Eyssimont
John Ludvig credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Ryan Shea credited with hit on Tyler Motte in defensive zone
Austin Watson credited with hit on Alex Nylander in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Barre-Boulet saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Barre-Boulet saved by Tristan Jarry
Takeaway by Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Erik Karlsson in offensive zone
Giveaway by Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
John Ludvig credited with hit on Erik Cernak in defensive zone
Takeaway by Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Takeaway by Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Giveaway by Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marcus Pettersson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Bryan Rust shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
Giveaway by Victor Hedman in defensive zone
SHOT
Luke Glendening shot blocked by Jeff Carter
Jeff Carter won faceoff against Luke Glendening in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calvin de Haan saved by Tristan Jarry
Jeff Carter won faceoff against Tanner Jeannot in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Tristan Jarry
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Anthony Cirelli assisted by Victor Hedman and Nikita Kucherov
0-1
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Power play - Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Lars Eller
Shorthanded - Lars Eller won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Penalty to Ryan Shea 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Mikey Eyssimont)
Sidney Crosby credited with hit on Mikey Eyssimont in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Takeaway by Luke Glendening in defensive zone
Lars Eller credited with hit on Victor Hedman in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Lars Eller
SHOT
John Ludvig shot blocked by Austin Watson
Lars Eller won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Takeaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Tristan Jarry
Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Marcus Pettersson
Sidney Crosby credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Barre-Boulet
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikey Eyssimont saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Calvin de Haan shot blocked by John Ludvig
Jansen Harkins credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drew O'Connor saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Alex Barre-Boulet credited with hit on Ryan Graves in offensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 27 | |||
| 59% | Faceoff Win % | 41% | |||
| 4/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/2 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 21 | Hits | 15 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 27 | |||
| 5 | Giveaways | 10 |
| |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 27 | |||
| 59% | Faceoff Win % | 41% | |||
| 4/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/2 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 21 | Hits | 15 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 27 | |||
| 5 | Giveaways | 10 |
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Penguins vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Penguins vs. Lightning
- Date: Wednesday, December 6, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Amalie Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Penguins +114, Lightning -130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Penguins: 45%
- Lightning: 55%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 45%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Amalie Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Penguins vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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