Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Penguins NHL game on November 25, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
3
Nov 26, 12AM PPG Paints Arena
Nov 26, 12AM PPG Paints Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Penguins | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Penguins | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
P3 19:41 John Tavares shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
P3 18:03 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 17:41 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 17:23 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Joseph Woll
P3 16:55 Shot missed by Conor Timmins
P3 16:37 Shot on goal by Mitchell Marner saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 15:03 Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 14:44 Mitchell Marner shot blocked by Marcus Pettersson
P3 13:35 Shot missed by Ryan Graves
P3 13:31 Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Joseph Woll
P3 12:30 Ryan Shea shot blocked by William Nylander
P3 12:30 Shot on goal by Mitchell Marner saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 12:11 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 11:49 Auston Matthews shot blocked by Marcus Pettersson
P3 11:03 William Nylander shot blocked by Ryan Graves
P3 10:50 Mark Giordano shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P3 10:43 Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 10:39 Shot missed by Jake McCabe
P3 09:51 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Ryan Graves
P3 09:28 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Tristan Jarry
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
John Tavares won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
Takeaway by Ryan Graves in defensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
John Tavares won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - Visitor Timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Tristan Jarry
John Tavares won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Joseph Woll
John Tavares won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Timmins
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitchell Marner saved by Tristan Jarry
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Tristan Jarry
John Tavares won faceoff against Jeff Carter in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Mitchell Marner shot blocked by Marcus Pettersson
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Graves
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Joseph Woll
Giveaway by David Kampf in neutral zone
Noel Acciari credited with hit on William Lagesson in defensive zone
Lars Eller credited with hit on William Lagesson in defensive zone
SHOT
Ryan Shea shot blocked by William Nylander
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitchell Marner saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Tristan Jarry
Takeaway by Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Marcus Pettersson
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Ryan Graves
SHOT
Mark Giordano shot blocked by Noel Acciari
John Tavares won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Nicholas Robertson credited with hit on Marcus Pettersson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
Max Domi won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Ryan Graves
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Tristan Jarry
Radim Zohorna credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by John Ludvig
Jeff Carter won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Joseph Woll
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Takeaway by Auston Matthews in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Drew O'Connor
Takeaway by Drew O'Connor in neutral zone
Takeaway by Tyler Bertuzzi in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Tristan Jarry
Giveaway by Marcus Pettersson in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Matt Nieto in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Carter saved by Joseph Woll
Mitchell Marner credited with hit on Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Tyler Bertuzzi shot blocked by Kris Letang
John Ludvig credited with hit on Nicholas Robertson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Gregor
Takeaway by Jake McCabe in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Bertuzzi
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mitchell Marner saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Penalty to Radim Zohorna 2 minutes for Boarding (Drawn by William Lagesson)
John Ludvig credited with hit on Nicholas Robertson in defensive zone
Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
William Lagesson credited with hit on Drew O'Connor in neutral zone
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Drew O'Connor in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Kris Letang
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Jeff Carter won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Erik Karlsson
2-3
Jeff Carter won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Joseph Woll
Jeff Carter won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Jeff Carter shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Joseph Woll
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Graves saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Jansen Harkins shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jansen Harkins saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Marcus Pettersson
Takeaway by Marcus Pettersson in defensive zone
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Tristan Jarry
Matt Nieto credited with hit on Conor Timmins in defensive zone
SHOT
Mitchell Marner shot blocked by Ryan Graves
Noel Acciari won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
John Tavares won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Joseph Woll
David Kampf won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Shorthanded - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Lars Eller in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Tristan Jarry
Shorthanded - Lars Eller won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Noel Acciari
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Ryan Graves 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Matthew Knies)
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Evgeni Malkin
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Kris Letang
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Noel Acciari
2-2
Takeaway by Noel Acciari in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Drew O'Connor
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Marcus Pettersson
Jeff Carter credited with hit on Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Power play - Jeff Carter won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Power play - Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Power play - Kris Letang shot blocked by Calle Jarnkrok
SHOT
Power play - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by William Lagesson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Penalty to T.J. Brodie 2 minutes for Misconduct
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Power play - Jansen Harkins credited with hit on Mitchell Marner in defensive zone
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Jeff Carter in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Power play - Giveaway by Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Penalty to Mark Giordano 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Drew O'Connor)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drew O'Connor saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Marcus Pettersson
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Joseph Woll
John Tavares won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
Takeaway by Erik Karlsson in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Tristan Jarry
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Graves
David Kampf won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Lars Eller
SHOT
Shot missed by Jansen Harkins
SHOT
Lars Eller shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitchell Marner saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
Mark Giordano credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Marcus Pettersson
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
John Tavares won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Ryan Graves shot blocked by Mitchell Marner
Matt Nieto credited with hit on William Lagesson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
Max Domi won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Tristan Jarry
Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Joseph Woll
John Tavares won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Noah Gregor
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Nylander saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shorthanded - Noah Gregor shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
Power play - Evgeni Malkin credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Mark Giordano
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Calle Jarnkrok 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Sidney Crosby)
Shorthanded - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Joseph Woll
Shorthanded - Kris Letang credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Lars Eller won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to John Ludvig 2 minutes for Elbowing (Drawn by Nicholas Robertson)
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Jeff Carter credited with hit on Simon Benoit in defensive zone
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Ryan Graves
Takeaway by T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
Takeaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Noel Acciari
John Tavares won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
Takeaway by Radim Zohorna in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Radim Zohorna saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Joseph Woll
Noah Gregor credited with hit on Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Mark Giordano
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Joseph Woll
Alex Nylander won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Takeaway by Erik Karlsson in neutral zone
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Erik Karlsson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Bertuzzi
SHOT
Conor Timmins shot blocked by Drew O'Connor
John Tavares won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Noah Gregor shot blocked by Kris Letang
David Kampf won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by Calle Jarnkrok
2-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitchell Marner saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Tristan Jarry
Noel Acciari credited with hit on William Lagesson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Carter saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Noel Acciari shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Shea
Takeaway by John Ludvig in defensive zone
Takeaway by Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
SHOT
Mark Giordano shot blocked by Evgeni Malkin
David Kampf won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jake Guentzel assisted by Drew O'Connor and Sidney Crosby
1-1
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Tyler Bertuzzi assisted by John Tavares and Morgan Rielly
1-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Tristan Jarry
John Tavares won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Tristan Jarry
Giveaway by John Ludvig in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Tristan Jarry
Jansen Harkins credited with hit on William Lagesson in offensive zone
Lars Eller credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Matthew Knies
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Carter saved by Joseph Woll
Takeaway by Noel Acciari in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitchell Marner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Gregor saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Gregor saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Tristan Jarry
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Nylander saved by Joseph Woll
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Tyler Bertuzzi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 33 | Shots on Goal | 35 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 10 | Hits | 15 | |||
| 21 | Shots Blocked | 21 | |||
| 3 | Giveaways | 4 |
| |
|---|
| 33 | Shots on Goal | 35 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 10 | Hits | 15 | |||
| 21 | Shots Blocked | 21 | |||
| 3 | Giveaways | 4 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Penguins
- Date: Saturday, November 25, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -120, Penguins +104
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 52%
- Penguins: 48%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 52%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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